Trump also has said "I will bomb the shit out of them -- I don't care" on the campaign trail.
I think a relatively accurate model of the people's opinion towards intervention might be quite simple: it is good if we win relatively swiftly and bad if we lose and/or don't gain anything, and the opinion at the time is shaped (and over time altered) based on their estimate of the outcome, but no politician says it that way so it is always cast as black and white pro-war/anti-war.
In the current case, I think many Americans, even Democrats, recognize the regime in Iran as a threat that needs to be dealt with somehow (a deal or an intervention). Their worry is the cost and ramifications, not some ulterior principle. If Trump brings home a win and some oil to boot soon-ish, you're going to see positive sentiments more clearly. If this drags on, the backlash will be there, and will be phrased as "MAGA never wanted the war" and along your lines of isolationist promises not kept.
I am afraid that this will bring them closer together. That the people who would welcome outside world to do a magical thing that reforms Iran wont like the practical thing the world actually did.
By afraid I am not saying it will happen, it is not a prediction. I think that it is a risk.
Two weeks ago it was 30k, a week ago it was 35k, now it's 40k+, but OSINT sources keep the number around 15k (including 1.3 k from the Iranian government own forces) and don't move it up. I'm pretty sure the real number is higher than the one OSINT resources can give, considering the uprising and repression also happened in small, less connected cities, but the constant increase is honestly very off-putting, and the more it happens, the more it feels like manufacturing consent.
There have been numbers as high as 90k reported initially, so I wouldn't say it is "moving up" across time but across sources. There is no clear data, but at this point 30-32k appears to be the lower bound estimate over which there's a consensus. Likely to be higher.
Maybe, but I distinctly remember the numbers 15 up to 30k two weeks ago from the UN Iran watchdog.
Then a week ago, a US-based watchdog let the number 35k float, and all of the sudden that's the number used by US department of state. And now the number you just threw is 40k.
Meanwhile, the OSINT community confirmed deaths are still around 15k. I will admit, the bombing doesn't help because we cross data from funerals and morgues/hospitals, and now we will have to distinguish bombing victims from repression victims, which in some areas (southeast and west mostly) is difficult.
I didn’t see any more brutality than I saw from US regime and especially ICE.
I never saw a person shot in the face in Iran but I saw in the US. Should we bomb US?
Also, 30k dead means there would be at least some proof. Once Iran reinstated internet after protests NO VIDEOS of killings showed up. Protesters decided not to record any of the killings?!
I'm not gonna debate the obvious with an account with 53 karma who denies the existence of basic stuff or not aware of the obvious who wants to lash out against the west. No videos my ass. I'm not gonna be your Google, so I am out.
It’s just an NPC accusation thrown at Iran to justify killing millions of civilians. Why even entertain this shit from people who are just pretending to care about it. Everyone knows what they want to do is raze Iran.
Current campaigns will kill way more iranians. Plus regime didn't bomb 200 girls to pieces in their school, did it.
Thats extremely hard sell, with cherry on top when you have a literal video of tomahawks hitting that area during that time and trump claiming it was iranians who bombed it... just spits and insults in the face
Your math is not mathing. 30-40k in 2 days unarmed civilians vs I dunno 6k almost all military in a week? If you look at the stats of executions etc you'll see civilian casualties in Iran go DOWN while being bombed.
> regime didn't bomb 200 girls to pieces in their school, did it.
Yes, actually they did. It was their own missile. Just like the Ukrainian plane they shot down a few years back.
I said will, please read comments more thoroughly before replying. Everybody agrees this war will drag for some time.
Care to backup those wild claims with any facts? The video of tomahawk I talk about is circulating all over internet, so its pretty uphill battle to discredit it when clearly tomahawks are landing
Nothing about this is such a wild claim if you are familiar with their past behavior.
There were Persian language sources inside Iran that immediately after the incident attributed it to IRGC missile misfire, before some outlets started using that as propaganda material (which by the way played out perfectly.)
Do you lack proper internet connection today? Whole world media, western or not, are writing about this, how its clearly US missile. Bellingcat did a detailed analysis and confirmed this, look at washington post, guardian and so on.
Plus the video itself, you somehow avoid commenting completely about the prime evidence. Not fitting your not entirely correct narrative, is it?
If you would even care about the topic properly you could argue that school wasn't far from military base and divert the topic with some whataboutism and finish with fog of war theme, but even that's not whats happening here. 'Just trust trump' ain't going to cut it, not in 2026.
if for you to be qualified as regime is to murder tens of thousands of your own people then I think you put too high bar on it. I guess killing only few thousands or even few hundreds in your definition would rule out to someone being called totalitarian/autocratic regimes? How about not murdering own people but thousands other people? How is it called? Nazi germany AFAIK mostly murdered millions of other people.
People use this name (Regime) wrong - worth to at least read definion on wikipedia:
Look, I don't understand what you are debating here. I already agreed you can call USA regime just that should you choose to. I don't mind. You might get a scholarship to Columbia while at it.
