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US government to withdraw longstanding warnings about cholesterol (2015) (washingtonpost.com)
257 points by winteriscoming on Dec 30, 2016 | hide | past | favorite | 250 comments



This doesn't go far enough. That there is a link between high cholesterol and heart disease is only a hypotheses, not a scientifically proven fact. Lowering cholesterol does not necessarily lower heart disease. Read more here: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/27/opinion/27taubes.html

Because the link between excessive LDL cholesterol and cardiovascular disease has been so widely accepted, the Food and Drug Administration generally has not required drug companies to prove that cholesterol medicines actually reduce heart attacks before approval. See: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/01/17/business/17drug.html

Meanwhile drug companies are making billions selling cholesterol lowering medicines called statins. But lowering cholesterol using drugs is not useful. Read more about that here: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2008-04-15/heart-dis...

Not only that, these statins are dangerous drugs. Its side effects include loss of short term memory, for example. Read more about that here: https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/its-not-dementia-...


I agree with you. This article also mentions they're focusing on fats/saturated fats; which is also a terrible focus.

The real danger is not fat, even saturated/trans-fats, but starches and sugar. The increase in these types of carbohydrates in products like baby formula is actually leading to obesity in infants!

Excess sugar can stress arteries and damage them. Cholesterol is carried to these artier by lipids (LDLs and HDLs, which are not actually cholesterol, but proteins that carry it through your bloodstream). If you eat a lot of sugar, cholesterol can build up between the walls of arteries as they fix the damage. They can eventually break down the wall, releasing plaque into the bloodstream and potentially causing heart complications.

I highly recommend Dr. Lustig's video (UCTV) to learn more:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dBnniua6-oM

A few years back I switched to a keto normal fat/very low carb (excluding fiber) diet. I've lost weight, gained energy and have felt a lot better. Of course this isn't for everyone. Some people have a body type that lends itself to higher carb intake (I knew a runner who'd eat 30 bananas a week) and as always do your research, consult with your doctor, dietitian, etc. before drastic changes in your diet.

It's a common myth that Adkins died of his own diet. He didn't, and Reuters rededicated their column implying that he did. I honestly wonder if the obesity epidemic would have gone down today if the world didn't dismiss his ideas, or the ideas of many nutritionist for decades before him that made similar claims about the dangers of sugar.


It's also a myth that runners need a high carb diet. I was a competitive distance runner for many years with a high carb diet and I'm confident that my performance suffered because of it. You're cells become much more efficient at using energy as you train, so you really don't need to eat that many calories at all. I was running 80+ miles per week, with a not above average calorie intake (for Americans), and my weight was stable.


Dr. Tim Noakes of "Lore of Running" fame agrees. Not everybody is happy about that though http://foodmed.net/2016/05/03/noakes-exposed-real-beef-dieti...


The point of improving your running economy is not simply to reduce your ml O2/kg body mass/km and kcal/kg/km. That efficiency is nice, but the volume of oxygen you can inhale per minute doesn't change with your diet. A competitive distance runner would use increased efficiency not to reduce their dietary intake, but to increase their speed while maintaining a high-calorie diet.

It doesn't make sense that your cells could become more efficient to the degree that you "don't need to eat that many calories at all". Typical efficiency values are on the order of 1-1.5 kcal/kg/km, so your 80 mpw represents at least 1200 calories per day above baseline. Furthermore, this 1200 calories is just while running - after stopping the workout, you'll need to metabolize protein to help your muscles recover from exertion, and rebuild the glycogen stores which are larger in volume as a result of training, and which are more effectively drained as a result of training, and to rebuild the fat stores which you'll use on your long runs.

And yes, I may be biased in this reasoning due to the fact that I can sit here and type this out while munching on this delicious caramel popcorn and not worry about weight gain. There's no denying that it's high-calorie.


The average American probably eats 60-70% carbs.

They would do well on more like 25% carbs aka Paleo.

As a distance runner, I don't perform well at 25% carbs. I need more like 40% carbs. So not "high carb", but "higher carb then a sedentary person needs".


Paleo is crap nonsense, but yes, the typical American high-carb diet is bad news.

Edit: Where "paleo" is defined roughly as "eating only foods that [I think] were available ~10,000 years ago": http://www.abc.net.au/science/articles/2013/09/10/3842158.ht...


There's a certain irony in calling something a myth based on your personal anecdote.


Personal anecdotes are considerably more valuable to the individual that generalized truths. Every human body is unique and while trends and generalizations matter, they do not matter as much as empirical observed facts. Much more so in the context of personal health.


You're forgetting all the biases (& fallacies) which may or may not have affected the experience or the memory leading to the anecdote. These biases (& fallacies) are detectable or the lack of them is verifiable, with the scientific method.

I'm not denying an anecdote is not valuable to the individual. It is, for the individual who made the anecdote; not the rest of us, not the readers.

I'm also will admit I, too, use anecdotal evidence. But that does not mean one has strong evidence when they do; they don't, and neither do I.


I feel like waving my hands around in the air while running around screaming.

The bullshit that's been pushed on us for decades about cholesterol isn't science.

And to add to that, I've never heard any anecdotal evidence that goes "I went on a low cholesterol diet and my symptoms improved".

The scientific method is valuable. Science as it is practiced...? Let's just say it's reputation has been tarnished.


What is this 'bullshit'? There are studies that show correlations between LDL cholesterol and risk of heart attacks (happy to show you some if you're curious).

It's true that we're still making sense of how to operationalize those observations (restrictive diet, exercise, statin therapy, etc). This doesn't make the science worthless; it's just an intermediate step in this particular area of research.


> There are studies that show correlations between LDL cholesterol and risk of heart attacks (happy to show you some if you're curious).

Why wouldn't you? It seems like it would be unambiguously helpful both in general for the thread, and specifically for your argument.

For evidence that the lowering of LDL cholesterol lowers the risk of heart attacks, though, the evidence can't just be an association between heart attacks and naturally high cholesterol, which could obviously both spring from the same cause. An association between low cholesterol diets and heart attack rates, or good evidence that statins lowered mortality would both be interesting.


> Personal anecdotes

> observed facts

These are not the same thing.


When disproving a need, an anecdote is pretty effective.


Except nobody is claiming all runners need a high carb diet. If anyone actually claimed that it was that most runners would benefit from a high carb diet (I have no idea if anyone actually makes this claim scientifically).


> If we instead go with "almost all would benefit" then the anecdote is pretty good evidence against it.

No, one anecdote is not pretty good [scientific] evidence against anything.

I can give you an anecdote about how I drove through red lights multiple times. That does not mean you should follow the example.

Why not? You have no idea about the circumstances. I was actually talking about driving a bike, I was a teenager, and there was barely (if any) traffic. There's pro and cons there, but what matters is I omitted the details. Hence, YMMV. Plus, the statistical evidence is too small (sample size is one). Good luck reproducing the outcome, too.

Its the same in our runner's example. There's simply hardly any -if any- evidence presented to even make the anecdotal claim. Which still lacks any statistical evidence.

What anecdotal evidence can lead to is scientific research. But we should not conclude on the outcome yet. We must keep an open mind, accept on a method and test circumstances, and gain statistical relevance.

It is absolutely mind blowing, btw, how much 'scientific' research these days is not statistical relevant yet gets passed good grades (and yields the paper) at say college & universities. I'm not sure if its incompetence or laziness or lack of time or lack of money. I've even witnessed this first hand recently when my significant other was completing an assignment for her higher education degree which I was reviewing. Four interviews lead to a conclusion. Which, yes, is anecdotal ;)


> I can give you an anecdote about how I drove through red lights multiple times.

As evidence for what? If you're trying to disprove an assertion that everyone running a red light gets hit, it's good evidence.

> You have no idea about the circumstances. I was actually talking about driving a bike

Assume good faith.


Plenty of people make that claim, just search carbohydrate loading. The scientific reasoning is very simple. Aerobic exercise performance is limited by the rate of oxygen uptake, turning fats into usable energy takes considerably more oxygen than it does for CHO. You can in a single race/session exhaust your glycogen stores, but the supply of fats is essentially limitless. So for ideal performance you want to maximize your glycogen stores before an event, and for long ones, take additional CHO during, though rate of consumption is usually significantly higher than replenishment through digestion if you are going at all fast.

That point when you have exhausted your glycogen stores is what they call bonking. Now you can fine-tune your low carb diet to hopefully have enough glycogen at any point to sustain you through an exercise session (more realistic for running than cycling) but everyone else just eats a high-carb diet.


"most [runners] would benefit" is a pretty weak and unhelpful assertion. If we instead go with "almost all [runners] would benefit" then the anecdote is pretty good evidence against it.


No it's not. Most is quite a strong assertion.


It's a common myth that Adkins died of his own diet.

And there was a whole bunch of nutritionists, doctors, "advocates" that went after him after he was six feet under.

I'd like to see those prominent people that went after him held to account now.


Why? The Atkins diet is based on nonsense and garbage. Just because conventional thinking about fats was wrong doesn't make alternative views automatically correct.


Your comment reminds me of a thread I read in the Primal Diet's forum. http://www.marksdailyapple.com/forum/forum/the-primal-bluepr...

Quite a few of them are having heart attacks: "So my first heart attack, 8 years after a stroke, was unexpected. My heart is determined to kill me. I've had at least 4 attacks, the last one keeping me in hospital 6 days"

Yet they still all stay on that diet, because of some convincing bloggers with no credentials as doctors or researchers and some conspiracy theories.


That thread is fucking scary.


It's about equal to doctors telling me to eat low sat fat and low cholesterol in 2016. The difference is doctors went to school for this and still are wrong.


Except it's not.

The reason we have these publications is that medicine is continually reevaluating its recommendations. Your statement is about as unreasonable as saying 'we don't need computers since sometimes computers stop working'.

Also, if you've ever spoken to a doctor about this, few would disagree that nutrition is an area where we still need more research.

Finally, ask yourself: in the absence of evidence, is a diet that avoids fats/cholesterol (which, a priori, are associated with heart vessel disease[1]) such a silly idea? Now, we know more, and are changing recommendations accordingly.

1. https://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/health/health-topics/topics/athero...

1b. (in case you don't trust a governmental source) https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Atherosclerosis


It is not that simple.

