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buying - capital expenditure with amortization (and usually goes through a lot of approvals, centralized IT, etc.), subscription - expense, frequently decided upon and paid directly by the Line-Of-Business/dept. Expense is generally better, so it is chosen by business when possible (it is all very generic of course, and there are niche cases where situation is different)

That matches on the supplying side as subscription revenue is also generally better.


>ICE will also become the "armed wing of the Party"

interesting that the ICE is performing that hallmark of 20th century - mass removal of "undesirable" people from society and placement them into the camps without criminal charge and judicial oversight, etc. thus totally undermining the main contract between government and society - due process.


by that logic it is perfectly legal for AMZN to openly publish the whole vast-vast trove of Ring videos. I do think it is legal, just wondering what would government do it if AMZN actually does it. I also think the governments at all levels should publish all the license plate readers data because it was collected/bought on the public dime and thus a public property.

there are plenty of sites at least in the USA where you have live cameras of public areas, hosted by the governments themselves.

lets suppose you collect those feeds and do image recognition and integration of data across those multiple feeds, add cross-referencing with other public data of photos, names, addresses, etc. - would it be legal? would it be legal to publish the results in the open?

there are already sites where again you can put it anyone's name and it will show you where they live, where they lived, people they've lived with, and no I will not link them because they're already too widespread and I don't want more to know about them, but someone on here can trivially find one

>I feel like this point is refuted by what we're seeing out of robotics in China?

Humanoid robot Olympic Games in China:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Y-tElcmJVE

Also, reminded - Russian "localization" (typical Russian hi-tech today, especially when on government investment, is simple rebadge of a Chinese tech) - even good Chinese robots starts to fall like drunk:

https://youtu.be/WVKxw72vlmo?t=15

and for the GGP comment:

>self driving delivery vans with a humanoid delivery robot

why humanoid? Glorified Roomba-like robots would do such job just fine. Every time seeing how the Amazon driver parks his van and runs around in our complex placing packages in front of the doors and making photos of the placed packages i'm wondering why Amazon wouldn't use 5-10 such Roombas per van instead. (and every time i think that i have to make such a startup myself, and after that i immediately think that Amazon would easily beat me by developing it 100x faster - in a week where i'd spend 2 years - and so i don't do it, and Amazon apparently doesn't do it too)


The simple reason why they don’t do it: It has to be 100% reliable. Robots get stuck, need charge, software has bugs, … So your fleet of robots would need supervision. Probably for years to come. And a human driver only costs like 70-80k a year.

The point of machine learning based systems (imo) is that they aren't 100% reliable.

Idk where people are getting the idea that systems designed to mimic biological brains will have machinelike precision whilst also being flexible to adapt to new situations.


A human supervisor monitoring 10 or more vehicles and unstuck them in case will also not cost more per year.

Yeah, but this requires good teleoperator infrastructure. You can’t unstuck a robot that loses connection. There are just a lot of things that can go wrong. And an entire car being stuck and waiting for someone to come is also not cheap. I am pretty sure Amazon (one of the biggest robotics company on the planet btw) has done the math.

Many houses don't have flat approaches, our definitely doesn't. Whatever delivers a package to our town home at least needs to navigate paver stones. Dog bots could probably do it though.

Deliveries are probably one of the few legitimate applications for humanoid robots, but even then 99% of the work is done on wheels and the robot is just there to ring a bell, open a door and climb stairs.

This is probably something people don't understand about humanoid robots. Nobody is dumb enough to replace their CNC machines with humanoid robots holding power tools and yet that is what you're being sold on when Elon Musk is teasing a trillion dollar valuation.

Instead, the vast majority of humanoids will be used for pretty boring FedEx or door dash style logistics work, not much different from wheeled robots.


> why humanoid? Glorified Roomba-like robots would do such job just fine.

Steps. Garden gates. Uneven surfaces. Communal entrances.

The real world is messy and certainly not flat.

