Make knives that can only be used to kill people and solicit/provide the knives to bad actors who you know will use the knives for the purpose they were developed for?
For new cars I believe it is nearly 100% consumer demand. I’m a manual fanatic (currently shopping for my dream 93/94 Supra) but the tech for automatics is just too good now. Assistive cruise control doesn’t even work with manual transmissions and I don’t know anyone that wants to buy a new car that doesn’t have that technology. Also, the gas mileage is better, the wear-and-tear on the transmission is less and, as fun as shifting is, unless you’re a hobbyist with multiple cars the incentive of getting to shift just doesn’t outweigh the objective benefits of not having to. Heck, I clearly remember that even in the mid-90s when I was starting to drive manual transmissions were already falling out of style with kids my age buying their first cars.
I don’t know how this would work for CS, but in law school I had one professor that did final oral examinations as follows: there were about 15-20 cornerstone topics from the class that were possible exam questions and were announced a few weeks before finals. Then, during finals week(s), each student had a 30 minute block during which they would randomly select 3 of the 10 topics by pulling note cards and engaging in a conversation about the topic with the professor. If you knew the basics of the topic you were almost guaranteed a B or B+; if you demonstrated novel or expansive knowledge you got a higher grade… and you really had to not study to get a C+ or lower.
There are flaws in every method of measuring competency but I thought this was one of the better ones, and it is very difficult to cheat on. His exams were by far the least grumbled about and I don’t recall a single student that thought the method was unfair. And even though this required more upfront work from the professor he said it was ultimately less time consuming than grading written exams, and far more enjoyable.
I think the cost here is that conducting this examination for a small cohort of law students is much easier than a huge CS class. 300-person class sizes would mean you optimistically would spend 150 hours examining every student, notwithstanding scheduling conflicts.
I do like the idea, though. My parents from the former Soviet Union had oral examinations for their entire schooling.
What makes one ‘the most health-conscious?’ Certainly all the fittest people I know drink… everyone in the triathlon group I swim with three times a week at 5:30 am drinks beer or wine, and all the people I go with and meet ski-touring, mountain biking, and backpacking drink. In fact, the city I live in, is regularly noted as one of the booziest towns in the states but if you walk around town there are few people who are not fit as can be. I can’t find good age stats for Bend, Oregon, but I drink and play cribbage a few times a month with some pretty healthy octogenarians. Obviously my sample size is limited.
This fits my observations, as well. I do think there is a set of hyper focused gym people that are looking to optimize their health choices. And in that crowd, I suspect they have largely dropped alcohol. Among the generally active, though, a large driver of that activity is social contact. And moderate drinking is still quite high in most social settings. (Well, at least here in the US.)
Now, again, I want to stress that I don't think my mental model has alcohol as healthy. Especially not to the level that I find I will drink, if given the chance. It is not the highest factor, though.
Can anyone who voted for this clown car help me understand what the appeal is? Everything the administration is doing was either expressly said or undeniably telegraphed and, from my perspective, it is all moronic. What the heck am I missing???
Many people can't accept new ideas about identity topics like sexuality. Today's trans panic is yesterday's fear of gays and the fear of women voting and school desegregation before that.
This can be leveraged by the rich to get the poor to help make them (the rich) richer, and they'll install whoever they owe a favor to in whatever government post because they care about nothing.
There's a difference between being tolerant of trans people, or for that matter any unusual life choices that don't harm others, which I'm fine with, and having it forced on you to the extent that if you say common sense thoughts like there are two sexes you can be fired. I'm not sure it's trans panic so much as being pissed off with being told by the anointed ones what it's acceptable to say and think re that.
If there wasn't really a trans panic there wouldn't be passive aggressive comments like that and the harrassment that follows to start with.
Making it "only 2 sexes lol" is bad faith, incorrect semantics, or just bad branding to frame it that way. Semantics aside, what it's really about is that some people feel psychologically different than their biological gender. If you frame it that way, there's no reasonable option other than to give them freedom and acceptance. Hence, "only 2 sexes lol" and other distractions like "won't someone think of the children".
I'm not trans so I don't understand it from personal experience, but it's not in my nature to write off surprising or counterintuitive behaviors as wrong.
