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I think the analogy still works in this scenario, though. Like once you've grown so much that your at capacity in your current setup, THEN you can invest in growing your business.

For this restaurant this adding a new room or a new location in another town.

For a solo founder, this might be when you finally start hiring to free up your time for other tasks.

It's not necessarily never grow. It's about growing on your own terms when you can afford to do so.


So one of the most "out there" non-fiction books I've read recently is called "Alien Information Theory". It's a wild ride and there's a lot of flat-out crazy stuff in it but it's a really engaging read. It's written by a computational neuroscientist who's obsessed with DMT. The DMT parts are pretty wild, but the computational neuroscience stuff is intriguing.

In one part he talks about a thought experiment modeling the universe as a multidimensional cellular automata. Where fundamental particles are nothing more than the information they contain. And particles colliding is a computation that tells how that node and the adjacent nodes to update their state.

Way out and not saying there's anything truth to it. But it was a really interesting and fun concept to chew on.


Definitely way out there and later chapters are what I can only describe as wild conjecture, but I also found it to be full of extremely accessible foundational chapters on brain structure and function.


Im working on a model to do just that :) The game of life is not too far off either.


You might enjoy his next book: Reality Switch.


Alertness early in the day seems to do the trick for me. I think of deep sleep as reaction to how alert I was earlier in the day. So on days I make an effort to activate myself early in the day, I will fall into longer deep sleep that night (2+ hours according to my fitbit). If I just kind wake up and laze around the house without getting much activity, then I I get under and hour of deep sleep, even with the same amount of total sleep.

What seems to work for me is immediate sunlight exposure right when I wake up, 5 - 10 mins of being outside, 16 oz of cold water right around that time, 2-5 mins of an activity that gets my heart rate up (jumping jacks, burpees, jump rope). If I can muster it, a cold shower also helps.

There are other things like getting exercise, avoiding caffeine after a certain time, avoiding light exposure prior to bed, avoiding alcohol, sleeping in a cool room that I think also help. But for me it's the making myself super alert right when I wake up that has the biggest bang for my buck.

This is anecdotal, n = 1 kind of stuff though. And I don't do it every day, and it doesn't work 100% of the time. But I definitely notice that I am far more likely to get a lot of deep sleep when I do those things than when I don't. Hope it helps you in some way.


I might add an except for Station Eleven to that rule. It was an excellent adaptation imo.


I've found a barbell shape to the response. People either seem to really like or hate it. Not too many people I know that are in the middle.

I will say I'm one of the people that really like it. I'm a big fan of the first Dune book and I think it does a great job of being true to the story. It's visually stunning and the score is perfect. My only gripe (and it's a big one) is that the cut the dinner scene. I don't understand that choice at all, but it wasn't enough to ruin the whole movie for me.

People that I know who don't like it think it's slow and that nothing really happens. And they're right. It also just awkwardly cuts off in the middle, so it doesn't feel like a complete movie. As a fan of the book, that didn't bother me too much because I realize it's just half the story and they can't make a 6 hour movie. But it is jarring, especially if you aren't already familiar with the plot.

And you are 100% correct that this would be better suited as an HBO miniseries. There's just way too much to cram into a movie. If you haven't checked out SyFy's miniseries and the Children of Dune miniseries, they are surprising good given the low budget SyFy had for it (compared to Villeneuve's budget at least).


I'm "in the middle"; it's certainly not a bad movie, but it also failed to really capture me. I still prefer David Lynch's Dune – yes, it has its issues[1] but it's so much more creative and bewildering than the almost sterile "Villeneuve look". I certainly don't begrudge Villeneuve for following his own creative vision, but I wish it was more Lynch-esque, minus the problems of course.

[1]: The DVD copy of Dune I bought at the store many years ago has a cover with visible JPEG artefacts. It's a perfect cover.


I agree the movie is really good and hits the author's main themes pretty well. I also like the dinner scene in the book, and it plays a key role in fleshing out the complex socio-political-economic world of the Imperium - but for a movie it really wouldn't be feasible. It introduces too many characters (the banker, the water-seller, the smuggler, the honeypot, etc.) and has too many side-stories and nuances - it would probably take at least half an hour of screen time to do properly, and trying to cram it down would make it meaningless.

