Software development is becoming the new blue collar job.
Unlike most here, I 100% agree with you.
For the guys here, who make their own 'stacks' and offer Windows support: maybe it will work in emerging markets, but be certain that it won't work for long in a world that has AWS, Shopify, Themeforest:) Also, I don't know if you can get by supporting a family with those skills (at least by working less than 10 hours/day).
Like you said, we know our craft good enough to know that we're not smart enough to be of interest for Google:)
Maybe we're suffering a bit from the Dunning–Kruger effect, but still, the future is grim and it will take everyone by surprise. The next tech breakthrough won't take decades, but months and then you'll be obsolete.
I don't think there's a point in investing to learn Quantum computing or AI, if u're not smart enough to understand.
That being said, under qualification never stopped anyone from deploying WP sites or otherwise really, really insecure PHP sites.. so...
> I don't think there's a point in investing to learn Quantum computing or AI, if u're not smart enough to understand
99% of the people employed doing AI work in the technology field broadly, will not be creating or directly working with difficult-to-understand AI tech. They'll be using tools that work with that tech. Many layers that ride on top, each with their own tools, will be created as AI gets more and more complex. It will ultimately employ a vast number of average engineers.
> It will ultimately employ a vast number of average engineers.
Just what I said: it will become the next blue collar job, but you're right, there always be enough tools for average engineers.
I'm still not convinced if a new company would hire a 50 year old instead of a 25 year old 'average engineer'... though, I would... more experience beats more technical knowledge (for the latest buzz worthy framework/language) in my book, but maybe that's just me?
Like you said, we know our craft good enough to know that we're not smart enough to be of interest for Google:) Maybe we're suffering a bit from the Dunning–Kruger effect, but still, the future is grim and it will take everyone by surprise. The next tech breakthrough won't take decades, but months and then you'll be obsolete. I don't think there's a point in investing to learn Quantum computing or AI, if u're not smart enough to understand.
That being said, under qualification never stopped anyone from deploying WP sites or otherwise really, really insecure PHP sites.. so...