True, and that's exactly the reason why people want to buy this stock now.
If future returns were already (almost) certain, they would have been priced in and you couldn't make any money with this stock.
This is a classic high risk / high reward stock. IF the space economy takes off you might 10X your investment. If it doesn't, you might lose most of it.
Rich people (who own most of the stock market) can afford to make such high risk bets, because they can afford to lose the money and thus many will make that bet.
Actually given that the first colonists on Mars will live pretty miserable lives before dying early of radiation poisoning Musk and Co are trying to recruit other people to move there.
Musk, Thiel, Bezos etc. none of these guys have ever said they want to move there.
No they aren't. They're trying to design robots that can build the habit for them before they arrive and pamper them once they are there. Maybe they'll send a few human guinea pigs first to work out the kinks, but they ain't trying to go to Mars, or anywhere, for the good of the human race as a whole.
Musk has repeatedly talked about how he wants to go to Mars.
Tl;dw: Most people are already irrelevant to the economy. They are not even needed as consumers anymore because the corporations mostly sell to other corporations and the rich.
Is it just that? I see people praising not being reachable 24/7 by phone, but I don't see many people praising calling all the places your friend might be to guess where they are. I see people praising a world without Facebook but I don't see anyone praising a world without Wikipedia. It seems to be a rather selective effect.
- Elixir doesn't pose any real advantage for me over erlang, i'm sure there may be be some, but it fits my brain easier. I'd probably even love to make it a social event to learn/get help, but I never seem to find anything that suits.
>If adaptation means accepting that the scoreboard is now an AI orchestration benchmark, then we should say that honestly instead of pretending the old competition still exists.
This is like someone complaining that making machine parts has been ruined: Skillful craftsmen used to make them by hand using manual tools!
Nowadays the CAD/CAM/CNC cheaters have almost completely automated the whole thing. How is the next generation of craftsmen going to learn how to craft a gear by hand when the process of gear making has been reduced to pressing start on a CNC machine?!
See what I mean? Sorry, I think this article is just Luddite. I can empathize with the pain of your beloved craft basically being rendered obsolete by new technology, but the process can neither be stopped nor is it bad in general.
The manual skills you trained with CTF puzzles are now simply no longer relevant . (Field-specific) "AI orchestration" is the new cyber securtiy skill if LLMs really have become so good at this, and what the author used to do manually then has the same value as being able to craft a gear by hand.
Just parachuting in to reflexively throw the "Luddite" label at someone lamenting the decline of a niche community they've enjoyed participating in and contributing to is certainly ... a choice.
Within the framework of your analogy, it's like responding to someone active in DIY maker groups suddenly dealing with an influx of influencers in meetups showing off Chinese junk from Etsy to post on Tiktok, and accusing them of being a Luddite blinded by their zealous hatred of mass production -- both strangely abrasive and also fairly nonsensical except as a "mass production supporter" social signifier.
Not to mention, in the article they specifically describe themselves as a heavy user of frontier models for security research ever since the release of Opus 4.5, calling them "useful within the field". In fact I don't see any actual criticism of AI/LLMs anywhere whether for security research, programming or anything else, except for making competitive CTFs no longer viable.
What does it take to avoid the "Luddite" brand? Using AI themselves and praising AI as useful (to the point of having a lopsided advantage over humans) isn't enough? Do they also need to say "I haven't written a line of code in 6 months/it's easily a 100x multiplier for my job" every time they mention it too?
The way I read the post is that the author is disappointed that the community is gone. The CTF was just a reason for a number of like-minded people to organize around an activity.
Indeed, in the real world, plenty of people organize to do formerly-skillful tasks together. I have not personally crafted a gear by hand, but I have built a house in a long-abandoned style with a group of people only using hand tools.
There _is_ a danger that society forgets how to do these things. During that house-building exercise, there were many tricks of the trade that, while likely documented somewhere in a book, would have been difficult to reproduce without seeing a demonstration. From the standpoint of “does it matter?” it depends on what you care about. We absolutely do not need cruck-framed houses with scribed joints. Modern construction is faster and cheaper and lasts long enough. But it would sadden me greatly if practices like this faded from memory, because it’s one of those things that makes you gasp “wow!” when you see it. And your appreciation only deepens when you try it yourself.
I would say, if you put Claude in an android body with voice recognition and TTS, people in 1991 would think they are interacting with a sentinent machine from outer space.
Thanks, I find it very interesting as well. I think very many people would assume they must be interacting with another person, and I don't think there's really a way to _prove_ it's not that, just through conversation. But we do have a lot of mechanisms for understanding how others think through conversation only, and so I think the approach of having a clinical psychiatrist interact with the model make sense.
To be fair, I would totally be willing and probably would do this, just to try to prove that I could, even just to myself. At least until the audience got bored and walked away after the 37th “open bracket”…
Ask it to agree with you on some subject that does not align with the politics of San Francisco IT engineers. Not only will it refuse, it will not look like your average social media disagreement.
I enjoy using Claude, but sometimes I feel like a child on Sesame Street the way it talks to me. "Great question!"
Fuck off, Claude, I'm British and I'm not 6 years old.
When it starts showing negativity - especially snark - in its responses, or entertains something West coast Democrats would balk at even discussing, then I'd think you could drop it in London in 1991 and trick people. Otherwise, I'm sure some exasperated cabbie would give it a swim in the Thames after 15 minutes of chat.
"Legal, ethical, and accountability concerns outweigh any potential benefits.” - Bonnie Docherty, Harvard Lecturer
Meanwhile the Chinese couldn't care less about any of these issues.
The only real question is: Will militarized AI give the nation using it a substantial advantage?
If the answer is yes, the Chinese and the Russians will certainly use it, which will inevitably lead to the US using it too to keep up. All ethical and safety concerns evaporate in an arms race.
My money is on the Chinese accidentally building Skynet in the process. They are absolutely reckless as far as AI is concerned. E.g. while the West was immediately concerned about the safety of OpenClaw, the Chinese government offered grants to anyone building products with it.
Alexander "the Great" (mass murderer) began his conquests at the age of 20 and had conquered the largest empire the world had ever seen at the age of 26.
Hannibal was in his 20s when he lead the Carthagian campaign against Rome.
Napoleon began at 26 and had conquered half of Europe at 35.
War being a business of old men sending young men to die is a modern thing.
Argentina is way more politically unstable than the US and has a long socialist history.
If I were an arch-capitalist techno overlord, I would move to Singapore.
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