I for example have Thyrodid disease, and every single doctor I went, including "free" ones (paid with public money) and the most expensive ones (I tried paying a famous expensive guy that help celebrities), all of them failed on me a lot, to the point I am mostly self-treating, I go to the medic only as a "ritual" of sorts, but I read my own blood tests, and decide my own medication.

I tried with many of them, presenting research I found about it, and they all said it was bullshit, that researchers know nothing about medicine, that only experience matters, and so on...

Some told me that the wrong blood test numbers they use, are correct because the laboratory says so, and they just do what the lab says.

After hearing this multiple times, I decided to take my blood test papers, and read them carefully, and found they do quote their source for the numbers! It is there, written where the numbers came from.

Yet, when I went to read the source... the research paper I was trying to show the medics were there! So, the medics claim to follow the guidelines and the lab values, that in turn cite a bunch of research, yet the medics insist in using outdated values, and claiming the research is bullshit.

To be honest, I don't even understand what is going on, I met so many medics like that, that now I mostly refuse to go to medics and fix my health in the way I can, I now assume that medics are literally evil, since they intentionally lie to me, or are intentionally negligent and ignore the guidelines they claim to follow.

The few medics I trust, sometimes I go to them even when what I need from them is completely unrelated to their field (one medic that greatly helped me with my thyroid, was specialized in eye diseases, another one that helped me with vitamin D deficit, was an medic specialized in arthritis, and I don't even have arthrists, I went to that medic out of desperation after hearing good things about her...)


> The reason we have these publications is that medicine is continually reevaluating its recommendations.

The problem with nutrition is that for a very long period of time it wasn't, at all. It was citing ancient half-assed studies and anecdotes, never bothering to reassess or confirm them, and recommendations for low-salt and low-cholesterol are remnants of that time. I have no doubt that since a lot of that stuff has been called out, there will be money available for scientists to improve our understanding in the near future. My only irritation is that there are massive financial interests in maintaining the common wisdom, and that as a consequence, good findings will be ignored or suppressed.

As it is, the latest findings on salt and cholesterol are still not general knowledge, and the old common wisdom (as exemplified by popular science articles sparked by industry press releases, advice from primary care doctors) is nearly as dominant as it was before. A large part of that is that there's not been a lot of new advice to replace the old bad advice, leaving a hole, but the fact that statins and "diet" food are such a huge category creates a very dominant voice. That the loudest advocates for new findings come from faddish diets whose rationales reek of crank is also depressing.

> Finally, ask yourself: in the absence of evidence, is a diet that avoids fats/cholesterol (which, a priori, are associated with heart vessel disease[1]) such a silly idea?

We don't need science if we are just going to rely on easy, intuitive explanations of everything. Anybody can decide that eating fat makes you fat and fills your arteries with fat; you don't need any particular expertise for that.


> We don't need science if we are just going to rely on easy, intuitive explanations of everything. Anybody can decide that eating fat makes you fat and fills your arteries with fat; you don't need any particular expertise for that.

Science comes in when you want to know how plaque consisting of macrophages containing fats/cholesterol on arterial walls are embedded, and how macrophage uptake of fats/cholesterol is increased/decreased. There's current work in trying to understand the role of TMAO (primarily from animal foods) in increasing macrophage uptake of fats/cholesterol:

http://journals.lww.com/co-lipidology/Abstract/2016/04000/Tr...

The research in this area is promising enough that insurance may derive TMAO-based measures of heart health:

https://www.thepermanentejournal.org/files/Winter2015/Artery...


doctors do NOT go to school for nutrition. I assumed they knew about it, but turns out they don't. Most med schools don't teach any classes about nutrition or at most 1 or 2.


The link between LDL-C and CHD is widely accepted because there is strong evidence for it:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/26780009

"SUMMARY: The naturally randomized genetic evidence suggests that LDL-C has a causal and cumulative effect on the risk of CHD, and that the clinical benefit of exposure to lower LDL-C is determined by the absolute magnitude of exposure to lower LDL-C independent of the mechanism by which LDL-C is lowered."


I don't understand your point about statins. The Bloomberg article you linked said statins were very effective in preventing heart attacks, just not necessarily due to their cholesterol-lowering effect. If that's the case, statins would still seem to be warranted in a lot of people.


For people who do not already have heart disease, statins have no apparent benefit. For people who have had a heart attack, statins are indeed useful. Not because of its cholesterol lowering effect, but due to its ability to dial back inflammation in arteries. For more on this here's yet another Bloomberg article on statins: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2008-01-16/do-choles...

So you are right, statins are indeed useful in a lot of people: people who have already had a heart attack. But that's not who statins are being marketed to. See here: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/08/health/08well.html?fta=y


I would appreciate a citation where statins are reported to have no benefit in people who have not had a heart attack (termed 'primary prevention').

It's true that the evidence is not overwhelming (ref. 1) but I am not aware of studies that show no benefit.

[1] http://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/article-abstract/258403...


Any argument you're trying to make is weakened when you use bloomberg or NYT as citations.

Why don't people link to the actual studies?


The ACALM study found an association between high cholesterol and sharply reduced risk of death from 4 cancers. The numbers were large -- 22%, 43%, 47% and 30% lower risk of death. This may be due to wide-spread use of statins among those with high cholesterol. https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2016/07/160708123619.h...


Wouldn't it be nice if there were more government warnings and less restrictions / regulations?

Imagine if the FDA, instead of blocking new drugs for 10 years and $1B, it simply withheld its endorsement until satisfied by the clinical trials. Consumers could then take the government's recommendations into consideration when making a decision and drugs could get to market much faster.

The history of medical reversals -- and in this case, nutrition reversal -- shows that the government isn't magic.

A whole raft of restrictions could be converted to warnings and recommendations, freeing up industry to innovate and consumers to take a little more responsibility for themselves.

Imagine the history of the past few decades if the state had outlawed any foods with more than X% cholesterol. Or trans-fats. Or any of the other food fads over that time. It would have been terrible, especially now that the recommendation is reversed. The whole time, consumers were allowed to factor government warnings into their decisions, but food producers weren't breaking the law by selling foods with (X+1)% cholesterol.


Just as an example: 9% of the cases of Idiosyncratic Drug-induced Liver Injury is self-harm caused by people taking non-regulated dietary supplements:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/18955056

You have a theory that the average person will wisely assume the responsibility to vet the health effects of what they consume, but empirical reality disagrees with your theory. Right now people are injuring themselves with products at the margin of regulation.

There's a societal cost for lots of people injuring themselves, and offloading the responsibility of researching safety to the average consumer will cause fear and superstition, limiting people's willingness to try new products, and I would argue that that reduces innovation. Regulation in this area has been a net societal benefit.


Don't forget that marketing budgets for pharmaceuticals are also huge. The average person has no chance. The constant bombardment already means people go to their doctor asking for Rx by name even without understanding the medical need or if they're right for it. Now remove regulation... the warnings basically just blur into the background. Already we get so many warnings on prescriptions that they just turn into nothing because people become so habituated to them. It's identical to the paradox that is windows/browser security -- the more you warn, the more people just click through and ignore.


Hmm. Could you then disallow any advertising of drug while you're still without FDA endorsement? Like how you're not allowed to advertise cigarettes.

I suspect this line of thinking just leads to too many problems, however.


Yes, it’s possible to do this. You may be surprised to hear that the USA is one of only two countries on the entire planet which it’s even legal to advertise drugs. All others outlaw it completely.


Indeed, that was surprising to hear, and a quick google search found me many countries in Europe where advertising drugs is legal, within some restrictive framework.

Examples:

Spain http://uk.practicallaw.com/0-618-5403#a202338

France http://uk.practicallaw.com/2-618-6699 )


Both of those links say that there's a total ban on advertising prescription drugs to consumers, which is more specific than what the parent said but still very broad.


I’m sorry, yes, I should have specified prescription drugs, as that is what I meant. In context, though, this was what was discussed by the grandparent post: “[…] people go to their doctor asking for Rx by name […]”.


Before 1997 it was impractical to advertise them, though. You couldn't mention both the name of the drug and what it was for in an ad without including the entire warning label text. The deregulation was another Clinton thing, and its main beneficiary was the SSRIs.


I believe that's still the case -- which is why we get all those commercials with happy people having family moments while a voice in the background quickly announces "if you have experience any of the following symptoms head to the ER immediately."


Not too many problems, that's in general exactly how it works today. FDA approvals are generally marketing approvals: what you're allowed to advertise your drug for and to who. Physicians can do more or less whatever they want in terms of prescribing things. (Drugs which aren't approved for marketing for anything yet are a little different, but can still be made available as an "investigational" drug, which is a much lower, primarily safety, bar.)


Don't forget that lobbying budgets for pharmaceuticals are also huge. I'd rather pharmaceuticals spend money to show me ads while I still get to make my own choices than spend money to buy laws that restrict my choices.


"Don't forget that marketing budgets for pharmaceuticals are also huge"

Why is it advertising regulated drugs to uninformed consumers is legal?


And people will also choose to eat potato chips, not exercise, smoke, and drink heavily. You can't protect people from themselves, and even if it was an ethical government job to do so, i.e. take away people's freedoms because the government says it knows better, like with marijuana (I am REALLY humoring you, if you can't tell), there is no practical argument either. How much do you think your high estimate of X% who get sick by their own incompetence (which of course goes down significantly when people realize that they shouldn't blindly trust everything in our markets -- that blind, oft-misguided trust is another side effect of the FDA/USDA) will be DWARFED by the percentage of people saved by life saving drugs that make it to market faster/would otherwise be blocked. Do you know how many people the FDA has sentenced to die directly by rejecting appeals from terminally ill patients to get access to experimental drugs/procedures? Not to mention the indirect damage of delaying medicinal progress...


> You can't protect people from themselves

You can't protect all people from themselves, but you can protect a lot of people from themselves.

If you look at smoking [1] in the US, smoking went from 42.4% in 1965 to 16.8% in 2014. Raising awareness, taxing cigarettes, outlawing advertising, warnings on packaging, these things work.

The same could be done with alcohol if society wanted. One of the reasons why it hasn't happened with alcohol is because alcohol is ingrained into our culture.

> by the percentage of people saved by life saving drugs that make it to market faster/would otherwise be blocked.

Do you have any estimates for this? Do you have estimates about how many people would die by allowing poorly-vetted drugs on the market?

> which of course goes down significantly when people realize that they shouldn't blindly trust everything in our markets

How would you suggest the average person go about evaluating a drug/treatment?

