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Maybe I’m missing something but big corps do this, right? I legitimately expect folks like Musk and Zuckerberg to say these things. I get why that’s exactly the reason it’s satire but it’s a little too close to the truth for me to chuckle about it.

> Long-term, they will need none. I believe that software will be made obsolete by AI.

I think this is a bit hyperbolic. Someone still needs to review and test the code, and if the code is for embedded systems I find it unlikely.

For SaaS platforms you’ll see a dramatic reduction, maybe like 80% but it’ll still have a handful of devs.

Factories didn’t completely eliminate assembly line workers, you just need a far fewer number to make sure the cogs turn the way it should.


> Someone still needs to review and test the code, and if the code is for embedded systems I find it unlikely.

I feel like you didn't understand my comment. I am predicting that there is no code to review. You simply ask the AI to do stuff and it does it.

Today, for example, you can ask ChatGPT to play chess with you, and it will. You don't need a "chess program," all the rules are built in to the LLM.

Same goes for SaaS. You don't need HR software; you just need an LLM that remembers who is working for the company. Like what a "secretary" used to be.


> I feel like you didn't understand my comment. I am predicting that there is no code to review. You simply ask the AI to do stuff and it does it.

I didn’t, and thanks for clarifying for me.

This doesn’t pass the sniff test for me though - someone needs to train the models, which requires code. If AI can do everything for you, then what’s the differentiator as a business? Everything can be in chatGPT but that’s not the only business in existence. If something goes wrong, who is gonna debug it? Instead of API requests you would debug prompt requests maybe.

We already hate talking to a robot for waiting on calls, automated support agents, etc. I don’t think a paying customer would accept that - they want a direct line to a person.

I can buy the argument that the backend will be entirely AI and you won’t need to be managing instances of servers and databases but the front end will absolutely need to be coded. That will need some software engineering - we might get a role that is a weird blend of product + design + coding but that transformation is already happening.

Honestly the biggest change I see is that the chat interface will be on equal footing with the browser. You might have some app that can connect to a bunch of chat interfaces that is good at something, and specializations are going to matter even more.

It was a bit of a word vomit so thanks for coming to my TED Talk.


> I don’t think a paying customer would accept that - they want a direct line to a person.

What the customer wants only matters insofar as they are willing to pay for it. Sure, I'd rather talk to a person... But I'm not willing to pay 100x as much for a service that's only marginally better. Same reason I don't fly first class, as miserable as coach is.

Someone may want to pay for a boutique human lawyer/banker/coder/professor, maybe as a status symbol, the same way people pay $20k for an ugly handbag. But I think most people will take the cheaper and almost as good option, when the difference in quality is far overshadowed by the difference in price.

> someone needs to train the models, which requires code.

I'm not sure that training llms is a coding problem, but it doesn't much matter: llms can train each other.

> If AI can do everything for you, then what’s the differentiator as a business?

Good question. My gut says there isn't: all money flows to the model providers, everyone else is a serf at best parasiting on someone else's model.


Good points. People might not pay 100x for something but it’s all about perceived value. Part of a successful business is to identify the perceived value, and find out your PMF while being different enough from the competition. It’ll be interesting to see how things play out, we are in such early days still.

We hate talking to robots because they are largely useless when we have anything out of routine. We love talking to robots when we would ordinarily wait 30 minutes for a 3-minute conversation.

Because AI agents are tool users. Why does AI need to research 2026 tax code changes and then try to one-shot your taxes when it can just use Turbotax to do it for you? Turbotax has the latest 2026 tax changes coded into the app. I'd feel much more confident if AI uses Turbotax to do my taxes than to try to one-shot it.

> Turbotax has the latest 2026 tax changes coded into the app.

How does TurboTax implement the latest tax changes? My guess is that before the decade is over, the answer is "an LLM does it."


Yes but I’ll be glad to pay for human oversight at TurboTax.

Anyways, formulas are a lot better than one shot.


LLM technology will never achieve 100% accuracy in its output. There is an inherent non-determinism. Tasks that require 100% accuracy cannot be handled by LLMs alone. If an LLM is used to replace HR, it will inevitably do something wrong, and a human will need to be in the loop to correct it.

Same goes for chess, there will always be a chance that it makes an illegal move. Same goes for code, there will always be a chance that it produces the wrong code.

Maybe a new AI technology will be developed that doesn't have the innate non-determinism, but we don't have that now.


Relevant to your comment is this link from today's HN front page, about adapting LLMs to perform deterministic calculations.

https://www.percepta.ai/blog/can-llms-be-computers


So even in your example you still need to have someone to ask the AI to play chess. So there will still be a need for someone somewhere to ask the AI to do something and supervise it or guide it in the right direction.

No but Apple has been putting their weight behind services. Some of these services are platform agnostic but they do work best on a Mac. Their success story is the efficiency of the closed ecosystem, something that Android and Windows are converging to.

However, these services revenues (App Store tax, iCloud storage, even the deal with Google) are still anchored to users' loyalty to the platform. So Apple needs users to (1) stay on the platform and (2) buy new devices. Making user experience painful everywhere except for on the newest devices works against (1) and for (2).

That said, Microsoft's trade offs re quality of their software are rather different and their solution is even weirder: high-quality user-facing software is not in competition with their b2b sales, so ok, no reason to spend too many resources on it, but absolutely no evident reason to make it noticeably worse either.

As a result, Microsoft's approach of regressive evolution probably lets Apple get away with almost not caring or even going the path of slower regressive evolution.


Isn’t it a bit hypocritical to bring up laws, when the current administration really doesn’t adhere to them? Congress today barely does any work, Supreme Court is entirely partisan, and the president is taking bribes in the open.

In any case it’s not the deportation that most people necessarily have an issue with, it’s how they go about doing it. They even killed citizens in the process. Obama deported quite a few.


Can’t believe we have people who unironically say things like “illegal citizens need to go”. For shame. You probably are one too, would you leave first?

I’m sure they showed up, but if you compare to the entire market size it’s a small size like maybe 10%. They should have calibrated their expectations, but they didn’t. Also the battery life on them aren’t as good as the regular.

Hmmph, well fine then. Use that foldable phone technology everyone else apparently wants to give me a "normal" phone I can fold in half. Now everyone's happy!

Caveat: it’s gotta fold on the X axis and not the Y axis. Otherwise you are just stacking one phone on top of the other hah

If writing is art, then I’ve been amazed at the source code written by this legend

Sometimes I feel like “shareholder first” mentality has gone a bit too far. Most of the majority shareholders are a handful of people who have too much money, they don’t really put in any work, but are more than happy to put people out of work if it meant they’d get a bit more money.


I’m not sure about that. I’m a 1Password user and if I had consistent price increases every year I’d have ditched it a lot sooner


Speaking of subscriptions, how is the Kagi one working out for you? Is it worth the switch?


I love Kagi, the results are great, the assistant is great, and I like customizing the search result UI as well to look as clean as possible. Its like having OG Google back.

Depends, I love it and am happy to pay for it out of privacy concerns and supporting a non-monopolist. It's got some neat features that I use all the time that google doesn't have. Is it's search results better than google? Maybe. Maybe not. I do know when I can't find something on kagi, google doesn't either.


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