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Are there really antivax people that would know the word "covariate?" That's gotta be a small Venn diagram overlap.

They might know the word. Understanding what it means in context is a different matter.

You see this all the time where people will pick up niche jargon and misapply it.


Antivaxers surpisingly know quite a lot of lingo. What they lack is an understanding of experimental methods.

I'm fine with vaccines, i just dont want my kids to particpate in the experiemnt for a disease that they have 0% chance of dying from.

The case fatality ratio for measles infected children in high-income countries is also low. Nonetheless, we vaccinate children for this infectious disease because morbidity is also bad.

Which disease is that? I'm not aware of any disease that's commonly vaccinated against that has a 0% death rate in children.

The Covid deaths were measured in thousands before they could find a single individual under 18 yrs old who died from it. The only reason to vaccinate kids was to try to prevent them from spreading it to adults. Right from the beginning (eg. With the cruise ship that was infected), it was extremely obvious that the main factor in survivability was age. The younger you were, the safer it was. Weight was also very important but we learned that later

Considering there have been over 7 million deaths directly from covid, saying "covid deaths measured in the thousands before X" is another way of saying "X happened right at the beginning of covid".

Plus, there's a big difference between "young people tend to have less risk of death" and "young people have a 0% chance of death" like the person I replied to claimed.


No, we also vaccinate children to prevent non-fatal illness, which is a reasonable choice to make if adverse effects of the vaccine are very small (they are). People get flu shots annually for this same reason.

Edit: I would also add that parents regularly make choices for their children that involve larger amounts of risk.


Sovcits similarly use lots of complicated legal terms.

They just don't use them correctly and/or appropriately.


If they like money, they'll just roll HBO into Netflix and raise prices. I really doubt Disney's complex bundling/pricing scheme is helping their bottom line.

I think it is. ESPN is a totally separate vertical than the rest of what Disney offers, and it’s subject to compulsory high rate licensing.

Excluding it from the bundle lets Disney be price competitive.


It also underlines in the US that sports is probably the last interest in linear programming. It would be interesting to get a picture of how many US customers will pay for ESPN in a Disney+ bundle but not Linear Hulu. I'm sure Disney will be tracking it, and probably made a smart move making the more interesting bundle the one with ESPN but not Linear Hulu.

There's a huge interest in sports in the US (and elsewhere). And broadcast rights reflect that. But there are also a bunch of people who would happily take a discount on all their other video to not include sports.

And sports coverage is very regional. Disney plus shows African football matches in S. Africa but in the US, I wouldn’t be surprised if it focused only on US football and US college teams.

In the US, ESPN somewhat built its reputation on having some of "all" sports, in part because when the channel started it was much easier/cheaper to fill 24 hours a day on cable with imports and non-traditional sports.

That still seems to mostly apply. In the US on Disney+ the US sports are often front and center, sure, but you can still scroll the list and get European football matches and some Aussie Rules Rugby and Cricket all kinds of things that people don't necessarily think US sports fans would watch. I think part of what ESPN realized, too, is that even regional sports can have global appeal with the right marketing or the fact that not much else is being played in that moment.

ESPN is also still often the home in the US of things like the Scripps National Spelling Bee and various Poker and Chess championships. This was famously mocked in the comedy movie Dodgeball with that movie's climactic Dodgeball championship happening on ESPN Ocho, the fictional 8th cable channel for US ESPN (which had 3 channels at the time). That joke has come full circle in interesting ways as ESPN has roughly 7 cable channels today and intentionally uses the "ESPN Ocho" branding for weirder/smaller audience championships even though the number of people that still remember the comedy movie Dodgeball is shrinking and people don't remember why it was a joke.


There are a few American sports fan who get up at 9am on a Saturday morning to watch the Premier League but that comes with an unbundled and affordable Peacock subscription. I used to be one of those guys but these days I might go to multiple games at my Uni and the other college in town and a weekend so I'm not inclined to watch sports on TV. Peacock has some other primo international sports such as the Rugby World Cup.

I don't have cable or Disney+ any longer but, as someone who played rugby in school and still have an occasional interest, I find it's difficult to find in the US on TV.

I could buy the ESPN carve-out, but the fact that Hulu is separate is just mental.

I dunno about that. They introduced the ad supported tier as a way to reach consumers at a lower price point and apparently it’s been very successful. I don’t think they want to lose those customers by jacking up prices now.

