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Chinese Tech Firms Forced to Choose Market: Home or Everywhere Else (nytimes.com)
150 points by vinnyglennon on Aug 17, 2016 | hide | past | favorite | 126 comments



This article also doesn't touch on the simple technical pains of having to work across the Great Firewall and the effects of it their ability to do business outside of China. Even when you have an excellent partner in China (or vice-versa), so much of the back and forth ends up coming down to issues going across the firewall. Your collaboration tools don't work, so you're split across Slack and WeChat. Github is a disaster in China, and of course, the Googs isn't something you can require anyone in China use. Usual day-to-day stuff is neither simple nor reliable when you have to cross that firewall.

And too boot, it's amazing that Chinese companies are still doing a really poor job of figuring out how to connect well to the outside world. They'll turn to you asking why your API/whatever isn't working for their developers, and then expect that you have some miracle solution to get rid of the 200-400ms of latency (each way!) across the firewall, as well as a cure for the hours of it just dropping all traffic. Perhaps the Party has scared them enough they're not willing to chance employees doing illegal things on the company's connection...

The firewall is a fickle, cantankerous beast that, to me, is really at heart of this matter. Because they want throats to choke for every packet on Chinese soil, they've created this huge barrier that touches everything you might want to do in China or with a Chinese company.


totally agree. i'm in china and i can barely have a skype conversation with people abroad - it will randomly cut out or the quality will degrade. i can use google most of the time via VPN, but then there'll be some big political event and even VPN will become intermittent. when my co-founder came to china he couldn't believe how much of a productivity killer the great firewall was.

actually, it is quite interesting that the great firewall can totally block most VPN's when the gov. wants it to, but most of the time they choose not to. they just make it enough of a pain for normal people to give up, yet they leave just enough access for those who really need international internet access to get by with VPN (albeit barely).


I have friends in Shenzhen who regularly walk across the border to connect to HK LTE just to get important work done.

And their office has 4? different ISPs, so I know it's a bad day on the firewall when they're working from HK.


Is there any means to mask packets as being VPN from an observer? I mean, without resorting to complicated scenarios like using SSH tunnels or such.


China's Internet been an Intranet means GFW don't need to be precise in recognizing traffic flows. A little false positive is fine.

Some examples: - Dropping GRE packet so PPTP VPN is not possible - Send TCP RST to both end when a connection to dport=22 generated too much traffic

Also from my understanding, it's not that hard to use some basic machine learning techniques to classify the traffic. That's the reason why Tor project developed obfsproxy to obfuscate the traffic flow.


GFW detects erroneous SSH sessions that contain large data flows. You need to go full protocol obfuscation to untracked destinations.


google 'obfsproxy'

obfuscation of traffic to make it not look like VPN can be helpful, but traffic flow analysis based on source/origin IPs, timing and kbps/pps can still identify what looks like a VPN.


>The firewall is a fickle, cantankerous beast that, to me, is really at heart of this matter.

The Great Firewall is only one aspect of the problem. Most companies would we willing to host their service within the firewall and deal with it that way. The problem is that running a service within the firewall requires going through the Chinese bureaucracy that is inherently hostile to foreign companies and internet companies.


I remember reading this comment awhile back when China shut the door on Uber: "They open the door, allow foreign companies to enter and train locals in the technology and then slam the door when they gain traction."

Google executives long suspected China of using local regulations and the GFW to show favoritism to local companies:

"[T]he Chinese government against Google seemed less to do with regulations and more like harassment. The sanctions appeared directly tied to how well Google was doing [...] Google executives believed that [...] when [its] market share approached 30%, suddenly bad things would happen. In China, companies need a license to run a website, and it took Google massive effort to secure one. [...] Google’s executives in China realized they were always one step away from another sanction."

I think this is exactly what the GFW is for. Train/show local talent a great concept, create/replicate homegrown version, cut off foreign version when homegrown version is ready.

At some point, China needs to be concerned if it's pissing off foreign companies. If they want American users, the door has to open both ways.


By the looks of it, it doesn't need to be open both ways at all. Like the article states, Chinese companies like Musical.ly have the chance to access and profit from the US market without US government intervention. US/foreign companies don't have that luxury in China, or they do for just long enough for a local variant to gain traction and then they're booted out.

Why the US puts up with this blatant WTO violation is baffling.


This is the last year where China will be viewed as market economy. After end of this year, they'll face tariffs and barriers to their trade due to the fact that China has not followed most of the requirements to stay in WTO. EU and US have already refused to automatically extend WTO acceptance for China. Watch for Chinese economy collapse after that.


But what is the solution? Does the US build its own GFW to "protect" its own Internet? If a Chinese company wants to build a service that Americans can use, aside from blocking credit card payments for those services, the US would have to build its own GFW.


I don't think that's the answer. Maybe sanctions or other disincentives that would encourage China to play by the rules? When China joined the WTO they made a commitment that they are blatantly disregarding. What we have now is not an even playing field, and if it continues to go unchecked the US will continue to lose this game.


Blocking credit card transactions would be enough of a deterrent.


You're missing the point. Even if you go through the entire process, get all the licenses, find excellent local partners, setup your infrastructure correctly, and only publish what the Party wants, you STILL have to go through the firewall. There are no exceptions, and your business suffers because you cannot do simple everyday things like having a conference call with your BJS office, or copying an image up to your CN servers.

Yes, the pain of doing business in China is great and asymmetric, but in some fashion, I'm happy that at least the firewall is a symmetric, universal problem.


getting a license is not hard or hostile.

the fact that you have to do _anything_ is a problem... also dealing with mainland providers can be challenging.


doesn't touch on the simple technical pains of having to work across the Great Firewall

Lower bandwidth, higher latency, more packet loss, less reliability. But everything can be achieved. It's not a great problem once you're used to it.

