> cops have been tracked down and killed by people using apps like Waze
Do you have a source for that? I can only find 2 examples vaguely similar but neither are really what that statement claims. Specifically one of them was just cops making stuff up about wayze which was factually incorrect.
> police have access but at least ostensibly have oversight from the legal system
We've already seen plenty of examples of cops tracking ex-wives and such similar abuses with no real accountability - nobody's lost their job over it
Cops know exactly what they do when they show up like this, it's meant to intimidate, there are also plenty of cases where cops have repeatedly crossed the line harassing citizens breaking no laws, it's disgusting
I think it's fair, however I probably should've said something like "the vast majority of misuses are not being checked, and the vast majority of cops abusing the system havent and wont be disciplined accordingly"
It's not clear from this progress that AI can formulate conjectures despite this new ability to solve them. So mathematicians still look like they have a job. Though instead of spotting far-off landmarks it's sounds more like they'll be chasing waves on a beach.
Maybe for STEM. The humanities seems kind of safe to me since there's an element of it which cannot be divorced from human opinion and interpretation. It's not like STEM where the people pursuing the ends are largely fungible and the ends are objective (Heisenberg already believed scientific discoveries were inevitable and it didn't really matter who pursued them, someone would eventually find them)
Nope, it's about to be turboboosted if anything. I myself have already formulated countless proofs (AI assisted naturally) in the last few months, despite: a) not having access to any academic resources b) not being involved in any academic circles. This research is now being employed in my startup, delivering ground shattering results. I actually ran analysis a few weeks ago seeing how much real world capital I would have needed to cough up to fund my efforts so far and it's literally in the _billions_. With less than a $100k in tokens I have been able to effectively generate the value of Apple or Microsoft in the early 2000s. This is only the beginning. Wait until you start seeing single person NVIDIA startups popping up.
This "value" you talk about, is it past tense? A single iphone probably have more compute then the entire world had in the 1970s, would have cost at that point probably hundreds of millions. You will not sell the iphone for that amount today.
Not sure I agree with this take, but we're going to find out either way.
Have you ever heard of an S curve? Things will develop rapidly, then equalize. If they don't, we're at the singularity and I guess the end of time as we know it.
But I guess really bad things happen, cancer, radiation poisoning, torture, people have died in really horrendous ways, and I guess dying from some horrendous AI side effects is possible too. Yay.
People need to figuring out how to horde as much wealth as possible right now in the next 2-3 years. Jobs especially for knowledge workers are about to disappear.
I’m targeting maximum debt by about 2030. I’d rather have all the stuff I want while we try and build a new version of a functioning economy than have a ton of cash saved up.
It's funny we're possibly entering a golden age of thought, the dreams of the ancients, but we're all worried about capitalism, I think the problem is pretty obvious.
I don't know, I get more work done now in a few hours than I used to in a day, so maybe the working week should be shrunk, that would solve things. The solution seems pretty easy - but then I'm not in the US.
This would be a largely positive solution for humanity, as long as AI remains "just an assistant". I don't think that we are heading that way. It's possible that, at some point, when the time you save becomes comparable to your full working week, your employer (or your clients, if you are self-employed) will discover that you are just a proxy between them and prompting directly the AI. Of course, if your job involves physical labour or requires physical presence or taking legal responsibility for something, you'll be fine for a bit longer (well, comparatively fine in a society plagued by widespread unemployment and social unrest).
The managers you have must be startlingly different from my experience.
Owner: Can you make the box red?
claude: sure
Owner: no not that box, the green one
...
Apart from this, how would things work in our current capitalist society when everything costs very little, all the scarcity drivers disappear. Things will change no doubt but not in the way everyone's scared of, I'm sure. It's going to be an interesting ride. Personally I think smarts are going to be needed even more to figure out what these ai's are saying, I think everyone really underestimates how little these skills exist
I’ve been thinking this as well. I imagine there is a wealth level x such that someone can escape the coming ubi welfare state. Anything under that you are fucked.
So the PA itself isn't really a problem, it mostly just delegates to other sessions and if it has personal assistant-type work to do, it uses subagents. The per-project sessions are also meant to use subagents liberally.
But the actual answer is just one session per project and auto-compacting. Actually I run into usage limits on both codex and claude max subscriptions and so there is also a fair bit of it having to do codex/claude handoffs which is like a worse auto-compact.
I am quite sure I get worse results at a higher cost than I do for my actual day job, where I'm taking ownership of code, getting the actual code I want, and therefore doing a lot more manual context management.
But for side projects and other personal computer usage it's all vibing and auto-compacting.
> Civilians can’t operate jet engines with a variable nozzle size.
I cannot find any support for that. Variable nozzles are fairly rare (but not non-existent) on non-afterburning engines, and afterburning engines are fairly rare themselves (and sometimes restricted as part of demilitarization of a former military airframe), but both variable nozzles and afterburners are entirely legal for a civilian to own and operate.
> You can’t buy a gun without some kind of check
That comes with a caveat -- this only applies to retail sales. Over half of States do allow private purchases with no background check.
I never once said that there can't or shouldn't be any restrictions in place. By all means, put laws in place where recording video in a locker room is a felony, for example. I'm just saying that a blanket ban because it could be bad is extremely short-sighted.
They 100% have not actually been tracked down and killed by people using apps like Waze
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