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At the expense of other people. Slot machines is a negative sum game.

Not for the house

I've been feeling it pretty strongly too. The way I see it there are very strong incentives to make this work out. Whether they actually manage to automate a big enough portion of knowledge work is still an open question. A few years ago I would easily say it's 0%. Now, I'm not so sure it feels like a non-zero probability to me.

Either way, planning for it to happen would be better than be taken by surprise if it does.

And to finish the end of the week on a good note.

AI Fails at 96% of Jobs (New Study)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z3kaLM8Oj4o


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Classical prisoner's dilemma.

I'm with you. Though what good choices do I have as an individual? It seems like all the choices are crap.

It's not only that. If 1 person is able to d the job of 10 people. What do you think will happen to the other 9 people.

> it should only become easier to become a founder,

You'll also have more competition. And perhaps fewer customers because people are out of a job.


How do you pay your bills? That's the dark question that's looming in the background.

What do you mean turned quickly?

Changed their opinion/public stance completely sometimes only months apart. For example "I love programming" to "if you aren't with AI you are behind" within maybe only 6 months time. Its almost like anyone with any public opinion in software is being paid to say it now and boost the AI hype.

Yeah, I'm surprised by this. The pragmatic engineer publication is full of them.

It may be that most of these people only see the benefits, or don't think they'll be adversely affected by this.


I couldn't agree more. It's often when you are in the depth of the details that I make important decisions on how to engineer the continuation.

Yes, I look at this in a similar vein to the (Eval <--> Appply) Cycle in SICP textbook, as a (Design <--> Implement) cycle.

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