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I personally can't stand Paul Krugman. I know he's done good work in academia, but his op-eds push a liberal agenda regardless of the evidence in favor of it.

In this case, how would the federal regulators know how to price risk better than the owners of financial businesses? Krugman doesn't say. He posits that they have some magic knowledge by virtue of being government agents.

The truth is, there was a unprecedented bubble in real estate values and real estate related debt. No one knew how to price them correctly. For a regulator to attempt to do so would be like a regulator setting the right price for Yahoo in 1999.

Neither does Krugman mention past failed financial regulation. Canada had only a handful of bank failures in the 1930's, compared with thousands in the US. The reason was that banks in the United States were kept small by anti-branch banking laws designed to keep any one bank from having too much power. The larger banks of Canada survived, not so the banks of the US.

What assurance do we have that the current regulators will get it right? Many people in public life seem to be drawing bad lessons from the current crisis so far. I'm inclined to think that they won't get it right.




Consider the current regulation that exists over the housing market:

- Mortgage interest deduction: In other words, you don't get a tax break for buying a house, you get it for being in debt b/c you bought a house. Hmm.. what incentive does this create?

- One time capital gains tax exemption for the sale of a home: This encourages people to sell their home and then buy a more expensive home, even if a less expensive one would have sufficed.

- The implicit federal bailout of Fannie and Freddie: These companies underwrite a lot of the more risky mortgages and as long as there is an expectation that the government will bail them out, nobody looks too closely at their soundness.

These are the regulations that got us into trouble in the first place.

Now is the time for less regulation, not more!




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