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The data shows a downward trend in interstate conflicts, colonial conflicts, and per capita battle deaths since the 40's. Civil conflicts peaked in the early 90's, but nukes aren't a factor in those.

Source: https://files.prio.org/publication_files/prio/Gates,%20Nyg%C...




There is other research[0] (also recently posted to HN, though it got a lot less traction than Gates and Pinker), that claims this trend may very likely not be there. It's very hard to prove.

[0] http://www.mn.uio.no/math/english/research/projects/focustat...




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