> sentenced to die directly by rejecting appeals from terminally ill patients to get access to experimental drugs/procedures

sentenced to die implies that experimental drugs/procedures would save them. Undoubtedly some could be saved, but I doubt it would be more than a small fraction.

[1] https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/tables/trends/ci...


Oddly, the people you're asking to implement this harm reduction plan are often making the same mistakes as those who would "benefit" from the regulations.

Government bureaucrats are not special or different from us regular folk. Why should we expect them to be?


Because you can select them for their expertise. E.g., to create medical regulations, you can select doctors and pharmacists.


All of your points are born of the flawed assumption that it is ethical to take away people's freedoms because you think you know better. Even if you DO know better and could PROVE it (which is never guaranteed in theory OR in practice -- see: FDA, USDA), I would never support coercive measures. It's about as moral and effective as outlawing suicide. The practical arguments are already lost. There were a lot of well-intentioned common folk and bureaucrats who think JUST LIKE YOU and tried something called Prohibition, and it didn't work. Same with the drug war.


True, there are always people who will do that. I try to eat very low-carb and it's helped my heath dramatically, but even I occasionally will have a burger or real pasta.

The issue is education. It's very difficult to tell what is healthy and what isn't. There is a lot of research coming out that shows us sugar and starches are very bad for us. The stress from those carbs can damage our arteries and is what allows cholesterol to build.

The industry has a vested interest in people not knowing/believing in that. Sugar and HF Corn Syrup is a massive industry. Soda companies have been losing money as people finally move away and now we start to see the tides change.

Regardless, we need good education about what is and isn't health. Otherwise people struggle with weight and just get frustrated and resolve themselves to eat unhealthy because nothing seems to help reduce their weight or cravings.


I agree, and the FDA and USDA basically have a monopoly on providing that education in the current system. They aren't doing so well. Scaling back as the original commenter suggested would still offer government-stamped peace of mind for some products, but for those that aren't approved/are still pending, there will be room for private reviewing organizations to step in, probably providing consumers with more diverse opinions.


How's a burger carbs btw? Unless you mean the bun and not the actual patty.


Why the vote down? It's a serious question


Over-regulation prevents what we call in the software world "rapid iteration". It may take more time for the dust to settle, but eventually the best solutions naturally rise to the top by this method.


The 'dust' in your metaphor are human lives.

Most software does not involve life-and-death situations. In cases that do, e.g. the space shuttle, they don't use rapid iteration [1].

[1] https://www.nap.edu/read/2222/chapter/5#48


how many lives were lost due to over-regulation of fats instead of sugar? i stand by my belief that experimentation with 1000 different diets will prove the subset that works over time.


Idiosyncratic Drug-induced Liver Injury (DILI) is only 13-20% of all DILI. The other ~80% being pharmacological. About 40% of all acute liver failure is caused by acetaminophen. http://www.nature.com/ajg/journal/v102/n11/full/ajg2007481a....

Meaning a single FDA approved over-the-counter drug is responsible for over 20 times as much liver failure as all dietary supplements. Some regulation may be beneficial but the current policies are clearly suboptimal.


Acetaminophen is a interesting example - it's a very (centuries) old drug that predates the regulatory framework we have today. Some scholars (see ref. 1 for some history) suggest that it would not be approved by today's FDA.

It's thus a poor selection if one wishes to discredit the FDA's efficacy; indeed, some other widely-used therapeutics (e.g., aspirin) came into use before drug efficacy was required for new drug approval.

At the same time, there are numerous examples of drugs either not approved by the FDA or withdrawn from the US market by the FDA. It's not clear how less regulation would achieve this type of nation-wide safety benefit.

[1] http://s3.documentcloud.org/documents/793731/mcneil-history-...


I've been thinking recently about government regulations like this and about where it should end.

Why are we so sure that we can't trust people to make an educated decision about an experimental drug or any of the many other things we regulate, many of which only impact themselves and don't put the general public at risk in any way. Yet one of our most deeply held values is trusting them to make an educated decision about who should run the country. It's certainly not any less complex of a topic when you consider all of the policy areas that there are to evaluate politicians across.


You didn't show any evidence of the FDA being a net benefit. You only showed that the FDA probably could have reduced that specific type of liver injury by regulating those specific supplements. But the government is not magic, and the FDA almost certainly has also caused injuries by overly or erroneously regulating other things. I have no idea what the net effect is, but you certainly haven't shown it to be positive.


I'm curious about your assertion of 'overly' regulating things leading to a net negative effect. Are there specific examples you're considering?


Marijuana would be the most obvious example.


Sorry to reply so late. I think we would do well to separate concerns about recreational drugs from the FDA's regulation of pharmaceuticals. I totally agree that our regulation of marijuana (when compared to similar substances like cigarettes) has been problematic.

Are there examples of pharmaceuticals you were considering?


I meant medical marijuana.


The issue with non-regulated dietary supplements may well be caused by the current state of regulation (this is strictly my own opinion/observation).

In the current state of things, we've grown accustomed to seeing warnings when the government thinks there is a potential danger with a particular FDA regulated drug. So perhaps the lack of warnings with supplements is giving people a false sense of security about the dietary supplements...ie, "if they were dangerous, surely there'd be a warning". If, as the parent comment suggests, the paradigm shifts so that the government's position is one of several factors to consider, perhaps then people would look at supplements with a greater degree of caution and suspicion. In other words, changing the paradigm may change people's behavior in terms of how they approach both drugs and supplements.


These kind of context-less banding about of figures always serve the point the bander is trying to make, and rarely the truth. It leaves out the fact, for example, that regulated medicine is responsible for the rest. If we exclude approved regulated alcohol, the liver damage caused by unregulated 'medicine' is almost noise.


> You have a theory that the average person will wisely assume the responsibility to vet the health effects of what they consume, but empirical reality disagrees with your theory. Right now people are injuring themselves with products at the margin of regulation.

I know this is an incredibly callous opinion but isn't this natural selection at work?

People even go further and knowingly partake of substances known to be harmful (cigarettes). We don't stop them from that, why should we stop them from consuming medication that hasn't yet been deemed safe?

Educating and providing support for those that need it I agree with but if people freely and knowingly choose to act in a self destructive manner with a sound mind, I'm not convinced it benefits society or themselves to forcibly preserve their life.


Isn't murder survival of the fittest?

We as a society have decided that, generally, profiting from causing harm to others incentives bad things.

I don't want cough medicine that might stop my breathing, but heroin was regularly sold as just that before the FDA.

History has shown that without regulation the quality, efficacy, composition, safety and side-effect profile of drugs might stray from reality because of market incentives. The unfortunate truth is that sometimes it is more profitable if those five things are ignored and people get hurt or die. Hence, regulation.

> People even go further and knowingly partake of substances known to be harmful (cigarettes).

Tobacco products are heavily regulated. One could argue that because of lobbying and the amounts of wealth involved, that tobacco companies have been spared some of the stronger regulations they could have faced.


> Isn't murder survival of the fittest?

Murder is bad for society, as people who can benefit society through say their knowledge of medicine or physics aren't adept at self defence.

A similar argument could be made that people who aren't very good at taking care of themselves are valuable to society somehow and should be protected from idiotic self-harm but I believe a person's autonomy trumps society's interest in preserving whatever value they have.

> I don't want cough medicine that might stop my breathing, but heroin was regularly sold as just that before the FDA.

Heroin was sold as cough medicine that might stop your breathing? If it tells you you might die and you choose to ingest it, that's on you. If you choose to play Russian Roulette, nobody's stopping you.

In case it wasn't sold with a warning that it might stop your breathing, you could have chosen to verify that it did what you expected before ingesting it. The modern FDA could also warn of the dangers without forbidding the sale of the substance.

> Tobacco products are heavily regulated.

They may be regulated but any adult can still choose to partake of however much they like regardless of the damage to their health.


I actually agree with you. I believe all drugs, including the illegal ones, should be made accessible if I want them. Now, having said that, everyone else has great arguments, and these things can not go unregulated. I'll want officially sanctioned reviews, warnings, I want labels to be truthful, I want legitimate access to accurate and quality information, I need more then known side effects, I need propbability of each one, I need to know the amount and quality of the studies that have shown efficacy and effect, etc.

I think cigarettes is actually a pretty good example of regulation that's not restrictive. I don't want to deregulate to enable business to sell more crap for higher prices with disinformation and attractive pitches. I want deregulation so that I am free to use any drug I would decide to use for myself. Granted, I would need to be guaranteed access to the correct information. Even today, there's not enough regulation around package labels. A lot of products don't mention important facts about them, or are allowed to lie on certain facts.


> Heroin was sold as cough medicine that might stop your breathing? If it tells you you might die and you choose to ingest it, that's on you. If you choose to play Russian Roulette, nobody's stopping you.

Yes, heroin was sold as children's cough medicine by Bayer [1]. It stops coughing because it slows breathing. Take enough and you stop breathing, then die. This how 30k+ Americans die from (non-)prescription opioid overdoses each year.

No, it did not indicate that it could harm or kill you. Why? Because regulations didn't exist that mandated purchasers were informed of all potential side-effects. Regulations didn't exist that mandated testing to determine those side-effects or the safety profile.

> In case it wasn't sold with a warning that it might stop your breathing, you could have chosen to verify that it did what you expected before ingesting it.

It does exactly what it says: stops coughing. You might be able to take 10 bottles over time, but the next time you dose from the 11th bottle, you don't wake up. It could be a multitude of reasons: lack of quality assurance means different batches have different concentrations of the active ingredient, your tolerance for heroin lowered after disuse and you take the same dose you're used to taking and die, what's in the bottle isn't the product you thought it was or you happened to have a drink of alcohol before taking it and overdose from a normal dose. These are the same problems heroin users face in the unregulated black market for drugs. How does "verifying that it did what you expected" help in any of those cases? Why offload the responsibility to ensure a product's safety, side-effect profile and drug interactions on the user when it could just as easily be done at the source by knowledged professionals and save laymen lives from being needlessly ruined?

How does one verify the medicine they bought does what they expected and not give them cancer in a couple of years?

Also, this is a children's medicine. They aren't consenting adults. How can you suggest in good faith that a child verifies the medicine they're given by a doctor, parent, nanny, babysitter, teacher or friend does exactly what it should? What if they're old enough to buy it themselves, but still a minor with underdeveloped decision making processes? What if the child finds the medication? Child proof packaging and bottling exist because of regulation.