Slack and WeChat

If you want global, secure, internal chat that works, use XMPP on a VPN. It's pretty trivial to set up.

Github is a disaster in China

No, it works perfectly. It's not even firewalled. I use it every day, no problems.

They'll turn to you asking why your API/whatever isn't working for their developers, and then expect that you have some miracle solution to get rid of the 200-400ms of latency (each way!) across the firewall, as well as a cure for the hours of it just dropping all traffic

That's not across the firewall, that's across the Atlantic. A good solution would be placing servers inside of China, or outside but nearby in Hong Kong, Japan or Korea instead of the US. For businesses of any size desiring access to the Chinese market, another POP is not a huge expense. Even for me in the west of China, HK is ~70ms away, Japan is ~100ms.


Others on HN have indicated that sufficiently well-connected foreign organizations get their VPNs treated nicely. I think if you are encountering these problems you're just not big enough or haven't paid the right bribes.


It's not about being well-connected. As a company you can actually apply for a state-sanctioned VPN service that would be given the green light and won't be throttled even in the worst of times. If this wasn't the case, how do you think all international companies work in China?


Even when you have control over both endpoints, months of uninterrupted service will be punctuated with weeks of playing hide and seek with the Firewall. BTDT.

The problem is when you have a global endpoint that Chinese customers want to access. What do you do then? You either have to figure out how close you can get your services to China and hope and pray they don't whack your traffic one day, or take the bigger risk of deploying your endpoint in China. Either is fraught, but if you want to service that population...

And remember, no multicast traffic in China...


Is it illegal to use directional antennas in China? If not, do businesses just get a place with a view to Taipei and route all non-chinese IP requests that way?


Distance over the horizon can be estimated using d = 3.57 x (h)^1/2. Distance in km, height in meters.

Width of the Taiwan Strait = 180 km (coast to coast)

Height of antenna required for direct line of sight = 2,542 m or ~8,400 ft. This would be one antenna on a tower and one on the ground.

Tallest antenna in the world is on top of the Burj Khalifa skyscraper at 2,722 ft.

If you split the difference (so each antenna just sees the other at sea level), the tower would need to be 635m tall or 2,088 ft. So if you put a Burj Khalifa tower on each coast you could make it work.


Or you can cross the relatively shorter distance between Shenzhen and hongkong


That's definitely much easier. Crossing Shenzhen to Hong Kong is literally getting off the Shenzhen subway, crossing a bridge, and entering Hong Kong immigration and MTR.


that is way, way too far for any sort of reliable point to point microwave, even with a lot of elevation above MSL on both ends.

also the chinese version of the FCC will come along with their partyvan.

when you are dealing with a government where non-licensed non-compliant ISP type things will be shut down at OSI layer 1 by armed men with carbines, you have other problems.


Legality and party vans aside, the concept might work from Shenzhen to Hong Kong.


Not sure if you were being serious, but along these lines, I stayed in a Shenzhen hotel late last year that strangely provided unfiltered internet. Of course it wasn't advertised as such, but Google worked (redirected to google.com.hk). Given the hotel was right on the border with Hong Kong, one could only speculate how this worked and which option was easier: always-on VPN or antenna :)


I've had consistent, unrestricted access to google/facebook/videos from 1989, all over China, using a tmobile sim card registered in another country.

A financial services "startup" in sz manages to run a VPN with some sort of official permission. Not sure what sort of connections made this possible...


Yes, roaming works. Preferably you use a HK sim. At least foreign companies can buy a connection to a foreign IX that doesn't go through the firewall. You can pickup HK 4G in SZ without roaming. International traffic from China sucks in general, not only because of the firewall. You can buy better international connectivity in some cases.


My AT&T roaming in China was unfiltered too.


I was in Beijing two weeks ago, with 3 phones (AT&T, Sprint and T-Mobile). I could not get Gmail on any of them. No Facebook, Twitter, Google search, Google translate, etc. I had to fall back to Yahoo Mail (and WeChat and QQ).

In Shenzhen, there was a moment in the hotel where Google worked for about 10 minutes. I was elated but then disappointed when that brief window of openness ended.


How could you tell?


I'd suggest you run some calculations of mast heights and curvature-of-Earth for various LoS distances.

Then consider possible alternatives.


> “Teenagers in the U.S. are a golden audience,” he said. “If you look at China, the teenage culture doesn’t exist — the teens are super busy in school studying for tests, so they don’t have the time and luxury to play social media apps.”

LIES. WTF. My mother's friend's kids says that every one of his classmates is on WeChat and mobile gaming is HUGE. And look at how websites like Bilibili and Anime related 'Two-Dimension' culture prosper in China.

According to this report: https://www.gitbook.com/book/fhggogogo/bilibili/details

10-19 teenagers is the second largest demographic group of Bilibili's users, which is the NicoNico+Crunchyroll+Twitch in China.


But who controls the purse strings? I feel like in the United States teenagers have a large say in the purchasing power of their parents. Including not so cheap items like gaming consoles, feature phones, clothing, maybe even cars. You can even include college tuition (potentially the second or third most expensive purchase of a parent's life) in this. Is it the same in China? Genuinely curious.