Some sort of wheeled-legged-centaur type robot might work though.


i don't see them mentioning of price and C-rating. Suppose their C-rating is sufficient. Current widely available cheap batteries are almost 300Wh/kg. So, on a 3 kg drone with up to 3 kg payload (say RPG-7 single shaped charge warhead) with say 30 min flight time the new battery will give you 10 min additional flight time. At what price? If the price results in having only one 40 min drone instead of 2 30 min drones, then in the current war, only say 10% drones would need to be with new batteries, while it would be most effective to have the rest with the old batteries as the current war seems to be about horizontal scaling.

Overall - their page sounds like a revolution in battery industry as they hit all the points - durability, capacity/weight, fast charging, etc. It is like Musk should just close his GigaFactory. I mean, i would like such a revolutionary development as in particular it would mean we'll soon get personal VTOLs (where price aspect is less important than in the case of drones mentioned above) ...


Yeah, I was noticing that too. There is a company out there, Amprius, which has validated their silicon anode lithium ion batteries that can discharge at 10C (or 20C pulses), have varying densities from ~345wh/kg to 450wh/kg, and are shipping them to customers for drones and VTOLs.

I think until we have an independent lab verify the results, it's pretty much impossible to say if their (Donut Labs) claims are true or not. The only thing I'm particularly suspicious of is that they claim their battery was verified but didn't say by who or provide a whitepaper on it. Both of those seem to be the bare minimum for most battery manufacturers, and with their extraordinary claims I'd assume they'd have them front and center.


I agree, but I suppose most batteries in circulation at the front lines are not fresh, and likely have 75%-90% of the original capacity after intense discharge-charge cycles multiple times a day. If his battery does not deteriorate as quickly, it may be worth the price, for non-kamikaze-type drones. Not a shaped charge and ramming into armor, but a mortar round dropped from 300-500m, undetected. There is a ton of videos on YouTube with footage from such bomber drones.

10 extra minutes may mean extra 5 kilometers of range, or of a patrol / recon route.


the popular conspiracy theory among Russian opposition is that Maduro exit was negotiated, so he will do small time at a Fed club and would preserve significant amount of his money (at least couple hundreds of millions), and after completing the time will end up with his money in Russia/Belarussia.

We can see that nobody was going to resist the operation in Venezuela, so it doesn't really matter that Venezuela doesn't have nukes. Using nukes isn't just a matter of pressing a button, it involves a lot of people and processes - thus any significant opposition inside the force or just widespread sabotage will make it unusable.


It strikes me as completely possible that the exit was negotiated. The fact that they knew his exact location and "luckily" nabbed him right before he went into some kind of panic room / bunker is certainly... something.

But it seems equally likely to me that he was sold out by somebody in the VZ government/military. And that the paltry military resistance was because they saw direct confrontation with the US as suicidal.


I think it is kind of both - the exit was ultimately negotiated because most of the VZ government/military either sold him or at least abandoned him and showed no interest in any further support of him.

80 of their guys died? Not just venuzuelans. If it was negotiated then maduro negotiated his own closest security forces to be killed as a cover.

Not impossible but certainly in the tinfoil hat range of possibilities.


> the popular conspiracy theory among Russian opposition is that Maduro exit was negotiated, so he will do small time at a Fed club and would preserve significant amount of his money

It sounds stupid. Maduro has no way to enforce the deal, and the US has no incentive to fulfill this deal.

> We can see that nobody was going to resist the operation in Venezuela, so it doesn't really matter that Venezuela doesn't have nukes.

To use it, no resistance is matter. One person must do their job to launch a nuclear weapon. That's all.

> it involves a lot of people and processes

It doesn't matter. Nuclear deterrence exercises are conducted regularly. And their peculiarity is that no one except the person with the red button knows whether it's an exercise or whether the missiles will actually be launched this time.