Fwiw you pretty much nailed what being trans is in terms of a concise and unattached summary. There's usually a lot of extreme discomfort with your birth sex too, among other things, but yours is a pretty good starting definition.
Of note on the "2 sexes" subject btw:
- are there actually "only 2 sexes" in context of the genetically intersex?
- the dialogue usually isn't "there's no such thing as a simple biological sex of male or female for most people!!!!", and most people seem to confuse gender with sex or are just seeking excuses to hate on other people.
- many have been trying to suppress reasonable conversation, which is making it harder to just explain things to people. But a lot of us don't even bother trying to explain personally for ourselves when most conversations end up being exhausting bad-faith arguments just to justify our existence to someone spitting some points they heard on a podcast once. So it does tend to mean not a lot of us are going around just trying to explain to everyone like glorified jehovah's witnesses, and the popular perception is pretty distorted from the actual situation on the ground.
TFW you realize that disappearing grad students off the street for having said something politically incorrect will likely be the bulk of their action on immigration.
I feel it’s more the idea of “misery loves company” playing out on a grand scale.
The wealth gap in America has pushed a larger amount of the population into ever tightening economic situations.. the psychological aspect of this brings people to want other people to feel suffering if they are.
Unfortunately the population is being fed fake enemies by the people in leadership positions.
Step 1. Identify the political obstacles in your way.
Step 2. Use conservative media to make people hate those things.
Step 3. Get elected on the basis of manufactured hate.
Step 4. Get rid of your political obstacles.
Since the Southern Strategy, American conservativism has been encouraging and weaponizing hate for votes.
And since the gutting and exiling of mainstream conservatives ~2019+, it's fair to say they're now primarily a party of hate. (Both in their elected officials and supporters)
It isn't about actual slights against conservatives by liberals -- at this point those are only rhetorical cover for doing what they want to politically.
What you're missing is that you are dumber than them and misunderstand. Everything will be better after their decisions. They already told us it would be better.
I think you'll find it much easier in the future that if you find yourself disagreeing with the current administration, then you should assume you are wrong and missing some critical information.
Thinking that you know more than our betters is a quick way to get a taxpayer funded trip to El Salvador
Well, maybe, it could be, perhaps, that the vaccines were not that effective as they were marketed, has there been mangled / cherrypicked with data and information been censored to move the public into a certain direction, maybe motivated by people that could make big money on this.
But of course this is a way too controversial / conspiracy way of thinking, that it's ridiculous and even dangerous and you shouldn't even be allowed to talk about it.
But maybe that is also a bit crazy actually, because what if it's true? And they make you afraid and shameful for talking about it? And like that they have everyone under their control. I find it suspicious that it's so looked down upon to even question things about vaccines.
Why don't people focus on their general health instead of taking more and more medicines and vaccines and whatnot. I believe if we start eating more healthy, clean the pollution out of our environments, supplement our bodies with nutritions we need that we lack in the food we eat (nutritional value has dropped due to pollution of our environment), drink enough clean water, be in nature a bit more, that we will build such a strong immune system that we need much less medicines and vaccines.
I'm upvoting you because this is genuinely what people I know who are fans of RFK Jr. say and apparently believe.
I believe that there's a yawning epistemological void built into this way of thinking that makes it unlikely that it will result in better health outcomes for anyone. However, I think a narrative most people can agree with is that a broken food system and healthcare system have fostered mistrust of the medical and public health establishment among many and driven people to seek alternative ways of finding "truth" and understanding the world around them.
I'm not necessarily a fan of RFK, I don't really know much about him to be honest. I'm just giving my view on why people might have voted for him. But thanks for your support for me sharing my views. That seems to have become challenging the last 5 years, I've noticed.
I don't trust governments and big corporations in general. And I find it amazing how many people are so trustworthy about a new vaccine technology that hasn't been tested widely, globally organized by mayor governments and big corporations. And I've done a lot of research about it and I'm not convinced about the effectiveness of it. There are many studies with different results, that can be interpreted in many ways, could have been mangled with / cherry picked, has many parameters influencing it, etc.
And I find it weird that there is so little attention to so many obvious improvements we can make in our health and environment. But we do have the money for LBQT+ projects in South Africa or something.