Smartphones are really cheap in China, 100 bucks, you can buy a XiaoMi/Meizu phone with 5-inch screen and smooth internet experience, iPhone is nowhere that dominant in China and more like a luxury item for some to prove their identity. Gaming console, not really, Chinese parents hate stuff that are dedicated to games because they believe it will distract their kids from study. Cars, no way. It is still some of the most expensive items in China and buy your kids a car is something most families won't even think about, only the richest can afford. College tuition on the other hand is pretty cheap, most good university in China are public schools, and heavily government sponsored, the tuition is like 1500 dollars a year, so not a big deal for average family.


Having spent a considerable part of my life in China, I can definitely say this is the case, if not even more so. There is a tendency for parents to spoil their children.


yeah, it does seem to be how the poorly educated in china express love towards their children. spoil them like hell. it is weird seeing teenagers from poor rural families with iPhones! several months of a farmer's earnings. but hey, their kid has "face" in front of their classmates, which is all that seems to matter..


Given that probably >95% of Chinese children are single children, I think it's safe to assume that many of them will get quite spoiled by their parents.


Is it actually common for parents to pay their kids' tuition? In China or in the US? Everyone I know well had to pay their own way (in the US), and their grades usually suffered for it.


I have no idea about China, but in the US, unless you're going to community college, tuition is so high that either your parents are paying it or you're going into debt to pay it. If you're lucky (and "poor enough") you can get enough financial aid that the burden on your parents and your debt is minimal.


That article struck me as strange, it appears to take a really common phenomena (build for a market you understand) and turns it into a "China" thing. Apparently nobody at the times remembers when the "Internet" was practically a US only thing. All written in English, not a lot of support for non-English speakers (even Spanish!), massive assumptions about what time zone you might be in, Etc. And guess what, people in Germany making web sites had to choose to either make German sites for their audience or US centric sites to appeal to the big chunk of Internet users.

China is a market that is large enough by itself to be self supporting, just like the US market. So you can create an Internet business that is "China only" or "US Only" and be successful. And as the size of the markets are comparable your large China only Internet companies can be as large as US only Internet companies.

The interesting bit is that those markets are different enough that approaches in one don't work in the other. Like Google's version of search in China didn't work, nor did Uber's version of ride sharing. We can discuss regulatory hurdles, or society expectations, or technological differences, but at the core of all this they are two very different markets. So you need very different products and organizations to succeed in one or the other. I have yet to see a multi-national/international organization which has the flexibility to achieve that.

One of the most informative experiments so far has been Airbus. It is interesting to look at how it splits itself across countries and works to achieve a common purpose.


I think you're understating the amount of protectionism going on here. This isn't just a matter of language barrier and it's not even just a matter of the CCP wanting to maintain control. There's a deliberate effort to kneecap American tech companies in order to help their domestic tech companies develop.


I think the people who remember the (proto-)Internet being "a US only thing" are hardly more than a few hands full. Because that would have been when there were maybe a few dozen servers or so, exclusively in either military installations or educational institutions. (And, also, well before it was called "Internet".)

When the Internet went transnational, it was more or less universities-only for quite some time. Still not many people around, then. People mostly used English as a language, for the simple reason that nearly everybody knows it. It's just the simplest and most sensible option.

When the Internet finally really entered the public consciousness in the mid-90's - quite a bit after the first web server outside of Europe was set up in Stanford in 1991 - it had been a transnational thing for longer than not.


You might enjoy this: a 19th century encyclopaedia edit war over free trade policies between a British publisher and its American partners.

https://www.reddit.com/r/dredmorbius/comments/4xe2k1/chamber...

Source: https://archive.org/stream/chambersencyclo00unkngoog#page/n1...

I've sketched in some related information at Ello which I need to incorporate. This is strongly related to Friedrich List's National System of political economy.

The 18th and 19th centuries were interesting times.


> nobody at the times remembers when the "Internet" was practically a US only thing

The FIDOnet was at that times practically a Russia only thing.


This is really irritating. Not just because of the actual problem, but then because it feeds into the China vs America "conflict" which only exists to serve as an us vs them narrative on both sides of the Pacific. Everybody loses. China is playing this game just like the United States is.


> China is playing this game just like the United States is.

Is it? I don't recall the US erecting a massive firewall which keeps foreign competitors from competing here.

Baidu, Tencent, and Alibaba are all free to try to woo American consumers. So far they haven't seen much success.


The Chinese firewall is more a reflection on their culture of censorship than an international anti-competitive tool.


TFA is all about the inaccessibility of the Chinese online ecosystem outside China. GFoC is the biggest single cause of that inaccessibility.


Except somehow it endsup doing just that (strangling competition from outside of China)


China is strangling competition from outside of China, not the firewall. The firewall isn't what was preventing Uber from competing in China, for example.


The firewall isn't what was preventing Uber from competing in China...

But it is one of the things that prevented Google from competing in China. Here's an excerpt from an article previously posted on Hacker News: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12218607

The hurdles could be unpredictable, with an element of deniability. Sometimes Google found itself at the mercy of China’s ability to manipulate the digital infrastructure. The site would work slowly, or there would be outages. In one instance, Google found not only that users were blocked from its site, but also that when they typed in the address, they would be redirected to it competitor Baidu. This played into the narrative spun by Baidu that Google was overmatched in serving China, and that the local option was more reliable.


You cherry picked that completely out of context.

If you look at the paragraph right before you see that it corroborates that it's China, not the firewall, to blame for the anti-competitive behavior:

>Yes, Google made its own mistakes, including some cultural miscues. But the actions of the Chinese government against Google seemed less to do with regulations and more like harassment. The sanctions appeared directly tied to how well Google was doing in the marketplace. Google executives believed that Chinese officials had drawn a line in the sand — that when Google market share approached thirty percent, suddenly bad things would happen.

