I would love to explain to Sam Altman that Elon Musk is a bad person and using his platform isn’t a sensible decision, but I feel like he remembers more evidence of that than I ever will be able to imagine.
> Educate me please with a comparison of what China has done to be "some of the most imperialist policies"?
Tibet occupation. Taiwan encirclement and ongoing military exercises. Strong-arming African and Asian countries that made the mistake of signing up for belt & road. Tianenmen Square. Illegal Foreign Police Stations. Uyghurs/Xinjiang genocide and concentration camps. Repeated invasion and occupation of Indian territory in North East and North West. The Great Firewall of China - occupation and suppression of its own populations. Ongoing Han settlement of Tibet, Xinjiang and other ethnic regions. Violent destruction of Hong Kong democracy (that was condition of handover). Spratly Islands occupation. Attacks on Filipino shipping and coast guard. Ongoing attacks on Japan's Senkaku Islands.
Tibet
Hong Kong / Macau
Taiwan
Everything constantly in the South China Sea
Belt and Roads is effectively the Marshall Plan but even bigger - Africa being the major example, but also Eastern Europe, parts of the middle east, etc. Over 100 countries. This exact playbook is what sets up the infrastructure and reasons for military intervention at a later date - protecting your investments.
I also expect best people to be more open to join startups, those that have a chance of overcoming the moats built in 2010s.
I expect the stock market to adjust their stock prices due to the reduction in growth by 2035, all the great people decided to leave between 2026 - 2030.
I’ve started doing a quick background check on authors before I dive into their content. This piece starts with the assumption that the writer is closely involved in engineering, but a little research reveals they don't actually work in active software development.
I’ll pass on this.
p.s. I’m happy to read authors with opposing views. Issue is with people who make claims, without having recent direct experience.
A better test is to see if the author stands to financially (or other ways) benefit from the posts future predictions coming true. They also fail this one.
That is also an influence, although that has a risk if one over-indexes on it and getting into tunnel-vision territory.
If the opposing view is indeed correct and I dismiss them just because they voted with their feet or money, that would be unfair and damage building a diverse view of the debate landscape and opinions.
writing software for a hobby is different from hundreds of thousand that do it 40+ hours per week, go into planning into retros into milestone review meetings etc.
I am painting in my free time as a hobby. I do not think I am an authority or should be taken seriously when taking about impact of AI on artists.
Consider your biases about the word "hobby". It's easy to average way more than 40 hours per week on a hobby, and to spend those hours with as much deadly seriousness as the hours at work. Especially if you don't work full-time or don't work at all.
What is the context or source here?
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