And then if someone comes along who kind of questions it a little bit, he is condemned by a lot of people like he's some kind of psycho.
If I put that all together in one equation, I get a big frown. Not a trustworthy feeling.
The issue with discussion is that many people (see refurb in above thread) are doing so dishonestly.
It's easy and cheap in terms of time to whatabout, while costly in terms of time to cite ones sources.
Consequently, it's time-effective to troll via whataboutism, without any intention of having a substantive discussion.
For example,
> ... new vaccine technology that hasn't been tested widely... There are many studies with different results, that can be interpreted in many ways, could have been mangled with / cherry picked, has many parameters influencing it, etc.
That's easy to say, in the same way I could say,
'All vaccines that are approved for mass US use go through rigorous safety studies and demonstrate negligible to no safety concerns at scale.'
I've done a lot of research too.
Given our contradictory opinions, only facts actually matter.
Unfortunately, media-style driveby fact pulling has become the standard there as well. I.e. 'Look at this one study I found that supports my position.'
With regards to the measles vaccine and similar widely deployed ones, it is scientifically defensible to say there haven't been issues at scale. (Because we would have seen them)
And with regards to newer mRNA platforms, the irony is that they're conceptually safer than traditional vaccines, because we're skipping intermediate biological steps and directly creating the outcomes we want, rather than trusting our (incredibly complex) immune systems to get things right.
Time will tell on long term results, but from a pathways perspective I'd take a newer mRNA vaccine over a newer live/attenuated vaccine any day of the week.
Well, have you never ever heard about studies being funded for getting a certain results. So then you can't even trust the studies. Or do you believe this is not happening at all?
Your patience and clarity of speaking in an understanding and respectful way is truly impressive. If things are going to get any better, more people like you are needed. I'm certainly taking notes.
> a broken food system and healthcare system have fostered mistrust
The issue with this line of thinking is that the brainrot has taken hold of significant numbers of people even in societies with working healthcare and food system (although not completely sure what that is).
I am an American and I'm speaking about America, where we have an all-time high 40%+ obesity rate and a 14% food insecurity rate at the same time. Both are overrepresented for people with low incomes. For reference, obesity and food insecurity in Germany (which has one of the highest obesity rates in the EU) appear to be ~23% and 4%, respectively.
For reasons we don't fully understand (but probably have something to do with the ubiquity of highly processed, low nutrition, low fiber, high calorie density foods -- plus the lack of time to cook and the breaking-up of family & community fabrics among lower income communities), we've created a society that makes more of us fat, more than our first world peers, even while dangling many Americans (especially children and the poor) over the precipice of starvation. This is a broken food system.
We have similar issues with health care: we spend more on healthcare than any other country in the world, by a mile. The US spends about 1.5x to 3x per capita on healthcare (adjusted for PPP) compared to most of the other OECD countries. However, our health outcomes are... not great. We hover around 50th place in the world on most metrics, close to Panama. Additionally, our healthcare system is byzantine and deeply, deeply painful to interact with.
If people in countries with high-performing health and food systems are getting infected with America's particular brand of brain worms, all I have to say is: you really don't understand how good y'all have it in this particular respect, and consider that mistrust of government regulation may worsen the situation, not improve it.
You (Americans) are not that special :). Antivax brainrot was started by that Wakefield study in the UK, distrust of government/establishment is and was widespread in many countries, sometimes for good reasons. Moreover many of the brainrot-infected people actually have it good and don't need any regime change.
What I think has actually happenned is that spreading disinformation has become cheap thanks to soc. networks and that was then weaponised by the most unscrupulous people. This is not connected to any physical reality except access to capital by the baddies. What is now happenning is the disinformation beast - the name for that which I like is disordered discourse - has to be perpetually fed or it will eat even those who it brought to power. So now it is destroying institutions. It will get worse everywhere, I'm afraid.
> Why don't people focus on their general health instead of taking more and more medicines and vaccines and whatnot
Why are these mutually exclusive? The scientific community agrees that Americans have unhealthy diets and lifestyles and that this needs to be addressed. They also agree that it is good for people to spend time in nature and that some exposure to pathogens helps in building immunity (this is actually the idea behind vaccines).
