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The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which unskilled people make poor decisions and reach erroneous conclusions, but their incompetence denies them the metacognitive ability to appreciate their mistakes.[1] The unskilled therefore suffer from illusory superiority, rating their ability as above average, much higher than it actually is, while the highly skilled underrate their own abilities, suffering from illusory inferiority. Actual competence may weaken self-confidence, as competent individuals may falsely assume that others have an equivalent understanding. As Kruger and Dunning conclude, "the miscalibration of the incompetent stems from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others" (p. 1127). (from wikipedia)



This topic always reminds me of Siver's take on the subject:

[http://sivers.org/below-average]


“At first, like almost everybody, I thought, ‘Yes, but I really am above average!’ Then I realized I was doing it again.”

What if I quantify that I am above average? Should I assume that, despite my 2400 SATs and 4.0 GPA, that I'm somehow below average?




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