Netflix has raised prices about 25% at the premium tier since they released the ad-free version in 2022. The with-ads plan has also seen increases since launch.

Their prices have been inching up. I pay for the lowest non-ad tier, and it's $17.99/mo. If I wanted 4K & HDR, it's up to $24.99/mo. At $7.99/mo for the ad-supported tier, they could easily bump that to $9.99/mo if it included HBO/Hulu/ESPN.

I suspect you are right, but I’m not alone in walking away from this trend.

They lost me as a longtime customer after too many price hikes and low programming quality.

Netflix shows are “have it on in the background” quality whereas HBO has released some of the best TV of all time. This merger has enshittification written all over it.


I agree, but HBO has also gone downhill as they lost talent to other services. Currently the streamer with the highest consistent quality is Apple, which is pretty unexpected.

Apple has the benefit of the original Netflix exclusives model (and the original TV primetime distribution model) that they don't operate their own studios and instead can pick and choose from the cream of the crop of the more expensive projects from the others. (Severance is from Ben Stiller's Red Hour mini-studio, Ted Lasso and Shrinking are from WB Television, Slow Horses and Pluribus are from Sony Television, Foundation and Murderbot are from Skydance/Paramount Television, and so forth.)

I'm sure Apple is contributing significantly to many of those shows' budgets and helping them all reach similar quality bars, but Apple is also certainly benefiting from spreading that budget across multiple studios and not putting all their risk in (micro-)managing their own studio. Whereas a lot of the "streamer X has gone downhill" seems to be directly related to being able to source projects only from sibliing studios creating very simple monocultures of every project feeling the same and risking that bad or unlucky projects tainting other projects in that monoculture stew.


Very hit or miss though. And withs some exceptions like Slow Horses, their productions feel overly produced, oiled by agency crossover and 360 package deals, i.e., manufactured from script to screen. Even Pluribus has that smug sanitized gloss.

I liked Foundation but boy Time Bandits was awful.

I don’t completely disagree with you, although For All Mankind has become a top 20 all time show for me.

Honestly, in these days when pretty much everything is sourced from individual production companies and showrunners, it becomes pretty clear that while some studios have their own brands/budgets/priorities/execs/etc. there's no magic formula to getting it all right. It's been tried before and will be tried again.

I’m pretty sure I would riot if they raise prices more. I’m not paying $30 to one streaming service. Criterion and Kanopy are working great for me as is.

In locations where fiber is not available (like my place), cable is the next best option, and cable has a lot more unexpected downtime. I could see this being a good backup, especially for small businesses like retail shops that couldn't afford to have their POS go down for half a day.

Agreed retail is a good customer for this tech. But even after getting fiber personally, it gets cut a lot by landscaping crews. Most of the time it’s a residential line that takes a day to fix. But a few times it’s been a main line and it takes 3-4 days. Maybe I’m unusual but that’s been my experience

Why are landscaping crews cutting wires on poles in the sky?

Poles are common, but so are existing buried conduits and vaults which are often used if they exist.

Around here, it’s Starlink >> Fiber >> Cable because our lines are above ground and outages are frequent.

Fiber is less expensive than and more than 10x faster than starlink, in fairness.

Our 5g towers seem to run off the fiber lines, so it’s not really a backup (and gets overwhelmed anyway).

I’m considering getting fiber in addition to starlink, but I wish they’d just buried the lines.

I see telephone trucks repairing downed lines we’d rely on many dozens of times a year. Digging a trench would probably pay for itself in a year or two.


> Digging a trench would probably pay for itself in a year or two.

I know some people running independent community fiber ISPs. Digging trenches can be a nightmare depending on the neighbourhood. You can have property ownership issues, other utilities being present, permit nightmares, different ground/soil types, etc. That ignores the fact that when somebody else digs they can hit your lines and repairing that is a pain.

Digging is better, though. But it’s not necessarily as easy as one may think.


Definitely a nightmare.

Where I work just acquired new property and are deploying a new site. It took 9 months, from date of first contact, before the ISP could come out, bore under the road, and run fiber to our building from two poles away. And that's just a short ~500 feet underground run.

I couldn't imagine the amount of permitting and logistics involved in trying to bury an entire run across town.