But here's the thing:

> History has shown that without regulation the quality, efficacy, composition, safety and side-effect profile of drugs might stray from reality because of market incentives. The unfortunate truth is that sometimes it is more profitable if those five things are ignored and people get hurt or die. Hence, regulation.

With or without regulation, you will have a market of desperate people who need treatment so that they don't end up in pain, injured or dead. Snake oil salesmen took advantage of this. The world doesn't need a Pfizer that, instead of making the investment to develop drugs that treat diseases, pushes a variety of unproven harmful cures because it is immediately profitable to do so. Before you say the market will ensure that drugs are safe, effective, etc: this wasn't the case at all until the FDA. The market didn't incentivize these things and we all suffered for it.

Later we got dextromethorphan: technically an opioid and morphine derivative, like heroin, that suppresses a cough but doesn't completely stop breathing at any dose.

Heroin is cheaper to produce. The market would decide that a certain number of dead children are acceptable because people will buy the cheaper, deadlier medication. Unknowingly, because they lack the necessary information to make an informed decision due to the lack of regulation. The type of information needed for a market to function.

They might not even have the option of purchasing DXM, as it was developed by the government as an non-addictive alternative to codeine. Years later it was brought to market as an antitussive because the market was lacking cough suppressants. The market was lacking because the FDA banned morphine and heroin as OTC cough suppressants.

>They may be regulated but any adult can still choose to partake of however much they like regardless of the damage to their health.

Anyone that purchases cigarettes in America is not purchasing the cigarettes Philip Morris et al want to be selling in their ideal world. Cigarette composition, manufacturing, marketing and price are all heavily regulated by decades of legislation in response to more toxic, addictive cigarettes being introduced and the advertising campaigns behind them.

Without regulation, cigarettes would be more toxic and deadly; and they would cause more damage to someone's health.

[1] http://www.businessinsider.com/yes-bayer-promoted-heroin-for...


From your link:

    RESULTS: DILI was caused by a single prescription 
    medication in 73% of the cases, by dietary supplements 
    in 9%, and by multiple agents in 18%. More than 100 
    different agents were associated with DILI; 
    antimicrobials (45.5%) and central nervous system 
    agents (15%) were the most common.

    CONCLUSIONS: DILI is caused by a wide array of medications, 
    herbal supplements, and dietary supplements. Antibiotics are 
    the single largest class of agents that cause DILI.
So FDA approved drugs cause 73% of these liver injuries, while unregulated supplements cause 9%. I don't understand how that is an argument for FDA regulation?


What dietary supplements can cause liver injury?


Vitamin A, typically. Or more generally fat-soluble vitamins. The label usually warns you.


Oh, duh. People don't know that? That's why I refuse to eat polar bear liver.


The science behind nutrition health is extremely complicated and expecting it to remain constant represent a total misunderstanding of how nutrition research is done and how results are determined.

> The history of medical reversals -- and in this case, nutrition reversal -- shows that the government isn't magic.

What it shows is that nutrition science is hardly 'solved' and you'd be hard pressed to find a researcher in the field suggest otherwise.

> A whole raft of restrictions could be converted to warnings and recommendations, freeing up industry to innovate and consumers to take a little more responsibility for themselves.

The problem with this is that the average consumer is both A) dumb, and B) doesn't know what they need. Alternative medicine skirts very cleanly around FDA regulation by not making any medical claims on it's product. They still market their product as a solution for various diseases and conditions, but they never make a formal claim. It's a $30,000,000,000 industry of people buying stuff that does nothing, or worse yet, can cause potential harm. To suggest their is no value in regulation of the drug markets is to suggest that people's health has no value. The defense of, 'well, people are responsible for their own decisions' doesn't hold any water when we know that the direct consequences of that mentality can be measured in literally tens of billions of dollars.


> The problem with this is that the average consumer is both A) dumb, and B) doesn't know what they need

Note that the customer for prescription drugs is a licensed doctor.


> Note that the customer for prescription drugs is a licensed doctor.

Who can be bought and misled like anyone else.


Just like federal regulators can be bought and misled like anyone else.


Federal regulators are not in any way the consumer in this line of discussion, so your comment is a non sequitur. Doctors are not expected to regulate the drug industry, federal regulators are. Please read the comment I was responding to.


Also note that the proposed (and current) alternative is for these consumers to vote for politicians who will make these scientific decisions for them.


The problem with this is that the average consumer is both A) dumb, and B) doesn't know what they need.

Unfortunately, a significant number of bureaucrats and statists would prefer consumers to be dumb (or at least say that they are) in order to maintain power.

Oh and let me guess, you're not one of the dumb ones....it's the other guys right? ;)


For nearly all the products I buy, I'm definitely 'dumb'. I have a narrow expertise that gives me insight into a narrow set of consumer products where I can effectively evaluate product quality and value. For nearly everything else, I'm 'dumb'.

If you show me a rack of food product, I probably can't identify which is the best for a particular person given a set of goals. I probably can't even tell you which ones are 'bad' or 'good', because I don't really know. While food is but one subject, this applies to nearly everything I purchase. Which plastics are the best for a given task? What ingredients in a shampoo would actually give me results I want? What kind of bed or bedding is the best for my comfort? To all these questions: I have no idea. I'm at the mercy of google or a salesman, the latter which has a different motive than me which immediately calls that in to suspicion.

I'd be a fool to say I'm an all-knowing consumer, but so would anyone. Most people don't know what the need. They know what problem they want to solve, but they have no idea what the best product or solution is to solve said problem. Acknowledging this, we can easily see why when it comes to our health, it's probably best to see some regulation lest people do what they do best: make really dumb choices.


I'm a complete idiot when it comes to what drug is going to have what effect on me. That's why I consult an expert: a doctor.


You're choosing your own doctor, right?

Do you just blindly take whatever the doctor prescribes to you without doing your own research? How do you know your doctor is an expert? I'm pretty sure my doctor is not an expert in lots of things pertaining to medicine. He's not studying all the new research. That doesn't mean I can't have a conversation with him, but it's healthy to be skeptical of doctors too...that's why we get second opinions.

I don't have a huge problem with the FDA, but I'd rather have a number of choices of where to get information, and at the end of the day make my own choice on what to consume.

Also if people are so stupid like the OP suggested why not ban a whole plethora of foods like Twinkies, potato chips, soda, etc..?


"Do you blindly take whatever the doctor prescribes to you without doing your own research?"

Yes, and the more serious or painful the issue is, the more likely I am to blindly take the stuff. I'm simply not rational: I know this happens to a few other people as well, who all have migraines. Some folks willingly admit that when the migraine gets bad enough, it really doesn't matter if they overdose on pain medication because that would make the pain stop: I was similar with my gall bladder pain. Didn't care what they shot into my veins, so long as I stopped dropping to the floor in pain.

"if people are so stupid like the OP suggested, why not ban a while plethora of foods like twinkies, potato chips, soda, etc?"

We have to an extent: A lot of schools have taken such snacks out, for example, and some have tried to stop folks on welfare from buying any of it. And we tax it. But the real reason we don't do that is because food carries its own risks that aren't nearly as instantly deadly as drugs. The main exception is new food products, colorants, and flavors. Now, I'm a little fuzzy on the actual regulation, but there are approved and non-approved things to use for food, and I was thinking you had to prove it generally safe for humans. I could be wrong on this bit, however.


> Do you just blindly take whatever the doctor prescribes to you without doing your own research?

Yes. I'm do not have a medical background and at best, I could gain a surface-level understanding of the drug, which is not useful to determine which drug(s) are best for me.

> How do you know your doctor is an expert?

They went to 10 years of school and several years of residency to do doctor things. These things are also regulated by several boards which have the power to revoke medical licenses if doctors suck.


If nutrition science "isn't solved", the government shouldn't be making laws and regulations based on it.


Basically, yeah. As a general rule, the bigger the change you want to make to existing practice, the better your model for that domain needs to be. (I call that the "if it ain't broke" heuristic.)

Changing the composition of an entire nation's schoolchildren's food supply ... should require something like skyscraper-failure-prediction accuracy.

It's no defense that "science learns and revises". If the learning and revising is still that big, you don't have a basis for telling others to do it your way.

(IMHO, this is, at root, the same mentality as "fake it till you make it" / "all self doubt must be Impostor Syndrome and never an accurate assessment".)


Morality isn't "solved" either, but we still outlaw murder. We can't not try to protect ourselves.


Murder is long solved. We've conclusively determined, with no exceptions, that it is unhealthy for the victim.


Clearly there are exceptions (military, capital punishment, police with guns, etc).


That is why people have been so slow to mobilize around climate change predictions.


Only through people's incorrect interpretation of reality.

>nutrition science is hardly 'solved' and you'd be hard pressed to find a researcher in the field suggest otherwise.

You'd be hard pressed to find a climate scientist not in agreement with the consensus on climate change, at least one that isn't already promoting book deals on Fox.


>You'd be hard pressed to find a climate scientist not in agreement with the consensus on climate change

You'd also be hard pressed to find a numerologist not in agreement with the consensus that numerology is effective.

Argument from authority isn't appropriate in this forum.



yup, the science is "agreed on." Disagree and lose your job/funding. That's how to build climate consensus.


That's not at all true, and that level of ignorance is actually quite dangerous.

Scientists in no field are punished for disagreement. Even in really fringe science, disagreement is not only well-funded, but encouraged. A great example is String Theory: It has a lot of supporters and a lot of people saying it's untestable bunk, but research for both sides continues.. Consensuses happen when there is sufficient data to collapse to a consensus, not because 'funding'. Disagreements are extremely common in research and suggesting that the overwhelming consensus on the state of climate change is somehow a conspiracy or due to research pressures (that don't seem to exist anywhere else...) is complete garbage.


Are your a scientist? You seem very naive about the scientific world.

If you haven't experienced the cut throat nature of science or the immensely aggressive politics you may need to reassess your rose colored view.

The mantra, is your haven't heard it, is publish or perish.

Disagreement is well funded? What are your talking about? Good data is well funded. Doesn't matter how much you disagree, if the data is missing or bad you get no money.