Is that why you didn't link the article?

https://backchannel.com/when-it-comes-to-china-googles-exper...


I did link to the Hacker News thread and I'm confused - you seem to be splitting hairs, what's the difference between China and China's firewall when it comes to tech companies? The latter is the stick used by the former.


Isn't the general consensus is that Uber lost generally fairly?

On the other hand, the firewall outright blocks websites like Facebook and Google from competing in China.


That's hardly true that Uber was treated fairly. Uber drivers faced hurdles from local government (being unable to issue a tax receipt), while Didi could do so. Uber drivers and headquarters faced frequent harassment from Hong Kong authorities, while Didi was relatively immune.


Right, that's the point. Facebook and Google refused to cooperate with the Chinese government on censorship, and now the firewall blocks them.


Except it seems to be doing a great anti-competitive job, saving the country from getting completely eaten by western Internet corporations like the rest of the world. It seems they're actually better off thanks to the firewall.


Go take a look at Huawei. Their products are just as good as Cisco's at a much lower price. Yet they are completely shut out of the US market. Otherwise, Cisco would be decimated (they are already more or less).


Huawei is by no means shut out from the U.S. market.

Mid-tier telecoms (e.g. Cricket Wireless) use Huawei routers, cellular equipment, and intermediary equipment. L3 Communications is suggested to have bought from them as well. [1]

Huawei mobile phones are doing well in the U.S. The Nexus 6P is one example of a popular Huawei product.

Huawei televisions also sell well in the U.S.

[1] http://fortune.com/2011/07/28/what-makes-china-telecom-huawe...


When did Cricket Wireless become mid-tier telecoms? It is hte first time I have heard of the company. Check this out. U.S. Congress Flags China's Huawei, ZTE As Security Threats:http://www.forbes.com/sites/simonmontlake/2012/10/08/u-s-con... Cisco paid the lobbyists in DC very well.


I can come up with lots of reasons you haven't heard of them: maybe you're not from a large or mid-size city, maybe you intentionally avoid billboards, television, radio, and print advertisements, maybe you don't live in the U.S.; the list goes on. But this is a distraction.

Do you or don't you concede that the significant sales of products contradicts your claim that they are shut out of the market?

> Cisco paid the lobbyists in DC very well.

This is a non-sequitur and sensational flame bait.

Bonus: Even in 2010 Huawei recorded over $500M in revenue in the United States. http://www.huawei.com/us/about-huawei/corporate-info/researc...


$500M in revenue is a small drop in the ocean. Cisco reported $49.2B revenue in 2015 alone. Huawei reported $60.1B in 2015. Apple reported $16B in one quarter of 2014 in greater China alone. Given Huawei's strength in products and advantages in pricing, they should decimate Cisco righteously, if not the barrier stood up by the US government.


Huawei is competing with Cisco domestically (in China) as well. Cisco reported earnings of $1.6B in the China-Japan segment in Q3 [1]. Cisco still sells network equipment to ISPs and telecoms in China. There is no U.S. bogeyman in either country.

I am interested to hear your agenda. Clearly you don't work for Huawei, otherwise you would be better informed. Your insistence of this despite evidence to the contrary is backed by a personal belief. I'm interested in hearing your world view and want to know what that belief is.

[1] http://www.cnbc.com/2016/05/18/cisco-reports-q3-earnings-res...


I am all in for free trade. US government and media love to bash China. When you look in the mirror, US government adopts protectionism yourself just like other countries do. You think you hold the high moral ground while you are just as dirty. It's not backed by my personal belief. Maybe you live on Mars. There is plenty of evidence there. Go take a look at NSA's PRISM program, a mass surveillance program. Go check the news on US government spying on German Chancellor and your own people. Go ask Edward Snowden and Julian Assange.


From your comment history it appears you are from China. Your English is good. Thanks for coming to comment here. I wouldn't want Hacker News to be an echo chamber of Bay Area startup enthusiasts. I want you to continue to comment here. You can advance Chinese interests without being adversarial and accusatory.

However, you don't have a complete picture. True, the U.S. and other countries have gone to the WTO several times to protest dumping and other trade issues. Dumping is the WTO term for selling goods internationally far below cost in an effort to drive local competition out of business. And yes, the U.S. and other countries (India, Australia, etc.) have blocked Huawei's legitimate ventures in telecommunications critical infrastructure.

This isn't anywhere close to the same extent that the Chinese government has blocked international competition within its borders. The Chinese government routinely blocks foreign firms from competing through regulation or outright blocking of internet sites. Many of these sites do not pose a cultural or dissident risk to the Chinese Communist Party.

I'm not making the claim this is evil or wrong. Protectionism is one tactic that nations may use. The United States used a vigorous protective tariff for its first 200 years.

The naive world view that the United States' protectionism is propping up its companies is not accurate. Nor is the view that Tencent and Baidu would disappear without Chinese government protective assistance.

I would love to address the other concerns you have brought up but the scope of this comment thread is trade. I'm not going to let it be completely derailed.


Maybe you haven't heard of Cricket, but I'm sure you've heard of their parent company: AT&T.


Also filled with tons of gov't spyware just like Cisco.


There isn't any evidence to substantiate that. The risk discussed in Congress was that the Chinese government would likely coerce Huawei into inserting "phone-home" capability into telecommunications hardware on U.S. critical infrastructure.

There has been no documented instance of this happening.

Edit: by Huawei.


For spyware, go ask Edward Snowden and NSA's PRISM program. NSA basically demanded direct accesses to Google, Apple etc.'s servers storing user data. NSA also tapped into the backbone of internet and built data centers to store and decrypt data.


