This demonstrates a major flaw in Hunch. There is huge selection bias. I answered this, and got a 74%. Right on the page is another question asking me "Do you agree with this result?".
I claim a few things: 1) people who are in startups or want to be in startups are more likely to take this quiz. 2) People in this group are more likely to say they have a good idea.
I had a similar problem with the question "what college should I go to?". The quiz did a good job of telling me which colleges I wanted to go to, with no regard to whether I had the grades to get into those schools.
Yeah I'm still wrestling with many aspects of the startup I'm putting together. I answered the questions and got a 99%, but I'm not entirely sure of its accuracy.
I decided to click "No" for the Do you agree with this result? as a 99% score seemed a little too certain for me (I'm always questioning things that look too good to be true).
To be honest, I did it for a laugh. The results didn't validate my idea for me, really it's just a matter of working hard at it.
I got 99% "yes" even though I'm almost certain that my idea is not viable in its current form. None of the questions even touched on the hairy issues. This is probably not the kind of question that's suitable for hunch.
I did another quiz asking where I should go on vacation. That lead to an interesting result. I should go to Tokyo. Next time I'm going to ask whether my startup idea can succeed in Tokyo. If it says no, but it could work in Shanghai, I think I'm hooked ;-)
It's not a pass-or-fail question. But if you have a working prototype, then it makes it more likely your idea is practical. If you don't, then what you're trying to do might not even be possible.
Hunch seems pretty similar to action mazes. But action mazes is predominantly used in educational and instructional purpose. So it doesn't suggest more answers for you at the end. Instead it tells you what would happen if you follow a certain path.
I didn't follow the start-up idea thread, I went to home and started from scratch. From the second screen, where it asked me if alien abductions were real, I was hooked. Even if I had no idea where the whole thing was going.
That's the best web user interface I've seen in a long, long time. Congratulations to the designers, and sorry if this post is judged to be off-topic.
With fair use, this service could become as interesting as 20 questions.
Some feedback: Perhaps hunch could handle the browser history more elegantly. After completing this questionnaire, my browser history becomes usable. (I had to click the back button about 10 times to get back to this page.)
I will believe the result this question gave me if Hunch is itself successful, thus proving Caterina knows what the heck she's talking about :-) (Flickr could have been a fluke)
I claim a few things: 1) people who are in startups or want to be in startups are more likely to take this quiz. 2) People in this group are more likely to say they have a good idea.
I had a similar problem with the question "what college should I go to?". The quiz did a good job of telling me which colleges I wanted to go to, with no regard to whether I had the grades to get into those schools.