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Read How I Found Freedom in an Unfree World


All actors seem to behaving rationally to me. Just because some people dont like the outcome doesn’t mean anyone acted irrationally at any point.


25% in each: gold/stocks(index fund)/30 year US bonds/cash

Its called the Permanent Portfolio and it has a great long term track record: https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolio/permanent-portfolio/


This is going to sound harsh, but that bad investment advice for most people. US Bonds and Cash appreciate less than inflation, so you're actually losing money. The same is true for gold, which has historically underperformed vs. S&P500 (for example) by thousands of percent (http://www.longtermtrends.net/stocks-vs-gold-comparison/). Meanwhile the stock market has more than doubled in the past 10 years. 25% is almost definitely not enough equity exposure unless you are in your golden years. If you're investing for the long term (which you should be), it is much better to use a simple index funds or Robo-manager which will buy a variety of index funds with broad exposure according to modern portfolio theory.


Meanwhile the stock market has more than doubled in the past 10 years.

After plummeting due to the financial crisis and a long period of quantitive easing.


No, you are wrong.

If you put all of your money into the S&P500 only at the absolute, single worst possible day (the market top on May 16th, 2008 at $1,425) you would still be up about 100% today, 10 years later at $2,779 (So about 2X, just checked).

If you put money in "after the plummet," as you suggest, which is the best case scenario, (buying at the low of $735 in January of 2009) would put you up approximately 300% (4X).

The average investor would get somewhere between these two just by ignoring the market and investing biweekly.

I'm not even advising to go 100% for the S&P500 Index Funds. However that's an infinitely better idea than a portfolio that is 75% of Gold (Dumb), T Bills + Cash (Losing money everyday), and Bonds (Which are paying at near-historic lows). It's just bad advice.


No, you are wrong.

Do you think the quantitive easing had no affect then?


Quite a non-sequitor


Read the original post, you will see the word 'and' in it.


I'm quite aware.

How does that have anything to do with my comments about portfolio selection and results?


OmniFocus for all actionable items Pinboard for tagging links Google doc listing quotes I like Instapaper for reading later YouTube for watch later Overcast + huffduffer for listen later

All of these work/sync cross my desktop laptop and iPhone.

In progress is a wiki type system for potentially typing it all together. Dropbox Paper has been great for the wiki part.


There are 100 lightning nodes running in production currently.


I stand corrected.


What you’ve described is labor theory of value and I don’t think it makes sense.


HB's Permanent Portfolio consists of 25% each cash/gold/stocks/long term bonds

25% stocks (index fund) Stocks – for profit during periods of general prosperity and/or declining inflation.

25% Gold – for profit during periods of bad inflation; during inflationary episodes gold bullion provides protection against a falling currency and other potential problems.

25% Long Term Bonds (30 year) – for profit during periods of declining interest rates; and especially during a deflation. Bonds also do reasonably well during prosperity.

25% Cash – During a recession, no particular asset class is going to do well. The cash in a Treasury Money Market Fund offers stability when portfolio asset classes fall in price. It also protects purchasing power during a deflation.


I would add that gold is an asset that does well when people lose faith in the dollar. It's insurance against the unthinkable.


yeah but there, other currencies make more sense.


This is also intended to be a simple portfolio that your grandma can operate.


well is this advice of 25% applicable in this day and age, have we moved past precious metals occupying such a large percentage?


That percentage has been and will be debated forever, even by proponents of the Browne PP model, but 4x25 has done well as recently as the past two decades.

Also the exact number is not all that critical. Earlier versions of Browne’s portfolio were more complicated and he simplified it to 4x25 later on, still allowing that people could tweak it if they must. But 4x25 is simple and works.


For example?


euro, pound, yuan, yen


Id like to see some ability to detect different CMSs


Our focus has been more on business tech, but we're expanding coverage into cms, libraries etc.

Here's some data we have on CMSs currently

https://siftery.com/categories/content-management-system-cms... https://sitestacks.com/products/wordpress https://siftery.com/wordpress


commute - work someplace closer. or get remote work.

chores - have less stuff to maintain.

eating - not sure what can be done here.

exercise - look into tabata or hiit. you can workout 2x20min a week.

you can also find way to be more efficient with your activities to cut off time on each one, even if you keep it.

sure none of these suggestions is without cost. but these suggestions can be enacted to the end goal of more time (for sleep or whatever)


* You can collapse your commute and exercise in to one activity.

* You either pre-cook meals on the weekend, or utilize a meal substitute like Soylent (or both)

* Most chores involve cleaning things that just get dirty as part of their normal use, if you shower and spend most of your "toilet time" at work, you automatically have someone who's going to clean up after you.


This lifestyle sounds unbelievably dreary and sad.


In what possible way? Biking or walking to work is "dreary and sad"? Spending less time cooking so you can spend more time doing exciting and fun activities is "dreary and sad"? Pooping at the office is "dreary and sad"?

What kind of life do you lead where being stuck in traffic, daily meal preparation, and shitting on your own toilet is a constant thrill ride?


My commute to work is 10 minutes. I poop and shower at home, in my own lovely bathroom. I cook elaborate meals at home and serve them to people I love.

I guess I'm just surprised when people don't share the same joy of cooking. Or, for that matter, taking an excellent bowel movement in one's own toilet.


> taking an excellent bowel movement in one's own toilet

On the other hand, as the saying goes: I make a nickel, boss makes a dime; that's why I poop on company time.


What, biking to work and showering there? It's heavenly.


eating - I think that's why Soylent was so popular. People liked the idea of drinking a meal while working/multi-tasking. I'm not 100% into it, especially since I'd prefer something with a better ratio of protein, but I see the appeal.


And who controls for the number of vets and the number of VA hospitals? The government.

Do you think they would do better in a bigger version of this for the whole country?


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