I'm ok with 20 year predictions when it comes to converting an existing invention into its commercially available mass produced form (like white LED lighting). Or the growth of the 1995 Internet into its now ubiquitous level.
I'm very skeptical when people do 20 year predictions from the current state of the art into something which is impossible to do today for any amount of money, such as this quantum computing based RSA breaker.
I'm very skeptical when people do 20 year predictions from the current state of the art into something which is impossible to do today for any amount of money, such as this quantum computing based RSA breaker.