My post was simply to clarify to the reader that PressTV is owned by the regime in Iran.
Varies. Not all of them are equal. At least not in the same way. Distinctions are important. NYT, for example, employs Farnaz Fassihi who's a known regime shill.
CNN recently sent a reporter live to the region who has to operate under the regime's restrictions to be let in and cannot accurately report everything even if they wanted to. Same with Reuters who has an office inside. They basically had a choice to bite the bullet and agree to the terms and be one of the few foreign reporters with access, or not have access at all and freely report.
That said, PressTV is different from the above a it's an officially a state-operated entity, so it is not a question of mere bias.
No idea. But IIRC that specific line was associated with your own side projects that you wanted to get permission to open source and you were willing to Apache 2.0 it as opposed to asking the company to retain the copyright. They asked you to slap Apache 2.0 and add that line to README.
The point I would make: there are historical examples of international cooperation that work at least for some lengths of time. This is a good thing, a good tool to strive for, albeit difficult to reach.
Could it be that the problem is users’ own interest in being outraged? A reflection of their mental state and anxiety that they then project to Facebook as if that’s the root cause.
Some of the tactics used were questionable and basically looked like shakedowns for pushing the corporate targets to donate to his entities which then softened his stance around the alleged suboptimal civil rights situations.
Nah if they are actually out of stock (I've only seen it out of stock at exceptional Microcenter prices; Apple is more than happy to sell you at full price) it is because there's a transition to M5 and they want to clear the old stock. OpenClaw is likely a very small portion of the actual Mac mini market, unless you are living in a very dense tech area like San Francisco.
One thing of note that people may forget is that the models were not that great just a year ago, so we need to give it time before counting chickens.
> You don't present any alternative theory for the behavior, just assert that I'm wrong.
Not the GP, but it is easy to refute your theory. Just do a DFU with the port indicated by Apple and it works per Apple instructions. I have personally tested this and can attest it works as intended.
I don't think one logically needs to be burdened to come up with an alternative theory for why your macOS update process to be able to conclusively refute your implication of Apple docs about which port is DFU being wrong.
> it is easy to refute your theory. Just do a DFU with the port indicated by Apple
No, it's not easy. I just said, in the comment you replied to, "I'm not even sure that I have all the prerequisites on hand."
> I have personally tested this
On my Mac model?
To be clear, I'm saying that the doc is wrong about my specific, relatively new Mac model, which I bought a year ago. I'm not claiming that the doc is wrong about other, older Mac models.
I have tested DFU restore on multiple Mac models including MacBook Air {M1, M2, M3, M4}, MacBook Pros {M1 Pro, M1 Max, M3 Max, M4, M4 Max}, Mac mini {M1, M4}, Mac Studio {M1 Max, M3 Ultra} off the top of my head (at least a bunch of older Intel+T2). I am sure many other people would have noticed if the DFU port was marked incorrectly. You are simply too quick to conclude what could be a bug in macOS updater is necessarily tied to DFU port designation. Just as an example, I have a USB-C flash device that is so flaky that sometimes does not work with a port on one direction and connect/disconnect and flipping the direction works. There's just any number of possibilities aside from DFU.
I have an M4 Pro, so you have not tested with my specific model.
> I am sure many other people would have noticed if the DFU port was marked incorrectly.
Why? Again, I'm not generalizing to many Mac models. Apple's doc specifies a very limited exception: 14-inch MacBook Pro with M4 or M5 chip.
And among users of the limited exceptions, who would notice except the few who need to DFU or the few who have macOS installed on an external disk? That doesn't sound like so many to me.
> a bug in macOS updater
So vague as to be an unhelpful handwave.
> Just as an example, I have a USB-C flash device that is so flaky that sometimes does not work with a port on one direction and connect/disconnect and flipping the direction works.
This example is not applicable to my case. The external drive otherwise works perfectly. It's not flakey at all. And in fact it boots into macOS Sequoia just fine, and software update on the volume works fine for non-macOS updates, such as Safari. So again, you've given me zero alternative theories.
Moreover, the symptoms that Michael Tsai described in his case of using the DFU port are exactly the same as the symptoms that I experienced.
[EDIT:] I looked around, but unfortunately I don't appear to have the proper cable to perform a DFU test. In fact I usually need to use some damn dongle just to connect to USB-C.
> [EDIT:] I looked around, but unfortunately I don't appear to have the proper cable to perform a DFU test. In fact I usually need to use some damn dongle just to connect to USB-C.
FYI, USB-3.0 C-to-A dongle + USB-3.0 A-to-C cable definitely works (haven't tested USB 2.0). The C side of the cable needs to be plugged in to the machine being DFU'd not the host machine where the dongle goes.
I didn't have the same issues, but I wouldn't say "it just works".
I've dealt with this in the past two weeks, actually.
I had an M1 MBP that I needed to re-pave with Monterey. Yes, it's end-of-support, but it's also only 4 years old. And should run on that Mac.