Similarly, in the book the time period between the arrival of House Atreides on Dune and the subsequent invasion is much longer and has many other side-stories going on, all of which are eliminated in the movie. Including all that material would require a HBO Game of Thrones type approach, with each book consuming an entire season.

Deciding which material is the most important must have been a hard decision, but I think they did a very good job considering the limits of the movie format, and the overall atmospherics felt just right.

Personally I'd like to see a David Attenborough-style special on "Dune: The Ecology of the Sandworm Life-Cycle" but it's not likely.


I'm with you mostly on the "really like" side. Sound all the way around is excellent. Little details like the horn blowing dust when they disembark from the ships on Arrakis are great. Salusa Secundus in the rain was great. The overall visual style is great. Casting was mostly great.

I just wish some of the sets were a bit more dense. The room for the Gom Jabbar scene, the Bene Gesserit walking back to the ship, cone of silence scene, and especially the palace fight on the stairs. Kinda gave my Sky Captain vibes.

I also don't like cutting the tension between Jessica and Thufir, although if Thufir doesn't end up under the Baron I guess I get it.


Interesting - having read the book several times I don't get the reference to the dinner scene; will have to look it up.

The parts which bothered me were the Zendaya slow-mo flash-forwards being too long and too frequent with no substance, and Lady Jessica crying far more than reasonable for the character I remember.


> Interesting - having read the book several times I don't get the reference to the dinner scene; will have to look it up.

Chapter 16:

* https://www.shmoop.com/study-guides/literature/dune/summary/...


I think you’re right that the market for this is probably pretty small. But more so because these federated solutions won’t replicate the addictiveness and vitality of Twitter.

I think the big thing that’s missing when comparing people leaving Twitter to people who said they’d move to Canada is switching costs. Like it is a heavy lift to move countries, much less so to stop using one platform and start using another.


Is there a way you could do a “Wizard of Oz” or “Concierge” type of MVP for your first 5-10 customers?

So instead of building something functional, you could use no code tools to design a custom front end for these early adopters and then hardcode (manually type in) the parts that will require real code to scale.

You could then deliver these as consulting style projects, and use the revenue you capture from these customers to pay someone to build a code-based version.

Upside to this would be bootstrapped funding for development, a clearer sense of what the app does and the user stories associated with it, and validation that people will actually pay money for the product.

Downside is you will have to manage the customers and the delivery, which can quickly get overwhelming. Especially for a solo founder.

Personally, I’ve found the concierge MVP route to be really effective. I used these early adopters as a Product Advisory Board, and they became excellent advocates and case studies for our product.


I found this book to be extremely helpful. https://www.amazon.com/Moms-Call-Basic-Baby-Months/dp/098541...

There's a section on typical days that really helped us orient our days. We also found that by following this schedule our baby started sleeping from 9:00 pm - 5:00 am at around 7 weeks. And by 12 weeks the baby was sleeping from 7:30 - 6:30. Other friends have seen similar sleep patterns.


Hey I don't have a dog in this fight, but I think this is the link you're looking for.

https://github.com/fivethirtyeight/checking-our-work-data


Nope. I'm looking for 538's predictions. You cannot go from the raw data they used back to how they interpreted it.


Here is the historical data for the 2018 House forecast:

- Web: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...

- JSON: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...

You are correct they do not publish the exact math of the forecasts, but you can see how the forecast changed over time.


The link I provided does actually show every single forecast 538 has ever made. OP was wrong when they said it was the raw data they use to make the predictions. Check out the link I provided, it has everything OP was asking for.


Nice! I didn’t poke into it much further cause I knew about this one.


Please look at the actual data on the linked page. Each of the csv files on that page has thousands of predictions 538 made going back as far as 2008. This isn't the raw data they used to make the predictions, these are the actual predications that they made.

Edit: For example, here are the headers on the file named presidential_elections.csv

year,office,state,district,election_date,forecast_date,forecast_type,party,candidate,projected_voteshare,actual_voteshare,probwin,probwin_outcome

These are the actual forecasts they made for presidential elections going all the way back to 2008.


It's times like these I wish I could afford a boat!


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