Huge baby boom? From where? Just because they've relaxed the one child policy doesn't mean everyone is in a rush to have kids. A more common phenomenon is men saving every penny to someday afford a house, because the few single women refuse to date a man with anything less.
Every single economy that transitions from agriculture to industry experiences the same fall in birth rates. Having a lot of kids goes from being an insurance against elderly poverty to an insurmountable burden on your focus and finance. Most of the Chinese couples who have one child are happy to leave it from that.
How will China experience a baby boom any time soon? Why 3 years? Where's your evidence?
I have no evidence I can't see into the future and no one else in this thread can. It's pure speculation, all I know for sure is the official birthrate will go up and I'd bet any amount of money on that. I picked 3 years because if you didn't know it takes 9 months to have a baby so that'd be a good time frame to see the rate up. Any other questions?
Yes, why will the birth rate go up if the cost of raising children remains high and China's economy appears to be slowing down? These are macroeconomic signs of lower birth rates, not higher.
Every single economy that transitions from agriculture to industry experiences the same fall in birth rates. Having a lot of kids goes from being an insurance against elderly poverty to an insurmountable burden on your focus and finance. Most of the Chinese couples who have one child are happy to leave it from that.
How will China experience a baby boom any time soon? Why 3 years? Where's your evidence?