Nope, that's not how it works. Do you work in the science community? Many fields of science and engineering are gradually being eaten by politics. Going against progressive politics is dangerous for the career of any academic scientist in the US. This isn't a huge issue (yet) for math or hard physics. It's hard to politicize those fields (not for lack of trying; I could go on a very long rant about how non-scientists are trying to make scientific fields conform to their political expectations), but for other fields like environmental science (which, by the way, is only weakly scientific in the sense that it does not follow good practices for having high predictive power, so it's relatively easy to manipulate) political concerns are very powerful.

This is a bit rambly, but the gist of it is that it's naive to pretend that many nominally scientific fields are actually entirely objective and free from politics.


String theory doesn't, as far as I know, have significant government policy implications, so I wouldn't expect heterodoxy to be stigmatized as much as in climate science.


<s>

Yes! We could replace those flawed and lobbied against restrictions with advice. The market would be free once again to innovate.

Bayer could once again offer Heroin as an addiction free drug. We could get long missed radium cures and snake oil. They could be free to advertise to their heart's content. They can tell us cigarettes are good for us.

The companies can be trusted to have our health at heart. They can spend adequately on SEO to ensure their messages are dominant. Silly government warnings and or indivduals having problems with side effects or Heroin forum posts can sensibly be lost in the far reaches of search.

</s>

Seriously? I can't think of anything more stupid, even though the system is horribly flawed.

Want to go back to food adulteration, and poisons sold as cures? Endless advertorials pushing pointless product? We have an entire vitamins and supplements industry that's pointless (and problematic) for most people.

Go read the history of those regulations and restrictions. I don't want the pre-drug and food adulteration acts world back, thank you very much. How is this the highest voted post?


It was under basically the same regulatory regime that Purdue Pharma marketed Oxycontin 12-hour extended release as a drug unlikely to cause abuse.

It wasn't that long ago that Phen-Phen (sp?) was legally marketed and sold.

We currently allow prescription of extraordinarily strong methamphetamine to children, who often spend their formative years under the influence.

---

We still have a long ways to go.


I did say it was flawed.

> currently allow prescription of extraordinarily strong methamphetamine to children

As someone adult diagnosed ADHD and taking "extrordinarily strong amphetamine" from my 40s I'd like to point out they do not affect ADHD sufferers in the same way as neuro typicals. They're used at tiny dosages compared to using recreationally. I would not wish children with the condition to have my hugely damaged teen years because of horribly misinformed popular rhetoric about amphetamines. Using meth is the last resort option when other forms haven't worked.

That popular rhetoric meant I spent an additional 10 years before gaining effective treatment. I had to read and interpret actual papers to get past the media bullshit and gain an informed opinion.

I doubt you can even imagine how much I wish I had been taking "extraordinarily strong", ie correctly dosed, amphetamines from my earliest years. I will add that I'm not in favour of use for weight - many other tactics can work there.

Do you use the term "extrordinarily strong" when you mean "correct dosage" or speaking of paracetamol? Paracetamol is the cause of many deaths unlike amphetamines. Now add the liver damage.


This assumes correct diagnoses. In your case, the cost was lost years of correctable, sub-optimal brain chemistry. To a kid unnecessarily prescribed amphetamines, the cost is a life with a malformed brain.

The issue at hand is how to balance the outcomes. Based on increased prescription rates (600k diagnosed in 1990 to 3.5 million in 2012 [0]), it seems probable to me that we've passed the breakeven point. I bet that increase in diagnoses corresponds with an increase in marketing spend for these drugs, which is another indicator that gives me pause.

You as an adult were able to decide for yourself. Many diagnosed nowadays are young; they do not have the ability to give informed consent to the medication, nor the ability to roll back the effects. Younger brains are more easily harmed as well.

Further complicating the fact is that it requires an assessment of relative importance: is it better to harm by inaction (your situation) or by over-action?

It's really hard to try and fairly balance these and other issues that I'm sure I'm missing. However, thank you for sharing; although uncomfortable, I thought about the issue from a perspective that quickly embarrassingly had not previously occurred.

[0] http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/15/health/the-selling-of-atte...


It's a big subject and I don't want to to drag too far off topic. So I'll just say prescription rates in 1990 were when the condition was barely recognised and hugely under-diagnosed. Most doctors still believed you grew out of it.

Research seeems to indicate a global prevalence of around 5-10%, settling around 7.8%. So those areas, and there are some, diagnosing >10% are overdoing it. Until we have blood or genetic tests it's too reliant on self-reporting. Even so, many still struggle to get diagnosed or are suspected of just seeking recreational amphetamines.

If it does turn out to be 7%, that's over 22.5m in the US, 4.5m in the UK. It's doubtful all would need or want prescription as not everyone is affected similarly.

I wouldn't have hesitated to push for diganosis if I'd recognised it in my own children (It's strongly determined by heredity).


> Imagine if the FDA, instead of blocking new drugs for 10 years and $1B, it simply withheld its endorsement until satisfied by the clinical trials.

The way you'd like the FDA to work is literally the way it already works. You're allowed to buy basically any drug you want unless it's scheduled by the DEA. Companies just aren't allowed to market them as being effective for a specific disease without passing clinical trials.


Can doctors legally prescribe them without FDA approval? There are many niche drugs currently unavailable for therapeutic use in the USA because no current manufacturers hold an FDA certification.


Drugs have to be approved by the FDA for some condition to be sold at all in the US. Once available, they can be prescribed on and off label, as long as the manufacturer doesn't encourage any kind of off-label use.


Drug approvals are currently much better than nutrition studies. Your suggestion of allowing not-known-to-work "medicine" to be sold would return us to the era of patent medicines, which killed a lot of people. You can look at the supplements market to see people dying from a similar policy right now.


Like anything else, you have to look at both costs and benefits of the alternatives.

The current extremely tough FDA approval process has the benefit you mention: Fewer people are injured by unsafe drugs.

But it also has a big (but harder to observe) cost: If disease X kills 1000 people/year, then each year a cure is delayed kills 1000 people.

The main argument against the current system is that it weighs the deaths of people in the first category vastly more than those in the second.

How many people the FDA process kills this way is hard to calculate, and you can find wildly different estimates. But most discussion assumes it doesn't even exist...


The problem is that we also don't know how many people might be killed by an unsafe drug. It's impossible to know in advance what could fail with a drug - hence the testing. We have no concept of the upper bound of possible deaths. If a major drug is released without enough drug trials and widely prescribed we could lose thousands. See Voixx for an example. Almost 40,000 people died [0]. This was with a comprehensive drug trial under the FDA process. We would have many more incidents like this if not for drug trials required by regulatory agencies.

On the other hand national statistics on deaths caused by various diseases have been compiled for decades. We can know with certainty the upper bound of people killed per year (which in your example isn't 1000 but some fraction of that - no drug is 100% effective). Also, many drugs don't prevent deaths but merely comfort the patient or remove some symptoms. Many drugs have alternates which could be taken. Many drugs have an upper bound of deaths prevented of 0. Why should we risk any lives for a drug which cannot save any additional lives?

In general humans prefer taking a known risk with known odds rather than an unknown risk with unknown odds.

If an informed consumer wants to make a different choice than the FDA, nobody is stopping them from traveling to a country where the drug is already available.

[0] http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=5470430


The FDA has stricter rules now about drugs because of previous problems where some approved drugs killed people, and others were ineffective, and some were both.

So we already have experience with some alternatives to the current scheme.


You are describing a world in which all decisions made by all humans are informed by perfect logic. The beautiful paradox of such a world is that wouldn't require any government, or any other external system of control. Any external system of control in a perfectly logical and rational world would be unable to demonstrate any value whatsoever, as there would be no conflicts to resolve whatsoever.

Thus, in lieu of 100% of humans being 100% rational, 100% of the time, a nonzero amount of government, creating nonzero amounts of regulation it is an absolute necessity.


> Imagine if the FDA, instead of blocking new drugs for 10 years and $1B, it simply withheld its endorsement until satisfied by the clinical trials. Consumers could then take the government's recommendations into consideration when making a decision and drugs could get to market much faster.

I'd go one step further. Give the FDA competition. Have private companies (similar to UL for electronics) that can endorse and test drugs.


Do not want. See the role of Moodys and S&P in the 2009 meltdown for what a profit motive does to the ability to "endorse" anything that has the potential to harm.


Why aren't you blaming the SEC (FDA counterpart in this analogy) for 2009 events as well?


The SEC failed to enforce some of it's regulations and didn't see the upcoming crisis. Multiple other federal agencies did the same thing. Not a single government official from any country (remember that a similar housing boom unfolded in multiple other countries) foresaw the upcoming trauma. Note that it it was likely politically infeasible for them to have more rigorously enforced much of their regulation during most of the time period it could have helped. The new securities which caused the crisis were very complex and partially were structured specifically to dodge government oversight.

The ratings agencies actively marked bonds as AA which they knew darn well were in reality B or worse. They committed fraud at the behest of the banks.

There is a massive difference between inaction and fraud. That's why the SEC doesn't get a lot of blame.


Do you support vastly expanding SEC powers and making sure it doesn't get "captured" by the financial industry? Do you support massively higher penalties, and far more control over the industry, than it has now, to bring it in line with the power the FDA has?

Do you also only blame the police for not catching a criminal, and not care about the criminal at all?


Private companies have profit incentives. If a horrible substance comes to market they can be paid off to endorse it.

You can argue that no rational company that cares about its reputation would do such a thing, but history has shown time and time again - yes corporations do waive all consideration for public safety in lieu for money.

The government is the perfect institution to endorse safety of substances/drugs/whatever for use by it's citizens. That doesn't mean they are perfect though, but I would trust them a thousand times more than a corporation.

It's extremely wreckless to apply free market economic theories to things like this. In the real world, consumers and businesses are irrational.


Because government officials are never paid off?


No, because government officials are paid off much less often because it's harder.

Outright bribery in the US is rare, difficult, and if caught, will land you in federal prison for a long time. Remember Blagojevich?

Government officials are under much more scrutiny than a private sector executive. There are independent investigators general that have broad latitude to look for malfeasance. The FOIA exists to bring government records to light; there is no equivalent in the private sector. Heck, we spent ~$80mm investigating Clinton over the Lewinsky affair.

The government isn't perfect, but it's a damn sight more transparent and directly accountable to the public than private companies are.


Or have competition in the form of foreign FDA counterparts.

If the European/Japanese/Other Reputable Country authorities have approved a drug, it could be allowed it in the US, with a clear label, of course.

Foreign physiology and science is the same as American.