> Well, maybe, it could be, perhaps, that the vaccines were not that effective as they were marketed, has there been mangled / cherrypicked with data
The “vaccines cause autism” study is the definition of manipulated and cherry-picked data, yet RFK Jr still pushes it and claims like it. You don’t have scientific evidence on your side that proves vaccines are dangerous/causing health problems, so why should anyone take your claims seriously? Vague statements like “what if it’s true” is not good policy.
> They also agree that it is good for people to spend time in nature and that some exposure to pathogens helps in building immunity (this is actually the idea behind vaccines).
Yes, but the new mRNA vaccines work in a very different way. Normally you would need to take a vaccine one or two times, in a span of several years or even just one time in your life, and then you trained your imune system against the pathogen.
With mRNA vaccines, you are not really protected against the pathogen, you are still vulnerable, although supposedly less. And you need to take boosters kind of regularly.
Apart from that, mRNA is a very new technology that hasn't been tested a lot. Normally a vaccine has a testing period of 5-15 years before it is deployed to the public. That is to me a valid reason to be sceptical about the technology, and I find it suspicious that there is so much opposition to people that are sceptical about it.
> Why are these mutually exclusive?
Not saying they are, but there's a right balance between them, like everything. I remember a lot of studies showing that Vitamin D treatment was just as effective as the vaccine, but there wasn't much attention for it, probably because you can't patent it and make lots of money with.
> Vague statements like “what if it’s true” is not good policy.
There are lots of things to question and to be sceptical about. I think many people are prejudgemental about the criticism and are closed minded about it. And then we cannot even have a healthy discussion about it. Which is a reason for many people to be more suspicious about the whole thing.
> Normally you would need to take a vaccine one or two times, in a span of several years or even just one time in your life, and then you trained your imune system against the pathogen.
That's an incomplete understanding.
If you really want to understand vaccines, you need to start by understanding our immune system, because every vaccine platform interacts with it.
Basic primer links, in order of increasing verbosity. Note that all of these are first-semester, undergraduate-level understandings of the topic for people who actually develop drugs. The details get much more complex.
> With mRNA vaccines, you are not really protected against the pathogen, you are still vulnerable, although supposedly less.
You are protected against the pathogen, because you're generating the same targeted antibodies as other vaccine platforms stimulate.
Also, that mRNA injections are inherently consumed by the immune system as part of their function is specifically what increases mRNA vaccines' safety profile, as opposed to other vectors (e.g. carrier viral). [0]
The fact that boosters are needed has nothing to do with mRNA being used as a vaccine platform, but is instead a characteristic of the virus being targeted -- if you made a measels vaccine using an mRNA platform, it would also be a once-lifetime vaccine. (Because measels isn't as liable to mutate as flu-type viruses)
Why isn't that done? Because mRNA platforms are newer, and we've already figured out effective vaccines for the more "easy", less mutating viruses of consequence.
> I find it suspicious that there is so much opposition to people that are sceptical about it.
Because (a) COVID was a worldwide pandemic, (b) during that pandemic certain people used vaccine skepticism for political gain (whether or not it had any factual basis), and (c) there are people (RFK Jr) who make a substantial amount of money by talking/writing about vaccine skepticism.
The annoyance and hostility towards those making bad faith arguments for personal gain are less to do with closing down discussion and more to do with judging people who actively harm public health.
Or to put it another way, if RFK Jr knew that measels vaccinations would stop the outbreak in Texas, do you think he would say so?
Would you argue that we needn't concern ourselves with polution so long as we eat healthier diets? Its obvious that the health benefits are not only additive they are multiplicative.
There is no amount of general health that is a replacement for not getting deadly diseases. We should acheive the best results by vaccination and other measures and should we deprive ourselves of this option we should not advance any of the other aspect of public health.
Let me reiterate this statement
>will build such a strong immune system that we need much less medicines and vaccines.
Is absolutely nonsense.
There is no substitute for not getting deadly health destroying diseases. General public health is a slog that if it improves it will do so over many years and it will do so faster if people get fewer deadly diseases.
But it is clear that most of the victims of the pandemic where people with a lowered immune system. If our immune systems are generally stronger, it could be that pandemics disappear, because the pathogen can't spread fast enough.