Cisco is decimated? That's laughable.

$150 billion market cap.

$49 billion in sales.

$10 billion in profit. That's about 60% more in profit than Alibaba for comparison sake.

$63 billion in cash.

So one of the world's largest and financially strongest corporations, and it's decimated. Oh if they could all be so lucky.


Cisco is laying off 14,000 people, 20% of its workforce. If it is so strong, why would it let go so many people? Cisco makes good profits now, precisely because the US government protects Cisco from competitions in the US market. Yahoo was worth $200B at a time. How much was it sold to Verizon?


Aliexpress[1] is the consumer-focused site. They are doing well with me.

I wish Taobao would come to USA and crush eBay!

[1] http://www.aliexpress.com


They erected a firewall because of centuries of Western imperialism and foreign bullying.

As foreigner you might be fine with "free-trade" that allows you to freely sell opium, or take over cities on sovererign land, or to have foreign social networking companies plaster agenda driven poitical propoganda to people in your country (I'm talking about the facebook India snafu) because you have no investment or ties to the Chinese country, but they do have to think about national interest, and not foreign interest.

It's also not exactly a fair playground if foreign multinationals with decades of established dominance, experience, R&D, and human capital from the developed world compete against Chinese companies which most would be upstarts or recent companies, and with human capital from less developed sources. When none of the country has drinkable tap water, their people have a lot of things on their plate. They don't need foreign competition. It'd be like sending a fully armed US marine squad to duke it out with squad of high schoolers and blaming China for being unfair for erecting a wall around the high schoolers while they grow and train.

Protectionism is a valid strategy to help boost domestic economic development and it's fairly arrogant and imperialistic to assert that we as fully developed foreigners have any right to exploit markets in less developed areas. Any time there is a tariff, it's essentially being practiced.


Well, don't forget that China has been ready and willing to take the benefits of global trade when it suits them. 'We don't want aggressive imperialistic foreign multinationals coming in and bullying our poor domestic companies...', but sure, we'll take all of yor technology, programming languages, operating systems, do literally nothing to stop piracy of Microsoft software...

It's protectionist for sure, but please don't frame it in moral terms of exploitative foreigners. China has played a viciously exploitative game the last 30 years or so.

Plus let's not forget the other major reason for the firewall and other government barriers to foreign market access have been to restrict free flow of information to the Chinese population for purposes of control. It's very righteous to bring up Facebooks occasional gaffe, but you don't consider the CCP to have any devious political slant of their own?


What the real purpose of their firewall is for is debatable. You can't just assume it's purely for control. Control of course is also justifiable in some times and unjustifiable in others, much like how the Democratic National Committee instituted Super Delegates when they found out straight up voting threatened the party leadership's hold on power.

> Well, don't forget that China has been ready and willing to take the benefits of global trade when it suits them. 'We don't want aggressive imperialistic foreign multinationals coming in and bullying our poor domestic companies...', but sure, we'll take all of yor technology, programming languages, operating systems, do literally nothing to stop piracy of Microsoft software...

If you're talking about one-sided business deals, well, it's pretty stupid for multinationals to do that isn't it? They certainly aren't forcing multinationals to do that, but those multinationals obviously calculated the cost-benefits and determined they'd still benefit to doing business under the sovereign rules China imposed.

The difference when multinationals or foreign nationals wanting China to open up to their terms is that these terms are forced upon China and dictated. Fortunately for China it's powerful enough to simply ignore these demands.


Nice job channeling Mao. I didn't make any normative statements, but merely pointed out that China's trade policy is emphatically different from America's.

Personally, I think the costs of Chinese protectionism (to China) outweigh its benefits. Yes, you can definitely make the infant industry argument and it has merit—after all, most of the West used mercantilism to develop. However, I think there are 3 major ways that it is counterproductive these days:

1. Chinese consumers simply have less access to the best tools and products. Yes, there are Chinese versions of everything but frankly they are often inferior to the foreign alternatives.

2. Incomplete access to world tools can cripple Chinese startups—especially if they're trying to expand abroad. This isn't a theoretical point: every time I've been in China, entrepreneurs have complained about the difficulties in using basic international tools like GitHub or Slack. If you don't have access to the best tools, it's harder to build a globally competitive tech company.

3. Companies are insulated from competitive pressure. The firewall gives plenty of insulation to build a company on the Chinese market, but once it's ready to compete internationally

> It's also not exactly a fair playground if foreign multinationals with decades of established dominance, experience, R&D, and human capital from the developed world compete against Chinese companies which most would be upstarts or recent companies

This is a really flimsy argument. Many of the companies being shut out of China aren't huge multinationals with decades of experience or capital—they're startups trying to quickly expand. It's not like China doesn't already have a domestic goliaths which are being competed against. WeChat shouldn't need protection from Line to succeed—Tencent has plenty of money to throw around.

The rest of your comment reeks of decades-old propaganda. Revenge for the opium wars and anti-imperialist dogma hardly have a very encouraging history.


I make no comments to the effectiveness of China's political or country policies or their agenda. I'm simply pointing out that as a country they have a sovereign right to dictate their own rules.

It could be ineffective, but if you believe so you should go join the Communist party and start advising them. Certainly if foreign multinational companies cry foul, it's fairly obvious they are biased as they have a corporate and legal agenda to push profits.

I don't understand your comment about channeling Mao... Sovereignty and protectionism are the rights of any country, not just China. This includes Japan, which is also heavily protectionist, and even the US, when it comes to their inane corn subsidies.