Thalidomide is the poster child for dangerous drugs approved elsewhere but not by the FDA.

Experts estimate that the drug thalidomide led to the death of approximately 2,000 children and serious birth defects in more than 10,000 children, about 5,000 of them in West Germany.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thalidomide

http://www.thalidomide.ca/the-canadian-tragedy/


There are some merits to this idea, but there's a major flaw. It's kind of like tax havens. If you have two countries with different tax rates, all else being equal, a multinational will set up HQ in the lower tax county. Likewise, for pharmaceuticals, the company will pick the country that has the lowest barrier to entry and then sell to both.

While within a country a given barrier may be too high or low, it will probably be somewhat randomly too high or low around some appropriate level of safety. With the multi-country scheme, the bias will be towards too low on nearly every drug.


True. That is a good idea. Why shouldn't I be able to buy drugs that are approved by Canada for instance?


That worked out really well for the banking industry. You really want a similar scheme for medical care?


That's a false analogy. I was not proposing self-regulation.

I was proposing something like UL which is independent from the companies being overseen.


How is it independent? UL is for-profit and relies on revenue from the companies seeking certidication. That's the same, or similar, conflict that exists with the credit agencies and the finance industry.


There is pressure to be favorable towards the customer (the company being inspected). Something similar happened in finance, where issuers were shopping around the big 3 ratings agencies for the best rating.


Hey why wouldn't a CDS on someone's health be a good thing? /snark


> I'd go one step further. Give the FDA competition. Have private companies (similar to UL for electronics) that can endorse and test drugs.

Because that worked so well with risk analysis in finance. 2008 is calling.


Private corporations aren't magic either. And they don't even have to pretend to give a shit about society.


> Wouldn't it be nice if there were more government warnings and less restrictions / regulations? ... A whole raft of restrictions could be converted to warnings and recommendations, freeing up industry to innovate

No, not without specific examples of how government regulations are a burden on innovation. Whenever people argue this point in industry X it always seems difficult to come up with concrete examples.

> and consumers to take a little more responsibility for themselves.

Secondly, again no. Consumers are not rational machines who make rational decisions based on time spent researching what they are consuming.


I was just reading the new laws enacted for 2017 in California, which included a ban on powdered alcohol, even though it has never been for sale in the state. That's one concrete recent concrete example where a warning would have been a nice alternative.


>A whole raft of restrictions could be converted to warnings and recommendations, freeing up industry to innovate and consumers to take a little more responsibility for themselves.

When I look at how little regard people have for this when taking supplements, I find it hard to believe they'll take more responsibility for themselves.

Not against all supplements myself, but once I learned how poorly controlled they are - how there is virtually no manufacturer I can trust who is actually giving me what the label claims (so many mg of nutrition per capsule, harmful ingredients not on the labeling, etc) - I pretty much stopped taking all of them. The risks outweigh the benefits.


The strip mining of the public good that drug companies would do if all sales were allowed boggles the mind.

Such an open policy would only work if all information (including internal information proprietary to the maker) was available to inform buyers, and while I think a fully informed market w would be great, I don't see any real chance of that happening.


Ummm... Artifical transfats have already been outlawed. http://www.cnn.com/2015/06/16/health/fda-trans-fat/


Govt everywhere : "Don't be obese"

Result: highest rate of obesity in history


The sugar industry has a history of lobbying public attention away from sugar and towards cholesterol. It has even enlisted places like Harvard School of Public Health on this task:

http://time.com/4485710/sugar-industry-heart-disease-researc...

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/apr/07/the-sugar-co...


Let me know when the government wakes up and inverts the food pyramid, so that breads and grains and carbs are scarce, rather than fats.


Carbohydrates are not a bad thing and are indeed an important part of health. The current suggested diet doesn't say, 'bread'. It specifically calls out Whole Grains, which a great deal of evidence suggests are a Good Thing. Suggesting that grains, or even carbs, are somehow worse than literal fat is misleading at best, and delusional at it's worst.


The phrase "literal fat" shows just how successful the misguided low-fat crusade was: they don't even need any modifiers to show that they're "bad."

At any rate, it's very easy to design a diet for humans without grains in it that's healthy and that you can thrive on, but impossible to design one without fat. So in that respect at least, literal fat is better than grains.


It is however hardly possible to design a human diet without carbs where the planet doesn't suffer from a large scale ecological disaster[1] (assuming most of the world's population would adopt that diet), unless unconventional animal food sources, such as insects or krill, become mainstream. I don't see that happening any time soon.

[1] http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919211...


I'm referring to the original 1992 food pyramid: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Food_pyramid_(nutrition)#/medi...

> Fats, oils, sweets: sparingly

> Bread, cereal, rice & pasta: 6-11 servings

Yes I am in the camp that believe fats and proteins are both much healthier than carbs, and especially refined sugars. The latest nutrition supports low carb diets, as can be seen with Atkins and Keto diets.


> The latest nutrition supports low carb diets

The "latest nutrition" supports nothing of the sort. Dietitians still recommend you get roughly 50% of your calories from healthy carbs.

Source: my wife is a registered dietitian and has a PhD in nutrition.


When people say "the latest nutrition" they mean "the latest broscience I read on reddit."


The latest research shows exactly that.

In 15 years or so, what gets taught will reflect that.


Not wanting to blast an entire profession, and I am not even the guy you are talking with...

But to me, PhD in nutrition doesn't mean much, it is like PhD in underwater basket weaving, I am yet to met a single nutrition professional that could help me, and believe me, I looked really, really hard.

In the end the only people that could help me, were endocrionologists, biologists, and other scientists in fields that are not directly relation to nutrition.

And the reason for that, is precisely because of that high-carb recommendation, that is just insane, many cultures on earth lived just fine with low, or even zero carbs (extreme example: north-pole inhabitants, that in some places have diets that are 100% meat, organs included, since "regular" meat lacks some nutrients, like Vitamin C).

In more tribal places (all over the world too, Africa, Asia, Americas...) hunter tribes also tend to be healthier than farmer tribes (but also tend to have much lower population numbers).

And in many places, before FDA push for the vegetable agenda (I am not talking about veganism or vegatarianism, but about FDA constantly defending vegetable based food, including by accepting research that was fraudulent), people would happily eat lots of animal fats and meat, and live just fine. (example: in my country before the 60s, everyone used pork fat to fry stuff, and even make soap, but after vegetable oils became popular, and the government started to give strong subsidies to wheat, obesity, diabetes, etc... exploded, many common people still believe egg and cheese is absolutely evil, and prefer to stuff their faces with artificial sweeteners, soy milk, and salad with enough oily dressing to lubricate a car, than eat some eggs).


> The latest nutrition supports low carb diets, as can be seen with Atkins and Keto diets.

That statement is not supported by any reliable studies.

The latest nutrition supports a healthy mix of carbs and fats, specifically whole grain and unsaturated fats. Not a monodiet of fat, nor a monodiet of carbs, nor processed carbs, nor saturated fats.

Focusing too much on a fat-based diet causes massive kidney issues, just as a too much carb-based diet causes circulatory issues.


Could you point to the studies that lead you to that conclusion? Meta-studies or similar ideally.

(Not getting at you for your viewpoint - I'm making this comment to a few people in this thread who say that the latest research supports their argument. You may well be right, but I don't know enough about your background to take your word for it, so I'd be interested to see your sources. )


Source on the kidney thing? I haven't read that (except for that a LCHF diet can trigger issues on people who have an existing kidney disease)


In previous HN threads on the topic, someone posted sources on this. So, take it as hearsay.

But someone else in this thread posted sources on the claim, so you might want to read those sources.


I recently have had to conclude that HN is not the right audience to express this kind of ideas and not be downvoted.

I am fine with people taking "religious" positions when it comes to a text editor or the latest web framework, the problem is that nutritional choices have environmental and health-related consequences, so I would rather them be fact-based.

Also, I wonder what we're going to see next on HN, flat earth? Chemtrails? After a recent submission which was also related to nutritional topics, I have been considering leaving HN altogether.


> The latest nutrition supports low carb diets

Our planet would like to differ though http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919211...


>Suggesting that grains, or even carbs, are somehow worse than literal fat is misleading at best, and delusional at it's worst.

Carbs/sugars trigger insulin production...fats don't do that. Just look at the Western diet and the substitution of fats with sugars in the food industry in the 70's and you will trace origins of type 2 diabetes that would begin appearing in children - yes, it used to be called adult onset diabetes - now over a million cases.

Carbs are not inherently bad, but there is no doubt way to much in the Western diet and from poor sources.


[flagged]


> I'm sorry but you have no idea what you're talking about.

Please edit personal swipes out of your comments here.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

https://news.ycombinator.com/newswelcome.html


I think their understanding of nutrition is up-to-date, but focuses on kidney health, not just weight, or the realities of the current American diet.

Whole grains are great and very healthy, and a high-carb diet rich in whole grains and with an appropriate level of calories will be great.

On the other hand, while a ketogenic diet is great for weight control and cardiovascular health, they're probably much worse for your kidneys.

In the US, kidney issues are a problem, but cardiovascular health are a much bigger problem. Perhaps more importantly, people who don't do keto/high-protein usually aren't on a perfect veggie-rich, whole grain diet instead. They're on a diet of refined carbs and excessive calories.

If you're really committed to a super-healthy diet, you should probably eat lots of carbs, but the right carbs--complex and mixed with fiber. If you're an average American who doesn't feel like a diet of veggies and whole grains, high-protein is probably a good route to take. I tend to go high protein (even as a vegetarian) because I enjoy the taste and it fills me up better than many others things I like. It fits my health vs. food enjoyment balance in a way I have the will-power to maintain.

In short, complex carbs are great, but don't make perfect the enemy of the good, and don't set yourself up for failure.


> If you're really committed to a super-healthy diet, you should probably eat lots of carbs, but the right carbs--complex and mixed with fiber

Then you should stop referring to them as carbs and just refer specifically to fiber. Way less confusion.


If you're looking to avoid confusion you should refer to them as starches, they are the complex carbs (such as rice, beans, potatoes etc.) that give us energy and should form the largest proportion of any healthy diet.

- These starches should preferably be unrefined (yes, quit that white bread, discover the great taste of brown rice) and eaten alongside some green and yellow vegetables to get extra vitamins, minerals and fibre.

