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I'd wager Scotland will want to leave the UK and join the EU. But I'd also wager that the backdoor deals made during the exit negotiations will prevent that from happening.


I'd take that wager. The margin's in Scottland were not high enough to indicate that kind of radical step. 80% of the people who voted remain would have to want to take the additional steps of departing the UK and joining the EU.

Considering that the voting demographics state that the strong remain vote lies with youth, that means getting the youth to vote again and making sure they don't have their minds changed again.

Then you'd have to have the EU not piss off Scottish people in regards to the UK departure AND offer generous terms to them to revolt.

It's a talking point today, but Scotland isn't going to join the EU independently.


> But I'd also wager that the backdoor deals made during the exit negotiations will prevent that from happening.

Who would make those deals and what is there to gain from that by those parties?


I can imagine that there will be a lot of negotiations over the next two years - I can imagine a UK government asking for conditions to be applied to a Scottish entrance to the EU with the EU government getting something it wants in return.

I can't imagine that our new, and probably far more right wing, government will be keen on Scottish independence and will probably take every opportunity to raise road blocks that will prevent it.




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