Then we can still of course have certain medicines for people with lowered immune system.
And regarding pollution, I think we should get rid of it, but also adjust for it as long as it's there, by supplementing our bodies with the nutrients lacking in our diet because of the current pollution.
> If our immune systems are generally stronger, it could be that pandemics disappear, because the pathogen can't spread fast enough.
That's not how viral genetic evolution or our immune systems work.
R0 isn't typically effected by the strength of a population's immune systems, but the severity of symptoms is.
That's because the most infectious time is during initial viral replication and shedding, before your immune system has scaled its response (which takes time) enough to decrease viral load.
If everyone in the world had super immune systems, COVID would have still been a pandemic, but we would have had fewer deaths.
There has never been a time in history without epidemics. Its better now than historically because of vaccination. If we take it away countless people will die and others be damaged.
The problem is that you have formed strong opinions about this topic whilst knowing almost nothing about it.
We can't eliminate all disease by living healthier lives and we can't even make the people we have as healthy as they might be. In the actual world and in a fictional best of all possible worlds vaccination makes us healthier.
Or vaccination makes us weaker. Because our own immune system gets trained in an unnatural way.
How is it that various native tribes weren't affected by the virus? Difference in immune system obviously. So better immune systems definately helps lower diseases and prevent pandemics.
And the really ironic thing is that RFK’s general message of “this is a toxin” is aligned quite closely to the comments you see on HN about PFTE’s, air pollution, food additives, etc.
Then suddenly the other team brings up the same thing and the same people shout them down.
The response to covid was abysmal and Operation Warp Speed destroyed confidence in vaccines. People responsible for that should be dismissed. What is so incomprehensible about this viewpoint?
> What is so incomprehensible about this viewpoint?
Abysmal compared to what? In hindsight? Millions of lives saved in the face of a novel pathogen and public panic. The only people who lost confidence sit in the White house, pretending they know better than people who learned to read.
If you are claiming that your opponents are dumb, why act dumb yourself?
There was no significant difference in COVID deaths in places that did draconian shutdowns and the places that did not. Not in Florida, not in Sweden, not anywhere else.
Fine, we didn't know what COVID could do, and maybe it was prudent to be cautious. Rushing vaccines through certification is the opposite of that though.
And lastly there is the tale of massive corruption. A certain Ursula bought so many vaccine doses they could last a century if they had no expiration dates. These were bought with money that could have gone to much better uses than lining Pfizer's pockets. The same kind of corruption happened stateside too, it's just that the "free media" happened to stay mum.
Now go hit that downvote button and keep pretending you are smarter than everyone, nobody could ever fool you, and anyone who disagrees with you must be subhuman.
So the one person preventing him from having a better (in your view) response to covid, and Trump was too much of a coward to do anything about it? And this is your hero?
I would question your true interest in understanding when you use the words “this clown” and “all moronic”.
We tend not to use those words when we have an honest intent to understand someone else’s position.
You also have access to the internet so have the ability to find well written and thought out discussions of the other side when it comes to vaccines and Peter Mark’s opinions.
If all you do is consume media from your side of course the other side appears to make no sense.
If you want a good place to start you can look at the controversy of Mark’s overruling of FDA review teams to approve Elevidys which I would argue raises questions as to his judgement.
Every day we get new affirmation of the incompetence and malice of the Trump administration. The people in charge of the futures and lives of millions, such as RFK, don’t have public welfare or health in the front of their minds. Nor can they admit their own ignorance or acknowledge mistakes.
Asking one side to have an honest intent to understand and consider positions that have no basis in fact or reality or scientific method amounts to asking scientists to have an open mind about astrology, Ouija boards, and repeatedly discredited junk science. Of the two possibilities — RFK et al. know something the rest of us don’t about disease and vaccines, or he knows nothing and suffers from egomania — I think the evidence speaks for itself.
Dr. Fauci and others may have made mistakes, but they can admit to their mistakes in the face of enormous pressure to act and save lives. They didn’t make mistakes out of colossal stupidity, ignorance, and drug abuse.
The only side that matters is reason and those that depart from it ought not and will not be taken seriously.
Faced with flat earthers it makes no sense to teach the controversy. Instead rub their nose in theirown mesd. Let them be embarrassed instead because while they are unsalvable as human beings their humiliation may help salvage others more worthy.