My community did the big dig around 2001. They finished around 2010. It was a huge project that took hundreds if not thousands of man-hours. I'm not sure if anyone ever actually calculated the total cost. And this is for a pretty small town. Now the day-to-day connectivity is much better, and weather almost never knocks us out, but when something does get knocked out, it takes longer to fix.

Overall, it's much nicer. No ugly telephone poles, don't have to worry about weather, just reliable, strong service. But to think it pays for itself in 2 years is laughable.


I would normally love this device, except I already have 2.5gbit fiber AND cable. They work for load balancing and failover.

Now I can't decide if I need a 3rd WAN.....


Wow. It's called "thermoplastic" for a reason.

Yes, repackaging and reselling AI is a starkly better business than creating frontier models

Finding a use for Ai will be an even better business.

If you can't find a use for AI, you probably haven't given it much of a try. Just one random example: I needed to find experts in a technical field, and gave the problem to Claude Code. Claude put together a comprehensive research plan, dug deep into industry working groups, and produced a prioritized list of experts along with their bios, rationale and LinkedIn profiles.

Completely possible for me to do, but it saved me at least a couple hours of Googling.


Not quite but close. Titanic, like a lot of movies of the 90s and 2000s, was shot in Super 35. In Super 35, the image is ~4:3, but it requires optical printing or scanning to produce a release print, since the image is both not the correct aspect ratio and also occupies the area used for optical sound.

So it was not "cropped in the theater"—the theater got a standard anamorphic print. To go from the Super 35 negative to the anamorphic print, they both cropped and optically squeezed the image (in the case of the non-vfx shots), and scanned, cropped, squeezed digitally and printed back to film (in the case of the vfx shots). This was a few years before they did full "digital intermediates."


But once your DMARC, DKIM & SPF is configured correctly, there should be no reason for an MTA to reject your mail due to DMARC, right? I have DMARC reporting turned on, but am considering turning it off.

Back when I ran email for a large sender, I turned DMARC reports off once I got things settled in, and might turn it on to debug issues.

There was nothing to do about the reports most of the time. Just get mad that people are accepting spoofed mail that fails DKIM and SPF.

But mostly, the phishing campaigns with our branding just stopped spoofing addresses. Turns out, lots of email clients don't show the sender address and people who get a phishing email about Service Y from info@johnsplumbingservices.example.com may get phished.


Absolutely. I don't understand why investors are excited about getting into a negative-margin commodity. It makes zero sense.

I was an OpenAI fan from GPT 3 to 4, but then Claude pulled ahead. Now Gemini is great as well, especially at analyzing long documents or entire codebases. I use a combination of all three (OpenAI, Anthropic & Google) with absolutely zero loyalty.

I think the AGI true believers see it as a winner-takes-all market as soon as someone hits the magical AGI threshold, but I'm not convinced. It sounds like the nuclear lobby's claims that they would make electricity "too cheap to meter."


It's the same reason for investing in every net-loss high-valuation tech startup of the past decade. They're hoping they'll magically turn into Google, Apple, Netflix, or some other wealthy tech company. But they forget that Google owns the ad market, Apple owns the high-end/lifestyle computer market, and Netflix owns tv/movie habit analytics.

Investors in AI just don't realize AI is a commodity. The AI companies' lies aren't helping (we will not reach AGI in our lifetimes). The bubble will burst if investors figure this out before they successfully pivot (and they're trying damn hard to pivot).


Helping to prevent a possible skynet scenario probably makes those checks easier to write.

There's a lot more than money at stake.


> I don't understand why investors are excited about getting into a negative-margin commodity. It makes zero sense.

Long term, yes. But Wall Street does not think long term. Short or medium term, you just need to cash out to the next sucker in line before the bubble pops, and there are fortunes to be made!


This only strengthens my decision to invest in 4K Blu-ray. We're fully in the enshittification stage of streaming TV.

Some Blu-Rays have major spoilers in their menu animations, and some have unskippable ads, some of which may contain major spoilers. [0] It's also a criminal offence to create a backup, thanks to the DMCA.

On the plus side, all UHD Blu-Rays are free of region-locking.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26211740


Nothing is perfect—it's all about what's workable for you. I'm still doing both, but I'm convinced that streaming is deteriorating.

The last time most people changed browsers, it was to Chrome, and it was related to speed. But that was over a decade ago.

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