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>Apple is just a few years behind; they launched a decade later. Come back in 3 years and they'll be close to parity.

So you expect Google to stand around for 3 or more years while Apple comes close to parity with Google today?



My heuristic is that it's usually faster to catch-up to something that already exists than it is to invent something new. Given sufficient effort Apple should be able to asymptotically approach Google's capabilities. But considering the other two points I mentioned, it's not a given that they will.




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