At least for myself, words like "clown car" and "moronic" are an exasperated coping mechanism that comes from repeatedly trying to engage, but only ever getting whataboutist responses that sidestep answering any of the actual criticisms. And on many topics, this often includes criticisms in terms of the values that supporters claim to hold dear.
Or alternatively, I could understand if your concern with Elevidys was so glaringly bad as to drive single-issue support (and then it would strike me as worth it to actually investigate), but your "raises questions" wouldn't seem to indicate that either.
"We tend not to use those words when we have an honest intent to understand someone else’s position."
Here's the thing about that; the people who dissent from this administration are the people who wholly understand the other's position because the people who dissent, by an astounding margin, ARE MORE HIGHLY EDUCATED THAN THE PROPONENTS OF THIS ADMINISTRATION.
When the collective braindrain of people who are intent on 'owning the libruls' and basing their beliefs in faith in a god that doesn't exist, it's not that hard to understand that those people aren't playing with a full deck, therefore, it's not disingenuous to expect that there will be no good-faith discussion when each-others' very fundamental beliefs differ so profoundly.
I am genuinely curious - the goofy language is to mask the (possibly misdirected) immense concern. If I am wrong, and all these goons I perceive as sinners are in fact saints, I would truly love to hear the recitation of facts that expels me of my delusion.
If you’re looking for sinners and saints I don’t think you’re going to find it.
If I were to summarize the disagreement in the most neutral terms, it’s the risk vs benefit of vaccines.
And like all risk vs benefit choices, it comes down to a choice - there is no one right answer, it’s a value judgement. I work in the industry so see this all the time - someone makes the call “we have enough data to confidently say X”. People disagree all the time over this. You can always get more data to be more sure, but at some point you start wasting your time.
I’d say the argument from the RFK side is we don’t know enough about the safety of certain vaccines to make the risk vs benefit argument of mandatory vaccination. The same argument for food additives like red dye.
Marks likely disagrees - as is evident from him overruling 3 different teams on Elevidys - a drug that failed phase 3 yet Mark’s decided the risk vs benefit was good enough for FDA approval.
And before anyone says “yeah but look at the kooky things that side says”, you can do that for any argument. Even the pro-vaccine side says untrue things but that doesn’t mean the core argument doesn’t have validity.
The difference is that one side is data driven and one is not.
Consider the measles vaccine. In the last 60 years in the US around 200 million people have been vaccinated with it. That has generated a lot of data on its safety and effectiveness. And not just short term safety--we've got plenty of data from people who were vaccinated in childhood and are now retired so we've got good data on long term safety too.
This data overwhelmingly says that is is extremely safe and effective.
The RFK Jr side has no statistically significant data to counter that, yet they still say it is not safe or not effective.
> I can be, but not with an obviously dishonest user like yourself.
Dishonest how? By holding views you disagree with?
I’ve engaged on a good faith effort so far and your first response was to act like my questions were some nefarious action. I’m not sure one can actually discussion complex topics without questions.
Then when I respond nicely you come back to tell me to “fuck off”.
I’m not sure what set you off, but I don’t think any of it is deserved.
Sealioning is not respectful discussion. A respectful person would've taken the burden onto themselves of offering counter-evidence instead of firing off a barrage of obstinate questions.
I don't know what 100% Christian is intended to imply here, although it's obviously critical.
Biblical christianity isn't for the perfect or righteous, but for sinners. Christ rejoices more over the one sinner that repents than the 99 who need no repentance (John 15).
I don't know much about Foreman. But, his fifth marriage did last 40 years. Seems like, at some point, his perspective on marriage/commitment got more aligned with biblical wisdom.
Being a Christian celebrity doesn't require you to stick to Christian values. It's much more important to proclaim your membership than to live it. It's like wearing a team jersey without playing the game. The appearance matters more than the practice.
Christianity in America is like a brand - more about identity and affiliation than discipleship or doctrine.
A lot of the replies to this comment seem to assume that the "5 marriages" component is meant to cast Foreman's christianity as hypocritical, when I think it's more a commentary on how christian values affect relationship stability.