So when the order to launch comes, many people will be performing a large number of complex processes which will result in the use of nuclear weapons. Because they regularly receive such orders and carry out these processes.


for anybody who can't pass the test on understanding - default "No" vote. That would incentivize the opposite - straight to understand bills.

> Sure, they want the benefits that are provided. However, if being aware of what the costs are to get those benefits apriori

no being aware is the key here. For example just on NPR - 40% of American kids think bacon is a plant.

(Don't get me wrong - i intentionally immigrated to US and i like all those benefits of life here. Speaking about the costs of that to the rest of the world - back in Russia i worked for domestic employers as well as for a US based one, and being "exploited" by the US based employer were much nicer than by the domestics.)


Children ages 4-7.

They also believe a fat man dressed in red zips around the earth one night to give everyone presents.

They’re children. They don’t need to know where bacon and hot dogs come from.

I doubt those children care about anything outside their bubble.


>They’re children. They don’t need to know where bacon and hot dogs come from.

not sure about that. Around age 7 i saw a full butchering of a pig at my grandmother's farm, and i was still happily eating pork for the next 20+ years, and i don't remember anybody in my childhood not knowing where the bacon is coming from. I stopped eating beef and pork though about 20 years ago exactly for the reason where it comes from.

Btw, "They don’t need to know where ... come from" can be said by the powers-to-be about people of any age.


Those are 4-7 year old children in the study, but still...

i wonder about pizza near Chinese MOD - it looks like Putin gets Ukraine in exchange for Trump getting Venezuela, and the next natural piece here is Xi getting Taiwan.

no way - this notion of "exchanges" isnt real, certainly i will never believe it.

why would the US 'play nice', when it can have its cake and eat it too? venezuela show of force, followed by imminent regime change in iran, ukraine will get more weapons, and china will continue getting surrounded via japan.

i think the people hoping to see some kind of change to the status-quo will be disappointed! pax americana alive and well.


Until the chain of incompetence slowly gets replaced top down by bootlickers and the military degrades over the years.

well yes, but from todays events it seems that everybody elses military is degraded, if anything.

after being inundated with scenes of russian donkeys, ukranian 3d-printed drones, and hezbollah toyota machine-guns, this is a stark reminder of who the real, OG 'world policeman' is (and there is only one!)

ultimately its actions that matter, and the US can punch.

every dictator of every 3rd world nation is thinking super hard today about how much they really care about resisting 'US imperiaism' - indeed, whether their soldiers are even capable of preventing them from being abducted in a shock extraction by a vastly more organised and technologically superior US.


We're talking in different timeframes

And then we have peace :)

"Bro please just give me the Sudetenland. I swear bro just let me take the rest of Czechoslovakia and I'm done. It's my last territorial demand bro I promise. Just one more annexation and the Treaty of Versailles is fixed. Please bro it's just for the living space."

"Bro please just let me take Kyiv. I swear bro just one more special military operation and the security buffer is complete. It's not a war bro it's denazification. Just give me the Donbas and the land bridge and I'll be chill. One more mobilization and the multipolar world order is saved bro please."

"Bro please just acknowledge the Nine-Dash Line. I swear bro just let me have Taiwan and the great rejuvenation is complete. It's totally an internal matter bro. Just one more island chain and the century of humiliation is over. Please bro just let me cross the strait."

"Bro please just let me bring them freedom. I swear bro just one more regime change and the region is stable. It's about democracy bro it's not about the oil reserves I promise. Just let me install an interim president. Please bro just one more coup."


Yes. Or as Chamberlain put it, "There will be peace in our time."

so we had some onsite generation moves from the lower end - residential solar, etc - and now we have it from the higher end - fossil fuel generation at datacenters. If that creates high efficiency generators then that may drive "onsite" further into the mid-segment. That may also affect the grid role nudging it from hierarchical delivery to network sharing/rebalancing, and may even lead to separate local grids (like 100+ years ago). That also would give fossil fuels new demand (and also would be a market for small/compact nuclear). Kind of disintegration wave.

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