So, first step, I make a USB installer, and run it. Great. Reboots, and says "FYI, this is an unsupported OS. You can install a newer OS instead, or run Monterey in "Reduced Security" mode." That was fine for me.
"Installation of Reduced Security mode failed." Nothing else. Eventually my understanding of this was because the machine had been upgraded previously all the way to Tahoe, that somewhere along the line some firmware or something in the EFI had been upgraded and was too new for Monterey.
So what then?
Hmm, more research. "Do an IPSW image restore via DFU", i.e. pave it with a largely installed image. Could work, might have the same issue, but I'm stuck right now, with a Mac I can't install anything on, a four year old $3,000 brick.
Alright, I have a Mac Studio. I get the IPSW image, and Apple Configurator. Connect the two as per Apple's instructions, and (different here to OP), the MBP does indeed show up in Configurator as being "not booted, DFU mode".
Apple's instructions, "Drag the IPSW image onto the DFU 'box' for the target Mac". No. It doesn't light up like it's accepting a drag and drop, and indeed it doesn't. Nor does it accept a "restore..." or similar from the Configurator menu options. There's nothing in Configurator that seems to allow you to image the MBP.
Off to ChatGPT, Reddit, etc., I go.
Much repeating of the same. However, ChatGPT pokes a little button. Near the very end of its answer, it says "Newer versions of macOS may have limitations on the age of the image they might restore. You may need a slightly older macOS to do this. Even an Intel MBP running Ventura could work."
As fortune has it, my fiance happens to still have her old i5 MBP with touchbar, and the latest version of Ventura...
Alright, I need Configurator on this laptop.
No, says the App Store, "You need macOS Sequoia to install Configurator".
I find someone who has helpfully zipped up an older version of Configurator that runs on Ventura, and in the end, it works.
But Apple's docs absolutely are incorrect/incomplete about Configurator, and DFU restores.
"You can use Restore... in the Configurator menu to select the software image". No, you can't, even leaving aside the "old/unsupported". It actually means restoring from a "backup" (presumably Time Machine, though it doesn't specify) and you can't select any file or image.
"Drag the image onto DFU". Doesn't work in that situation, no error, no "hey, you're doing the right thing but I can't do this", just acting like a fool trying to drag the image onto DFU only to have it bounce off.
Like I said, I didn't have the DFU port issues, but Apple's docs on how to make this happen were either non-existent, or incorrect about the process, or flat out told me I couldn't do it. But mostly non-existent and overly simplistic covering the most basic scenarios only - which I get for general support, but by the time you are "connect to a second mac in DFU mode and run Configurator" in their own words, we're way beyond simplistic "you can just install a newer macos" type "instructions".
>ANE is probably the biggest scam "feature" Apple has ever sold.
It is astonishing how often ANE is smeared on here, largely by people who seem to have literally zero idea what they're talking about. It's often pushed by either/or people who bizarrely need to wave a flag.
MLX doesn't use ANE for the single and only reason that Apple hid the ANE behind CoreML, exposing zero public APIs to utilize ANE directly, and MLX -- being basically an experimental grounds -- wanted to hand roll their implementation around the GPU / CPU. They literally, directly state this as the reason. People inventing technical reasons for why MLX doesn't use ANE are basically just manufacturing a fan fiction. This isn't to say that ANE would be suitable for a lot of MLX tasks, and it is a highly optimized, power-efficient inference hardware that doesn't work for a lot of purposes, but its exclusion is not due to technically unsuitability.
Further, the ANE on both my Mac and my iPhone is constantly attenuating and improving my experience. Little stuff like extracting contents from images. Ever browse in Safari and notice that you can highlight text in the image almost instantly after loading a page? Every image, context and features detected effortlessly. Zero fans cycling up. Power usage at a trickle. It just works. It's the same way that when I take a photo I can search "Maine Coon" and get pictures of my cats, ANE used for subject and feature extraction. Computational photography massively leverages the ANE.
At a trickle of power.
Scam? Yeah, I like my battery lasting for more than a couple of minutes.
Apple intended ANE to bring their own NN augmentations to the OS and thus the user experience, and even the availability in CoreML as a runtime engine is more limited than what Apple's own software can do. Apple basically limits the runtime usage to ensure that no third party apps inhibit or restrict Apple's own use of this hardware.
I think a relatively accurate model of the people's opinion towards intervention might be quite simple: it is good if we win relatively swiftly and bad if we lose and/or don't gain anything, and the opinion at the time is shaped (and over time altered) based on their estimate of the outcome, but no politician says it that way so it is always cast as black and white pro-war/anti-war.
In the current case, I think many Americans, even Democrats, recognize the regime in Iran as a threat that needs to be dealt with somehow (a deal or an intervention). Their worry is the cost and ramifications, not some ulterior principle. If Trump brings home a win and some oil to boot soon-ish, you're going to see positive sentiments more clearly. If this drags on, the backlash will be there, and will be phrased as "MAGA never wanted the war" and along your lines of isolationist promises not kept.
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