I say this also as someone who's left the church, and whose religious parents and inlaws are multiply-divorced.
A better title: CPR is successful, just not as successful as people think it is.
Whoever thinks a 1/10 (or nearly 1/5!) shot at not dying otherwise is bad odds clearly doesn’t value their own life. I’ll take all my ribs being broken + being alive for even a week vs being dead and no broken ribs any day of the week. I’d also traumatize myself if I knew I was giving someone a 1/10 (or nearly 1/5!) shot at being alive and not dead. Absolutely none of the “downsides” they cite outweigh fucking dying.
Clicking through to one of the references[0] in the article suggests that a little over 40% of people successfully resuscitated never wake up. So that drops us from 10% out-of-hospital / 17% in-hospital to 6%/10%.
That's still not nothing, but you also need to look at what percentage end up with severe enough brain damage that they're not really the same person anymore, and might have preferred death over that situation.
I value my life quite a lot, but I also value quality of life. I think there are quite a few physical and (especially) mental disabilities that I might not want to live with.
To your point about "ribs broken & alive for a week", I suspect that situation would be helpful for my loved ones to be able to see me and say goodbye, but not so helpful for myself.
As someone who has performed CPR hmm, 500 times (paramedic), I would typically agree. Unwitnessed arrests have very low expectations. If you see me go down, then sure. But beyond that, I (and honestly, many) EMS professionals see themselves as effectively "DNR".
> I’ll take all my ribs being broken + being alive for even a week vs being dead and no broken ribs any day of the week.
If you'd ever spent time around a nursing home, you probably wouldn't say that. Quality of life matters, a lot. Not saying I have a DNR, but these are serious conversations to have before it's too late. I think what's really telling is how doctors and nurses treat themselves. They are almost never seeking maximum days alive no matter the physical and mental cost.
I highly recommend 4K Download. A lifetime license is less than $30 and it is dead-simple to use. I’ve been using it to download old concert footage and debates because I’ve noticed them disappearing.
Wait, what? Scanning every recent year for individual model and/or company total sales Tesla doesn’t even crack the top 10 in any given year. How does Tesla make the best selling car? What am I missing…
Edit: I didn’t scan close enough… in 2024 the Y was around the 4th best selling Model.
>As anticipated in JATO’s preliminary 2023 results, released in February, the Tesla Model Y made history last year. The midsize SUV secured top position in the global ranking as the first ever pure electric vehicle to lead the global market.
And from a business perspective, it was the best selling car amongst the portion of the world with the most money to spend. That is a pretty impressive achievement for any business.
>Impressively, the Model Y secured this position without a presence in most emerging markets, where it continues to be unaffordable for the majority of consumers.
And Tesla indicates it sold a similar number of Model Ys in 2024, so it very well could hold the same title again.
And even with that, the valuation of TSLA assumes geometric growth in sales to subsume legacy ICE consumer transportation with EVs.
2024 was flat at best, where the market DID expand geometrically for EVs. Those numbers also represented a "segment monopoly" by Tesla. If you wanted an EV in those years, you bought a Tesla.
That is OVER. EVs and charging infrastructure, particularly in Europe are now fully competitive with Tesla. With "European" brands, and generally speaking full access to the superior Chinese models.
What Tesla needed to do in 2022, 2023, and 2024 wasn't the techboy Cybertruck, it should have been Minivans, Delivery vans, a real pickup, compact car, euro compact car, large / medium / small SUVs (Model Y is a medium/small crossover), station wagons.
They should have had cabin options, launched additional brands for ultraluxury and for more consumer price points.
Can't do all that inhouse? They should have acquired a struggling ICE company for stock swaps and gained access to more production and platforms and parts suppliers, and could have released long range PHEVs using their battery packaging for additional scale/demand.
Because Tesla no longer has any drivetrain or battery packaging advantages. Whatever profit margin they've enjoyed will be destroyed in competition. Arguably they have too much cylindrical NMC investment that they are behind the curve in battery supply and packaging with high density LFP and Sodium Ion being superior paths to a cheaper EV battery pack (greater cell to pack density, no wasted weight/space on cooling since LFP/Sodium Ion are much more stable than NMC).
Tesla needed a huge amount of product diversification about five years ago when the Model Y was launched.
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