You'd probably support the TPP (https://www.google.com/search?q=tpp&oq=tpp&aqs=chrome..69i57...) which aims to limit country sovereignty in favor of shifting power to global multinationals under the guise of "free" trade. Not really free when you consider the foreign multinationals have had a head start (the exact same problem China faces). Such an agreement is designed to take advantage of smaller countries and reduce their power when battling foreign multinationals that exploit those countries. This is essentially at least part of the battle China faces when employing protectionist policies—primarily against foreign multinational corporations.


> Protectionism is a valid strategy to help boost domestic economic development and it's fairly arrogant and imperialistic to assert that we as fully developed foreigners have any right to exploit markets in less developed areas.

I agree with the majority of your point, as I think we can all agree that without the GFC Chinese internet users would instead be revenue chum for Google / FB / Uber / Apple. I can't argue that their instead having home-grown alternatives isn't beneficial to China as a country.

However, I think it becomes debatable when you look at best for Chinese users. I'd argue that the optimal privacy situation for any user tends to be an app built by a large company headquartered and infrastructured outside the user's legal jurisdiction.

Without strong extra-jurisdictional competition, internal competitors are all subject to the whims and designs of national government. As a American, I'm grateful the EU (for example) raised such a strong fuss about privacy concerns -- without which, I doubt we'd have some mostly-internal American companies making the same positive moves we do see.


Are you referring to general trade barriers (in which I can agree help nascent industries and even the country in the long term) or the firewall that blocks many foreign sites?

On the latter point, I'd be surprised if it is ROI positive for the country. One would expect it would cut off significant communication with the outside world, resulting in duplicate work needing to be done (can't find that open source package on github as github is blocked? that sucks). The censorship regime additionally introduces self-policing costs to Chinese firms.


>Protectionism is a valid strategy to help boost domestic economic development and it's fairly arrogant and imperialistic to assert that we as fully developed foreigners have any right to exploit markets in less developed areas. Any time there is a tariff, it's essentially being practiced.

What you are putting forward is essentially a rhetorically-colored version of this argument: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infant_industry_argument . It was dubious at best when it was first proposed and it's more dubious still now.


The Wikipedia article seems largely sourced from a South Korean economist, "Many countries have successfully industrialized behind tariff barriers. [...] Despite this, infant industry protection is controversial as a policy recommendation." I'd call that mixed opinion.

PS: Side note, apparent "post-autistic economics" is a label that people self applied? Not sure on the branding on that one (they've since changed) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post-autistic_economics


How is it dubious exactly? I just wrapped up Hamilton's biography and lengthy parts of it are devoted to Alexander Hamilton practising the "Infant industry argument" on America itself.

> On March 24, 1791, the U.S. government granted patents for Parkinson's flax mill, even though he had admitted that they were "improvements upon the mill or machinery ... in Great Britain". Clearly, the U.S. government condoned something that, in modern phraseology, could be termed industrial espionage.

> "The extreme embarrasments of the United States during the late war, from an incapacity of supplying themselves, are still matter of keen recollection"

> His opponents cited abundant land and deficient capital and labor as reasons that America should remain a rural democracy.


So? That's just an appeal to (200 year old) authority.


Well, given that economics doesn't amend itself to double-blind experimental verification, what sort of evidence would you even expect to find?

Keep in mind that economists tend to focus on problems that their own societies face -- if protectionism was only really useful to small, underdeveloped economies, you wouldn't really expect mainstream US or European economists to get a lot of funding to look into it, would you?

Note that this is an idea that has been tried under many guises with different names and details:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Import_substitution_industrial...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prebisch%E2%80%93Singer_hypoth...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mercantilism

Maybe the real answer is that whether these efforts are beneficial for their countries depends on the context, and that sweeping generalizations aren't helpful?


The idea of nurturing a nascent industrial base has been active for much of the past 200 years. It also breaks down on highly predictable lines:

Economically dominant nations are in favour of free trade. England / the UK in the 19th century. The United States since the 1950s.

Economically less-developed or backwards nations tend to oppose it, or at least, unrestricted free trade. The United States through much of the 19th century. The UK from about 1919 through the 1970s.

Ha-Joon Chang has been one of the louder voices for this recently, but his own scholarship points to many earlier instances. Friedrich List (mentioned in your article) wrote a book on the topic (The National System of Political Economy), available at the Internet Archive.

Among List's American publishers was J.B. Lippencott, who among other works also printed the authorised version of Chamber's Encyclopaedia. As I've just noted in another comment, there's a particularly illuminating bit of editorial umbrage expressed by the British publishers (Chambers) of some apparently unauthorised rewriting of select articles within the American edition:

https://archive.org/stream/chambersencyclo00unkngoog#page/n1...

In the interests of literature, and in defence of their rights as authors, Messrs Chambers have to make the following Satement regarding an American edition of their Encyclopaedia:

After a time, the American publishers began to make extensive alterations to the articles, a thing which had not been contemplated in the agreement. ...[I]t is a serious matter when, in a re-issue of a work, statements and opinions are introduced which are repudiated and hateful to the original proprietors...

The first "hateful" example was the article on free trade.

British: "This term, when used so late as twenty years ago, expressed a diputed proposition, and was the badge of a political party; it now expresses the most important and fundamental truth in political economy..."

American: "a dogma of modern growth, industriously taught by British manufacturers and their commercial agents...."

Also covered, "Protection -- Protection Duty" (tariffs), rather predictably "Slavery", and containing "a slanderous imputation concerning His Royal Highness the Prince of Wales, which we should be ashamed to copy" among other offenses, an article on Elizabeth I.

