Interestingly enough, AI with humans in the loop is probably perfect for this.
The first tier of review can be AI. It will get a deluge of pro-se requests from prisoners just like the current system. People will (rightly) insist on an appeal process. Most prisoners will appeal, so the queue will be just as long as it currently is.
But, now there will be a short queue of some high-quality pro-se lawsuits that are given more weight, and a queue of dubious-quality pro-se lawsuits with diamonds in the rough that is at least no longer than it is today.
Fully agree - also it’s a bit weird on Tesla’s part to think that there could be no possible way to make things better than a human in some regards. If humans had radar, it would probably make us more capable, not less.
As a Canadian it's like deja vu watching these comments play out about this subject.
I swear to god I've seen these entire threads verbatim on Canadian subreddits over the past few years as the prices keep rising, rising, rising and no one, not politicians, not central bankers, not construction companies seem to be able to solve the problem.
I don't know what's going to happen but it's far too late for us and it's probably too late for you.
Things are going to keep getting more and more expensive while some people online are going to swear up and down that they're not and the economy will grind to a halt because people literally can't afford to go to work.
In 1981 my father bought 3-bedroom home in the suburbs for about 2x the annual salary of his blue collar job. The same home today costs more than 12x the annual salary of the exact same blue collar job.
The Simpsons started playing on TV in 1989. Single income family, no college, working low skill blue collar union job. Yet they still owns a large home with a yard. That premise is absurd by modern standards.
So in the 40 or so years since 1981, has that blue collar job's output as a percentage of global GDP increased, decreased, or remained the same?
I would argue that the same blue collar job might've been reduced as a percentage of global output, which means the value creation is lower, and thus, the 12x salary for a house might be justified.
>So in the 40 or so years since 1981, has that blue collar job's output as a percentage of global GDP increased, decreased, or remained the same?
It is a blue collar government job. Like most government jobs, one could easily argue that the "value created" was zero then and is zero now. In any event, the job remains the same, and salary has risen (more or less) with the official rate of inflation. There is no reasonable argument to be made that the same house that this government worker could buy 40 years ago for 2 years salary should now be worth 24 years salary.
Sure. Now tell me about his monthly payments on a 30 year mortgage for that same house, as a fraction of his monthly pay, then and now.
The demand part of the supply/demand curve on houses is set by monthly payment, not purchase price. Interest rates change the relationship between the two.
Sure. He had a 20 year fixed mortgage, which he paid off entirely on the same blue collar job, with low monthly rates because he was able to save and put down 50% in cash, which represented only 1 year salary. The same worker today has to save up 12 years worth of salary to put down 50% on the same house. It is amazing how so many can't understand that the USA has entirely changed for working people in the last few decades.
I should include that on his salary he was also raising two children, could afford for us to see the doctor/dentist on a regular basis, owned a car outright while my mother stayed home to raise the kids.
House prices were also much lower back then, but that only proves (what I assume is) your point - we can't view the past with rose tinted glasses.
The American Dream was always aspirational and took grit and effort and was never attainable for 15-30% of the country due to their skin color or ethnic origins until precedent against redlining took hold by the 1980s.
IMO, I'm fine with us keeping high interest rates if it forces a rebalancing of prices long term.
It's not like low interest rates would help affordability anyhow, as it's only us white collar workers in high paying fields like Tech, Finance, etc that have the dry powder to execute on purchases.
> IMO, I'm fine with us keeping high interest rates if it forces a rebalancing of prices long term.
House prices are still sticky and high interest rates haven't rebalanced anything.
Houses are 50%+ less affordable on a month-to-month basis, and housing prices are stable or increasing. If you use critical thinking, it's obvious that inflation is still present and interest rates are masking the inflation. If rates decrease even slightly (Which will ultimately be required due to the ticking time bomb of the government defaulting on the debt and banking system collapse) prices are going to skyrocket.
The real problem is that we printed trillions of dollars. That has to come from somewhere no matter how much you fiddle with the interest rates. And that "somewhere" is directly out of the pockets of the middle class.
I agree that higher interest is a worthwhile trade-off if actual prices come down, but to your last point, don't low interest rates benefit some marginal buyers by (1) lowering the monthly payment and (2) making it more appealing to put minimum down?
Granted, even minimum down is out of reach for too many people, but I feel like "if only we could afford the down payment, we could definitely afford the mortgage..." is a relatively common lament. And sometimes those lamenters don't realize you can/should put down 5% instead of 5-20%, circumstances permitting.
I do this - I mow half and have given the rest to native plants.
Benefits:
- My lawn is prettier (native wildflowers are really nice)
- Deeper roots around my house has slowed/stopped the basement water that the previous owners had to deal with
- Biodiversity is nice, we get lots of animals that neighbors don’t get
Things I thought would be problems that aren’t:
- Kids don’t have as much space to run in the yard. We go to the park more and there are other kids there, so on the whole they’ve made more friends than if they just stayed in our yard.
- Biodiversity increases the number of critters trying to get into the house. The native plants are more attractive to the ecosystem than my house is, and now there’s enough predators of the bugs in the garden that there are less bugs to try and get into the house.
Problems:
- I have to clear brush 1x/2x a year to remove flammable material
Yup. When I last looked into it the overwhelming amount of fire deaths were squatters lighting fires in derelict homes, and were not in a state of mind to escape.
Better homeless shelter policies & mental health support would be wildly more effective at preventing fire deaths than code enforcement.
Because it's longer than the text cap for a post. Unlike twitter, bluesky still sets a limit on how long text posts can be.
That doesn't make it worse or anything. There's a lot of arguments supporting a text limit per post. But there's no reason why you should be posting this kind of long form content in a thread when you have a website you can link to (which is what their bsky acct did).
Having read the roadmap - this could be chopped up into posts that fit with the ethos of bluesky with no real loss to the message. It’s not particularly long and is just a couple of things they’re focusing on with a blurb about each roadmap item.
Given that, and given that no one needs exposure to real bluesky posts more than bluesky right now, why make it longform at all?
I don’t expect Flickr to update users via a series of photos of text documents. They’re a micro-blogging service using the correct format for a long-form text update.
I know this is tongue-in-cheek, but the "with hundreds of other families" is the thing that makes college so fun, cities feel alive, etc. Some people are into that - and suburban life is increasingly feeling the absence of it.
Having a shared space where there are enough families around that there will be 10 kids guaranteed on the playground is nicer in a lot of ways than having 3 kids try to decide whose spacious yard is the gathering spot today.
The first tier of review can be AI. It will get a deluge of pro-se requests from prisoners just like the current system. People will (rightly) insist on an appeal process. Most prisoners will appeal, so the queue will be just as long as it currently is.
But, now there will be a short queue of some high-quality pro-se lawsuits that are given more weight, and a queue of dubious-quality pro-se lawsuits with diamonds in the rough that is at least no longer than it is today.
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