- If you're trying to lose weight faster, avoid consuming oil and fatty foods (e.g. nuts, avocado), use sparingly otherwise.

- Avoid dairy products at all costs.

- Add meat in small amounts if you really can't live without it.

You'll be getting more than your daily calorie/vitamin/mineral/fibre needs, and by not eating a tonne of refined carbs, fats, dairy, and meat you'll be less of a burden on the planet/country/healthcare systems too!

I mostly follow the above advice, but I'm pragmatic when eating out, not everywhere caters to a vegan/plant based diet, or even vegetarian. So while you'll occasionally catch me eating a delicious chicken burger or even possibly a steak, 99%* of the time I eat a plant based diet with zero added oil.

As for the myth of sugar turning to fat: it's a process known as de novo lipogenesis, and yes it happens efficiently in cows, but in humans not so much unless you're eating carbs in greatly excess of your body's energy needs[0]. In 99%* of normal circumstances, the human body will increase its metabolism to cope with the extra calories from carbs. The problem really _is_ consuming too much fat.

* estimated ;)

[0] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/10365981 "Only when CHO energy intake exceeds TEE [total energy expenditure] does DNL [de novo lipogenesis] in liver or adipose tissue contribute significantly to the whole-body energy economy. It is concluded that DNL is not the pathway of first resort for added dietary CHO, in humans."


I won't resort to personal attacks, but I consider this absolutely terrible nutritional advice.

The issue here is "excess carbs" are very easy to exceed consuming grains and sugar.

Carbs (especially sugar) are what most easily gets converted to adipose fat tissue on the body... unintuitively consuming dietary fat is NOT conducive to increasing body fat. Counter intuitive but true.

Consuming a high carb diet, especially if a significant portion comes from high glycemic index sources, will guarantee body fat increase.

Oils, fats, nuts should be primary components of ones diet.

Excess body fat and high carb diet eventually leads to diabetes and metabolic-syndrome, the overall systemic decrease in health and increase in risk factors for other diseases because of being overweight (specifically, over fat).

I could post study after study but for anyone else reading this, you'll have to do your own research and learn from your own experience. Try both diets.

If you've never tried low carb (and high fat.. it's important to replace carbs with fat) then you should do so and observe your energy changes and decrease in body fat. It will happen.

Here's a good collection of references:

https://www.reddit.com/r/Keto

Look at the before and afters, read the experiences.

My nutritional and fitness experience? 5 years Army Special Operations, where diet and nutrition were studied and an important component to unit readiness....and a lifetime of sports and athletics including college football. And then studying the issue quite a lot.

Read the science behind the Atkins / Keto diet. It's not complicated how our bodies store fat.


> Oils, fats, nuts should be primary components of ones diet.

One is not like the others.

Refined vegetable oil is not appropriate for human consumption. Butter and coconut oil are not refined with hexane, or steam deodorized, and are stable at room temperature (and human temperature). Refined vegetable oil can still be used as biodiesel, though.

Small amounts of nuts are okay, but their oils are not exactly stable either.

I'm trying to convince my keto-devoted friend to eat more fruits, to get her metabolism up. She has lost a lot of weight by watching her carb intake. But she's not "well".


I think your advice about oil and fat works well mainly because fat is very calorically dense, and not because there is something inherently wrong with fat. Otherwise fat, fiber, and protein form the backbone of the only meals that I'm sated by, and I get hungry much faster after a meal consisting only of starches and vegetables, which makes dieting by your guidelines very unpleasant.


> - Avoid dairy products at all costs.

Why?


The Keto diet doesn't seem the most environmentally friendly choice http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306919211...


The results are inaccessible from that link. So I can't tell how hard it is to compensate by reducing greenhouse emissions elsewhere. Also, it's a study about plants vs. animals, mostly focusing on protein. That's not the same thing as an analysis of the cost of a mixed protein/fat diet, sourced from either plant or animal.


Can you describe how a vegetarian keto diet would look like?


https://www.reddit.com/r/vegetarianketo/ seems to have plenty.

And you can process plants to remove carbs, depending on your goals.


Oh, awesome. If you are a curious person, it feels good when someone proves you wrong; now I have a whole lot of new things to look into :-)


Since 2011 they've been recommending MyPlate: https://choosemyplate-prod.azureedge.net/sites/default/files...


Do people eat fruits at each meals?


The food pyramid hasn't existed for a number of years, thanks to a number of individuals including Michelle Obama.

Choosemyplate.gov is a great first step to changing the dietary habits of children.


This should happen but likely won't since carbs are more plentiful and easier to obtain.


For those who are curious, the 2015-2020 Dietary Guidelines is available here https://health.gov/dietaryguidelines/2015/resources/2015-202... (PDF)

Unfortunately it does not highlight the danger of sugar & processed food. Someone can follows these dietary guidelines and still be able to have a high intake of sugar, HCFS, processed food and all sorts of food chemicals (emulsifiers etc.), all prevalent in the american food industry, and get cardiovascular disease.

We are not going to reverse the obesity epidemic anytime soon!


Dietary guidelines typically self-moderate to something that they think the populace has a chance of adopting. I.e., they don't want people to completely shrug it off as too drastic of a change.

I would like to see a different approach: show the actual best diet guidelines, and then explain which partial steps will do the most good. Or something like that. It's better to be up front with what's known and then proceed to harm reduction rather than telling people that these partial steps are where they should end up.


"Unfortunately it does not highlight the danger of sugar"

From the guidelines: When added sugars in foods and beverages exceed 10 percent of calories, a healthy eating pattern may be difficult to achieve.

Third year nutrition undergrad. Was told that this recommendation will likely be reduced further as more future research justifies doing so.

For most people that follow the recommendations, their diet may not be optimal but it will be markedly improved from average, at least in regards to preventing chronic diseases that are among the top causes of death (CVD, diabetes, etc) and improving overall wellness/health.

I disagree that the recommendations do not sway people toward healthier/less processed foods. See Table 1-1.


Are there any studies showing that "processed food" is, on its own, dangerous? Or is the inherent danger largely due to the HFCS, sugar, and other items that are usually added in the process?



There is so much that 'everybody knows' about nutrition that is pure bullshit peddled by farmers, agribusiness and processed food companies.

Just one example-- that fat causes heart disease. Pure nonsense pushed by the soda and sugar industry.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/apr/07/the-sugar-co...

Just eat a balanced diet, don't overeat, and don't eat too much processed food and red meat, and you'll probably be fine.


> don't eat too much ... red meat

I believe everything else you've said is correct. But the health effects of red meat and dietary saturated fats have not been unequivocally established.

There are studies saying it is harmful, there are studies saying it is not:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beef#Health_concerns

> The Harvard School of Public Health recommends consumers eat red meat sparingly as it has high levels of undesirable saturated fat.[34] This recommendation is not without controversy, though. Another study from The Harvard School of Public Health appearing in Circulation (journal) found "Consumption of processed meats, but not red meats, is associated with higher incidence of coronary heart disease and diabetes mellitus."[35]

> This finding tended to confirm an earlier meta-analysis of the nutritional effects of saturated fat in The American Journal of Clinical Nutrition which found "[P]rospective epidemiologic studies showed that there is no significant evidence for concluding that dietary saturated fat is associated with an increased risk of coronary heart disease or cardiovascular disease. More data are needed to elucidate whether cardiovascular disease risks are likely to be influenced by the specific nutrients used to replace saturated fat."[36]


Great points, they've misled us for so long about--

>Just eat a balanced diet, don't overeat, and don't eat too much processed food and red meat, and you'll probably be fine.

Wait, what? Why is the evidence against red meat so much stronger than that against cholesterol or fat?

Edit: or processed food for that matter, although I grant that a higher prior as being bad because of how far it is from what we would have eaten in our ancestral environment (depending, of course, on what you count as processing).


"Balanced diet" is the terminology that's honestly hard to define. Until we have that definition, "a variety of types of food" seems better to me. Here, let me offer a correction:

"Eat a variety of foods, avoiding large amounts of any one thing, and don't overeat; you'll probably be fine."


"Eat food. Not too much. Mostly plants."

- Michael Pollan


"For every complex problem there is a solution which is simple, elegant, and wrong."

- supposedly derived from H. L. Mencken

.

Point here being, just because it sounds good doesn't mean it's well supported.


Right. And what do you do if you are hungry after you eat "not too much" ?


Use different food.

If your diet is complex carbs with lots of fiber, you probably won't be hungry after ingesting a decent amount of calories. Most people don't do that (myself included), so instead I add in a lot of protein, which also fills me up reasonably quickly on a per-calorie basis.

It's not simply calories that fill you up, so choose the right calories. I can eat a thousand Calories of chocolate chip cookies and still be hungry, but a thousand calories of protein bars or broccoli will usually fill me up reasonably well.

(Actually, I've never managed a couple thousand Calories of just broccoli. I usually do 200-300 Calories of broccoli, but that alone does as much as all those cookies for satiety, so I can then eat a filling-but-sane second dinner and be full+healthy.)


You do something to satiate yourself. Foods high in fiber help with that, to some extent.

It's really a matter of how long we've been overeating. Over time, our body adjusts to accept that as the new norm, or set point for food intake. It just takes more time to sensitize yourself again to less food making you feel "full".


Eat some fiber and drink some water. Being a little hungry isn't the worst thing in the world as long you maintain an objectively healthy weight.


Stay hungry. Hungry (calorie restricted) mice live longer, probably monkeys as well, maybe even humans.


"Just do it right" isn't very good advice.

And what exactly counts as "processed" food?


A simple answer is anything with the fibre removed, such as white flour & rice, and with artificial flavours and colours. No risk in eliminating these from your diet...


There is nothing wrong with artificial flavors,they are chemically identical to natural flavors.


There are when they are combined with worthless food. You wouldn't eat hot dogs or other junk food without artificial flavors.


Um... What? I eat plenty of junk food without artificial flavor, especially all the junk food that comes out of my own kitchen. The suggestion was "avoid artificial flavor" (which implies natural flavor is OK) not "avoid added flavor."

You're also implying everything with added flavor is junk food. Flavored Seltzer is the only thing that got my husband off of soda. Sure it's acidic due to the carbonation, but other than that it's pretty harmless especially compared to soda.

Artificial flavors and natural flavors are exactly the same thing, the only difference is how they are synthesised.


Yes I would. There are junk foods that work fine without any added flavors. Let alone junk foods with natural flavors.