I find this interesting on multiple grounds, both in the debates over economics, and in light of claims that Wikipedia's highly visible edit wars are somehow anomolous. I've long maintained they're not by virtue of existence but rather visibility, and feel rather vindicated by this evidence.


> or to have foreign social networking companies plaster agenda driven poitical propoganda to people in your country

As an American, I don't have a problem with the news website RT being accessible in my country, despite the fact that it's a blatant propaganda arm of the Russian government aimed at Americans. If we allow our government to censor sites like RT, then we run the risk of anything that disparages the government being censored as well.


Having spent years in China, I think this accurately describes Chinese reasoning. It omits the drama of lobbying, corruption and paranoia about control.


Do you feel like the firewall is more about control of information and censorship or protectionism on the Internet?


Number 1: control. Number 2 and happy side benefit: protectionism.


> Protectionism is a valid strategy to help boost domestic economic development and it's fairly arrogant and imperialistic to assert that we as fully developed foreigners have any right to exploit markets in less developed areas. Any time there is a tariff, it's essentially being practiced.

Its been shown to be largely counterproductive domestically as it provokes trade wars that destroy domestic industries that rely on the import/export market.

You cherry pick examples of a handful of things that had nothing to do with free trade (free trade has nothing to do with banning goods domestically, such as a specific drug or restricting speech).

> They erected a firewall because of centuries of Western imperialism and foreign bullying.

https://www.jacobinmag.com/2015/12/china-south-africa-imperi...

> In addition, the interaction of neoliberal capitalism and often oppressive labor practices has complicated attempts to secure elite assent. In 2006, a Zambian minister wept when she saw the environment in which workers toiled at the Chinese-owned Collum Coal Mine. Four years later, eleven employees were shot at the site while protesting working conditions. (After widespread outrage, the state eventually took control of the mine.)

> Scarce jobs, incidents like the Collum shootings, and poor working conditions at Chinese-owned companies sparked “anti-Chinese” riots in Zambia and some other countries on the continent. Despite some resistance, however, China — as well as other countries and companies — hasn’t been cut off from market and investment access. How has it been able to do so?

> However, the current configuration is not auspicious for economic diversification or for tackling inequality and poverty in countries like Zambia. In a 2011 speech at the third BRICS leaders meeting, South African President Jacob Zuma said, “We are now equal co-architects of a new equitable international system.” But the reality couldn’t be more different. South Africa’s current “sub-imperial” role (both dominated by external powers and transnational capital and dominating the Southern African region itself) is the one it has historically played. The main difference now is that China is the emergent potential hegemon, rather than Britain.

https://www.hrw.org/news/2016/02/10/dispatches-bangladesh-sh...

> As a result, it shouldn’t be surprising to hear that Ma Mingqiang, China’s ambassador to Bangladesh, objected vehemently last week after visiting the Dhaka Art Summit that featured facsimile images of handwritten notes written by some Tibetan self-immolators, among other subjects.. But what is surprising – and alarming – is that the organizers of the Dhaka Art Summit didn’t respond to the ambassador’s diatribe by defending the works. Worried that China might even prevail and force the Bangladeshi government to shut down the summit altogether, the exhibit’s artists, Tenzing Sonam and Ritu Sarin, chose another unique form of protest: covering the images. In a statement, the artists said their actions were intended to “draw attention to the unreasonable demands of the Chinese Embassy on an event taking place in another country and at the same time further highlight the nature of censorship and oppression inside Tibet.”

Where is your moral outrage on behalf of nations bullied by China?


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I used to believe that smart people would share my political views, too.

By now I have accepted that different people may value vastly different things.

When you notice that someone is so disconnected from your own values, the only use of arguing is for the audience.


[flagged]


There is a bit of truth in that. Leaving aside the frankly odious history of Western imperialism in China, it -- along with the historical memory of constant civil war and the aftereffects of Maoism -- has left a kind of pervasive paranoia and nationalistic hypersensitivity in the Chinese political mind, where every event is exhaustively scanned for evidence of bias, slights, and conspiracy, and presented in the media as such. This, of course, coexists with a more positive and open attitude within the culture and people, but it shouldn't be underestimated as a driving force of Chinese policy and politics.


While the rationale may not be justification, some reading of the history of China (and Japan) and Western nations is very, very highly recommended.

In particular the Opium Wars period, though I'd give a good 100 years on either side of that.


that's because people in america generally do not trust chinese companies. however, through a series of investments they still reach a large audience.

one example off the top of my head:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Riot_Games

their giant shiny new office is right here in west LA, but they're owned by tencent in china.


I feel like that almost proves my point: the Chinese government is very reluctant to allow foreign companies to own a majority of any dominant technology in China, while the inverse is simply never even discussed.


Australia recently blocked a proposal to sell the largest power grid in the country to a Chinese bidder. Describing the Chinese reaction as hypocritcal would be charitable.

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-17/china-call...


The Canadian feds blocked the sale of AllStream (formerly AT&T Canada), a dark fiber, WDM transport and IP network ISP to an Egyptian company on national security grounds. Likely because AllStream has a shitload of contracts for backbone links into federal government facilities.

So instead they sold it to Zayo, the US telecom giant. At least from an ISP industry insider perspective Zayo is trustworthy and has the precedent of providing some 'critical' circuits for different US federal agencies.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/manitoba/allstream-sale-to-acc...


So I can't own or invest in a small internet company in China, yet Australia is protectionist when it wont sell critical infrastructure...


i'm not disagreeing with you.


True. Tencent probably doesn't invest in Riot if LoL wasn't popular in China.


You're right. The US has chosen state backed economical espionage as their method of choice.


