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Texas Was 4m37s Away from a Blackout That Could Have Lasted Months (nbcdfw.com)
15 points by danans on Feb 25, 2021 | hide | past | favorite | 3 comments



I want to know what exactly could have happened in those 5 minutes?

It's mentioned in the title, and then just another sentence that repeats the title: "One chart presented at the meeting shows Texas was less than five minutes away from a blackout that might have crippled the power system for weeks or months."

And? And what was it?


I too am very curious. I've seen this same message repeated a few times now. I've noticed there strange echoing in the reporting and messaging around this whole event, so I'm taking it all with a grain of salt.

My assumption is that if someone/something hadn't reacted quickly and cut load off the grid & remaining generators, the entire grid could've been pulled offline by the load. Since the TX grid would've been in bad shape, and isolated from others, a Black Start https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_start is what could've taken months.

I'm not any sort of expert, but I know that getting phases of AC grid synced back up can be tricky.


Slide 12 from the link in the 4th paragraph[0] shows a 4-minute period in which generation was below 59.4 MW, and notes that more gen units would have tripped if generation stayed below the threshold for 5 minutes longer, though it's hard to say exactly how much longer the grid would have been down.

[0] http://www.ercot.com/content/wcm/key_documents_lists/225373/...




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