I didn't say there is anything wrong with artificial flavours. The question was about what is processed food which almost always has artificial flavour and colour. Just a correlation, nothing for you to get upset about.


I can understand the reasons not to remove fiber.

But I'm pretty sure my body doesn't care what color something is.


I didn't say there is anything wrong with artificial colour. The question was about what is processed food which almost always has artificial flavour and colour. Just a correlation.


Unless it's a food specifically trying to promote a "natural" image, I don't think there's enough of a correlation between artificial color and level of processing to be useful.


'everybody knows' red meat is bad?


Rastafari surely do.


Sugar does and you can see this in the basic biochemistry of the TCA cycle. Too much sugar gets converted to fat!!


Yes, all that info may be b.s. but at the same time the same could be true about the articles who say it's b.s. Why believe one more than the other?


And the injustice here is that no nutritionists or agribusiness executives will go to prison for murdering tens of millions of people prematurely.

Meanwhile, well, you know, Aaron Swartz.


<<< The new view on cholesterol in food does not reverse warnings about high levels of “bad” cholesterol in the blood, which have been linked to heart disease. Moreover, some experts warned that people with particular health problems, such as diabetes, should continue to avoid cholesterol-rich diets.

<<<The greater danger in this regard, these experts believe, lies not in products such as eggs, shrimp or lobster, which are high in cholesterol, but in too many servings of foods heavy with saturated fats, such as fatty meats, whole milk, and butter.

Here is my paraphrased takeaway:

Cholesterol you see in your blood results is still bad. Whole milk, butter, and fatty meats is still bad. Foods like eggs, shrimp, and lobster might be good.

I don't think this changes any of my mental models. The foods that I always thought of as "probably not great" are still classified as such, according to this article.


> Whole milk, butter, and fatty meats is still bad

You're sure of that?

http://www.npr.org/sections/thesalt/2014/02/12/275376259/the...

My main takeaway:

> "Almost every single nutrient imaginable has peer reviewed publications associating it with almost any outcome," John P.A. Ioannidis, a professor of medicine and statistics at Stanford and one of the harshest critics of nutritional science, has written.


> "Almost every single nutrient imaginable has peer reviewed publications associating it with almost any outcome," John P.A. Ioannidis, a professor of medicine and statistics at Stanford and one of the harshest critics of nutritional science, has written.

This is an illuminating comment on the state of research, and it needs more awareness.


For instance, here's a handy guide to what causes or cures cancer http://kill-or-cure.herokuapp.com/a-z/b


Even in that article, they say it's just associated with reduced obesity, and saturated fats in dairy are still associated with heart disease.


This is inaccurate.

Pubmed studies show that butter is not related to heart disease https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmedhealth/behindtheheadlines...


I'm just relating what's in the article. Thanks for sharing that, though.


Dietary cholesterol is now suspected to be essentially irrelevant to health. We know this because, among other things, some people eat diets with 10-100x as much cholesterol as some other people, and they don't immediately develop heart disease.

Blood cholesterol, on the other hand, seems to be essentially a thing the body does while storing excess quantities of fat. The obese will usually have high blood cholesterol, the non-obese will usually not have high blood cholesterol... whether they're on a zero-fat zero-cholesterol diet or not.

So basically, they're two different things: Long-term, blood cholesterol is mostly created endogenously independent of diet, and dietary cholesterol does not convert to blood cholesterol.


Still really incomplete. Medium-chain-triglycerides, for example, are still listed as saturated fats but don't carry the same negative weight that long-chain fatty acids do.[1]

"Probably not great" food has vacillated greatly over the decades, eggs being the cliche example. Dietary cholesterol and blood cholesterol are often not directly connected.[2] The relationship between (any) saturated fats and blood cholesterol is not clearcut.

[1] http://www.metabolismjournal.com/article/S0026-0495(03)00070...

[2] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/22037012


Of course then there is Linus Pauling who says that cholesterol has noting to do with heart disease, which he called chronic scurvy, insufficient L-ascorbic acid and lysine is the real underlying cause.

I'm throwing my lot in with Linus, he was as smart or smarter than probably anyone in history, and he wasn't making money from his discovery.


Not sure if you are joking, but Pauling was pretty wrong when talking about vitamin C. His ideas were repeatedly rejected by actual research studies and yet he kept pursuing vitamin C. I assign him very little credibility in this arena.

Also he was making money from the sale of his books.


> Foods like eggs, shrimp, and lobster might be good.

You mean "might not be bad". There's a whole lot of gray area between "bad" and "good".


The full dietary guidelines being discussed appear to be here: https://health.gov/dietaryguidelines/2015/guidelines/


Youtube is where most people get their dietary advice now. The most influential diet advice is coming from young attractive healthy looking people. Whatever they're eating seems to be working. Obviously most of these people won the genetic lottery, but they've also nurtured their body correctly with food and exercise.

This seems like a much better approach in convincing people what to eat anyway. Look at the results and imitate healthy people if you want to look and stay healthy.


> The greater danger in this regard, these experts believe, lies not in products such as eggs, shrimp or lobster, which are high in cholesterol, but in too many servings of foods heavy with saturated fats, such as fatty meats, whole milk, and butter.

Translation: the lobbyists for various polyunsaturated "edible plastics" are currently in the lead.


Interesting, for those who enjoy reading (which I guess are probably quite a lot) I'd recommend the big fat surprise[1], a very interesting book about this, which goes way beyond this article.

[1]: http://thebigfatsurprise.com/


This needs a (2015) added to it.


February 2015, nonetheless. It's almost two years later. I'd like to hear what developments there have been on the topic since this was published.


Thanks! Added.


I use to look around in a naive way and take my conclusions:

- Grandfather, 89, ate everything moderately during his life, mostly organic. He evites fat and bread and walks every day. Low energy person.

- Grandmother, passed at 82, cancer. Same diet as my grandfather. Much less exercise though.

- Grandmother, 92, ate a lot until 50's, mostly organic, obese. Since then barely eats, mostly vegetables and yogurt. Right weight and good health. No exercise.

- Grandfather, passed at 71. Ate more fat than anyone I know. Death by heart attack or stroke. Very energetic person with a lot of exercise.

Can you see a pattern? I can't.


The minimum sample size for any meaningful statistic is 7


I recommend Peter Attia's (currently unfinished) series, "The straight dope on cholesterol". He's a surgeon interested in health and fitness. http://eatingacademy.com/?s=cholesterol



My surgeon friend told me medical studies are like the bible. You can find a paper that says something is bad for you and another that says it is good for you. So just believe the one that makes you happier.


You can definitely find contradictory studies. The solution is not to abandon research, but to recognize that A study means very little, unless it's a systematic review or meta-analysis (in which case it's a study of many studies).

Don't pick the one study that shows what you want. Pick all the studies and go with whatever the preponderance of evidence suggests. That's science, and it's by far our most effective and reliable way of learning useful and non-obvious truths about the world.


that good insight needs to be put in a quotable format



The USG is frankly incompetent when it comes to this matter. I guess it's happy news that they're not creating more chaos but yay? Hollow victory


This is a link to a non-authoritative source. Could someone please provide a link to the authoritative source so that I may investigate by myself?


oh so now butter is bad again? WTF. Can't believe anything the nutritionists put out.


Interesting, why now I wonder?


For those of you who still believe it's OK or even good to eat a lot of saturated fats, if you look at the studies it's not much of a controversy:" Whether saturated fat is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a question with numerous controversial views.[1] Although most in the mainstream heart-health, government, and medical communities hold that saturated fat is a risk factor for CVD, some hold contrary beliefs." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saturated_fat_and_cardiovascul...

Anecdotally, I've read 50% of people who go on Keto see a huge 2-3x increase in triglycerides and LDL-P (Particle count as measured by NMR) - the #1 risk factor for cardiovascular disease. More LDL particles bouncing around in your arteries = bad. People with a condition that makes them break down more LDL have much less artheroscleriosis: http://www.nejm.org/doi/pdf/10.1056/NEJMoa054013 People with a condition that makes them have more LDL particles get more artheroscleriosis: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Familial_hypercholesterolemia Read Peter Attila's exposition that goes in detail (eating cholesterol is fine though): http://eatingacademy.com/nutrition/the-straight-dope-on-chol... Keto could work, but it's a hyper-pro level high-risk diet requiring frequent blood work and still avoiding saturated fats keeping them primarily monounsaturated which makes it very hard to follow. Plus it sucks for weightlifting..

Surprisingly, very low fat diets might be great for you, it might not be the absolute macronutrient composition that matters, but rather the specifics of the nutrients (GI, fiber, other nutrients etc) and your genetic makeup: https://deniseminger.com/2015/10/06/in-defense-of-low-fat-a-... Scary correlations about saturated fats and neurodegenerative disease therein too.

Personally I'm sticking with a "balanced" ~10/45/45 carbs from protein, low GI carb/monounsaturated fat vegan diet - not wanting to risk side effects of any extreme (although I'm having to ensure adequate calcium, K2, D, B12 and DHA and EPA intake - If I didn't find it unethical to eat fish a pescetarian variety would likely be easier/healthier/less gassy). Tip for you vegetarians/vegans: look up low FODMAP foods; foodstuffs low in carbs indigestible in the small intestine which tend to produce more gas.


Hmmm this was just on the homepage then quickly removed.. top of the page then boom gone? Any reason why this is?

Also I've been on statins since 37 after feeling my heart race and not being able to catch my breathe after being with girlfriend at the time. That was some scary stuff and after the statin and change of diet I no longer have those type of bouts anymore. So maybe it's my change in diet (cut out 75% fried food and sugar intake is 50% less) and the statin combined and or maybe the statin is just a placebo and my change is diet helped eliminate those heart racing attacks?

I had a lot of those attacks from 37 to about 39...im now 41 and haven't dealt with any such attacks unless I eat a say Five Guys or In and Out.


"Eat food, not too much, mostly plants."

- Michael Pollan


The oft-cited and never-defined Tautology Diet.


There is a whole book defining the quote above. It's a very enjoyable read, and reasonably well-cited.


Saying to eat a "balanced" diet is a tautology. Saying "do whatever, but mostly plants" is not.


Just eat in moderation and try to maintain healthy weight.

The last time I checked, average woman in the U.S. is 5'4" but weighs 165lbs; average man clocks in at nearly 200lbs. We can do better.


Sweet I'm above average!! ;)




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