Does everybody lose? Sometimes I wonder if a wider distribution of power and "coopition" between countries isn't actually a good thing. And, to that end, China seems to be making the right moves to grow its economy to the point where it can offer great opportunities to its best people.

(But of course the world economy is a very complex and dynamic system, so take any such opinions with a grain of salt.)


To put it in US terms, I don't want Comcast and Verizon to split up the market into their own monopolistic fiefdoms. I want them to compete hard in an open market for my business.


That's not a very good example. Communications is a natural monopoly - the barrier to entry in regional markets lends to less competition naturally. It's why most governments manage their natural monopolies to keep costs down.


> Communications is a natural monopoly

At the backbone level, perhaps, but for historical reasons cable and phone companies were separate, and thus we have both Comcast and Verizon providing last-mile communication services. I already have both phone and cable lines to my apartment, so it's more of a natural duopoly there, and even duopolistic markets should have nonzero competition.


It was just as much a natural monopoly historically as it is now. The last mile cost you talk about is the barrier to entry I mentioned. Again, it's not a very good example because (historically or not) it's a market that lends to less competition by default.

Even Google is having problems with this natural monopoly: http://www.theverge.com/2016/8/15/12492890/google-fiber-wire...


Why isn't two nations working together a good thing for their economies?


All the comments about how restrictive and troublesome the Great Firewall is, yet probably 50% or more of the malicious/unwanted traffic I see coming into my networks (and those of my customers) every day is coming from China.

If you have a web service you want to make available to .cn, perhaps you should try running your web servers on port 25/TCP instead. That seems to be pretty much wide open through the GFW.


> In many ways, the split is like 19th century railroads in the United States, when rails of different sizes hindered a train’s ability to go from one place to another.

Or the railroads in Australia in 2016.


> Chinese Tech Firms Forced to Choose Market: Home or Everywhere Else

The sequel to: "Non-Chinese Tech Firms Forced to Choose Market: China or Everywhere Else."


As someone that is on the hunt for a new job, these articles about the market share war between American and Chinese companies puts me in a (kind of) ignorant position because I don't know where to focus my searches. I don't know if looking for a job in a Chinese company (being a foreigner) is better or worse than looking for a job in an American or even European company.


I am not sure why these articles are popping up on the internet lately, but as far as I can see WeChat and Alibaba are two very successful companies both in China and outside China.


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Commenters here are required to be civil and to eschew personal attacks no matter how wrong someone else's view may be. Comments like the above will get your account banned from Hacker News, so please don't do that again. Instead, please post civilly and substantively, or not at all.

We detached this subthread from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12306020 and marked it off-topic.


Could you please show me the exact words which in your opinion constitute "personal attacks"?

I promise to eschew them if by any chance my words can be reasonably construed as being an ad hominem.


By HN's standards, comments like "Are you high by any chance?", "Someone who can't spell gives lessons", "Congratulations, you won the "[x] of the year" award", "I understand your brain is fixated", and "spew your bizarre ideas" are highly uncivil. Commenting like this is sure to get your account banned on HN. Please read the following, and post civilly and substantively or not at all:

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

https://news.ycombinator.com/newswelcome.html


Is it possible to edit my reply? I got your point.


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Nitpick, but "leftist" doesn't mean what you think it means.

"My country is great and it deserves to do what it wants to do!" doesn't suddenly become "leftist" just because the person saying it is from a different country.


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Well, in that case, "leftist" does not mean what you think it means.

Protectionism is an ancient concept, and espoused by various leaders from all across the political spectrum. As I said, it doesn't suddenly become "leftist" because it's espoused by Xi Jinping instead of Donald Trump.


It's just classic sovereignty.


Glad to have diversity in the world - we don't have to get teenagers hooked on the same exact social network or the same app, regardless of where they are


If they get hooked on one network, it's easier for them to connect, and easier for ideas and memes (in original sense of the word) to flow throughout the world.

If you separate the medium where people communicate, it makes it easier to separate the people from one another and otherfy other groups.

(You would say that language already serves that purpose, but anyone "educated" or "smart" knows or wants to learn English anyway, regardless of where he lives.)


To be fair...

there is something to be said for diversity of THOUGHT. And many times, not always, but many times, social networks become more like echo chambers than idea exchange tools. When you have many social networks, well, at least you can visit different echo chambers from time to time. When you have only one, you really have to remind yourself continuously not to fall down the rabbit hole so to speak.

I like looking at Weibo to see what's going on. I like looking at FB. If they were not 2 totally different populations, I think I would not be exposed to many of the things I'm exposed to every morning. This is no different than me checking Le Monde, the BBC, Al Jazeera and CNN. It's kind of the same idea.

And having all of those different ideas around me is kind of enlightening in a way.


> anyone "educated" or "smart" knows or wants to learn English anyway, regardless of where he lives

Not even a little. Living in Shanghai as a foreigner, my social circle is heavily biased towards people who can speak to me in English. But it's still not enough to hide the fact that English ability among the most highly educated ranges from "fluent" (for those who went to specialized English schools) to "rudimentary" (it's true that at the top levels, everyone knows a bit), and desire to know English ranges from "intense personal interest" to "zero".

Wanting to learn English gets a big boost lower down the ladder, where the economic benefits of a solid grasp of English are painfully apparent. Just being a service worker in a part of town that caters to tourists is a huge step up for a lot of Chinese.


By the same coin, think how unidirectional innovation would be if we were all hooked on the same network, thinking the same thoughts, signalling the same virtues.

The sharing of information is vital for creativity. Yet, so too is diversity... And the more we share, the more alike, and the less diverse, we become.




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