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This is something that was defined in the Constitution, however. Article 1, Section 3 called for the selection of Senators by state legislatures. This is superseded by the 17th Amendment, and calls for Senators to be elected by the people of their states.

This is important to understand, because the 17th Amendment is an on-again-off-again political issue; Republicans have, in recent history, held most state legislatures, so repealing the 17th Amendment would basically guarantee that the Republican Party would control at least one house of Congress for the foreseeable future, and give the party greater control over who is selected to the office.


Thanks… didn’t remember that detail and admittedly didn’t check the source.

Palantir has had a contract with the IRS since at least 2018 to help comb through IRS data to find audit targets: https://archive.is/9vnDa

What they probably get now is even more control over how that data is given to them and how much of it they can access.


> Haidt is not the world's most careful data analyst

We can, and probably should, just end the discussion there. Haidt is really good at finding data to support his claims, but then failing to mention that the correlation he's describing as "definitive" is, actually, really weak. This happens throughout "The Anxious Generation," at least.

Calling him "directionally correct" when he's pretty bad at actually showing the work as to why he is correct is just saying that you think he has a good point because his vibes match your vibes.


I don't think I'm just saying that. I'd say instead:

1) evidence in favor of reasonable, unsurprising priors does not need to be held to the same standards of rigor as it would for less likely hypotheses. Put differently, extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence. You can call my agreement with Haidt on the big picture "vibes" but I'd say instead that I just judge the likelihood that the underlying claims are true to be high.

2) the "Haidt production function" faces tradeoffs between making big points, writing books, and attending to every detail. When I read people's critique of his meta-analytic techniques (the first link I posted), I saw a lot of folks saying, he's not even doing meta-analysis because he's not weighting by precision! Reading that, I thought, he very much is doing meta-analysis: even if he's not doing "random effects meta-analysis" that you'd learn in a textbook, he's synthesizing many quantitative results, which is the core of it. (I have written three meta-analyses and RA'd for a fourth.) And when the 'proper' technique was applied, it shrunk the effect size estimate from like 0.2 to 0.15, which, like, if whatever hypothesis was true at 0.2, it's probably also true at 0.15. Social science theories don't generally stand or fall on differences like that. So I thought he came out looking like the wiser person there. Academics have a tendency to get bogged down in implementation details. Haidt doesn't.

(I don't expect this to be persuasive, just explaining why I don't find his data 'errors' to be a nonstarter.)


IIRC the effect size at 0.15 was narrowly for pre-teen girls on social media. Every other age, and all boys, were below 0.1 when looking at total screen time (i.e. games, youtube). Parents should check up on young girls, but most kids will be fine.

Does it seem plausible to that a system that is intentionally, systematically, algorithmically optimized to keep your attention and drive engagement really has so little affect on us?

Sure it does! You may not need confidentiality, but what about integrity?

It's a very myopic take.

Someone that has seized control of your core network such that they were capable of modifying traffic, is not going to waste precious time or access modifying the flags of ls on your man page server. They will focus on more valuable things.

Just because something is possible in theory doesn't make it likely or worth the time invested.

You can put 8 locks on the door to your house but most people suffice with just one.

Someone could remove a piece of mail from your unlocked rural mailbox, modify it and put it back. Do you trust the mail carrier as much as the security of your internal network?

But it's not really a concern worth investing resources into for most.


> Someone that has seized control of your core network such that they were capable of modifying traffic, is not going to waste precious time or access modifying the flags of ls on your man page server. They will focus on more valuable things.

Ah, the "both me and my attackers agree on what's important" fallacy.

What if they modify the man page response to include drive-by malware?


I'm surprised to see this kind of blue-anon discourse here. Why are we discussing the players of this administration "whacking" each other? There's plenty of horrible things happening in broad daylight, harms that the administration is inflicting on the American people. Why add a layer of speculation about a power struggle where they may or may not be trying to harm each other, when there's no reason to believe such a thing exists? What matters is that they're getting along well enough in the moment to push through their agenda. Hell, Trump has repeatedly floated the idea of running for a third term, which would in and of itself be an illegal power grab; no need to speculate some scenario where Trump gets martyred and Vance takes over when the much simpler and more likely scenario is that Trump just ignores the law and does it himself.

What is "blue-anon" discourse?

An odd claim, since NPR getting defunded is itself a retaliation from the current administration for not reporting positively enough about Trump.

Oh yeah I'm predicting a claim will be made I disagree with. But I can imagine the mental gymnastics, post a prediction and watch for the outcome.

Usually there's a shakedown, did Trump ever make NPR an offer they "couldn't" refuse?


Similar to the one he made to Harvard? Do they even have to make such a thing explicitly these days? I would just assume they won't fund anything that's critical to the current government.

He didn't get caught doing anything; he said it, openly, during an interview: https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lmrx6b2gxy2f

Yeah, this is not going to end well for all y'all:

https://bsky.app/profile/pbump.com/post/3lmryeyuj6s2v


Unless you're Stephen Miller, who insists that no mistake was made: https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lmrobxubic23

And, more recently, Bukele and Trump insisted that they would not return a "terrorist" to the United States: https://bsky.app/profile/atrupar.com/post/3lmrwrrkbnf2e

It's clear that the administration does not consider collateral damage a bug, but a feature; it confirms that as long as they insist that they will not do anything, then nothing will be done.


Well one thing is for sure: it's not a coincidence that after they determined that it was impossible to get him back, they've changed the narrative to "no mistake was made" (and begun throwing around the magic word "terrorist" which justifies all sorts of things).

> after they determined that it was impossible to get him back

This phrasing buys into the Trump admin's narrative.

They did not determine that it was impossible to get him back. They have chosen to not pursue it. They refuse to define the agreement between the US and El Salvador sufficiently for anyone to know what is or is not possible through that path. They also seem to refuse to use political or financial influence to go beyond whatever that agreement may define.


This is, honestly, an insult to convicted criminals, who can at least reform. Trump is not simply a convicted criminals, he shows no remorse for his actions and eagerly resumes his dubious and potentially illegal behavior at the earliest opportunity.

This was the entire purpose of the CHIPS act. Biden just took some of the protectionist policies Trump started in his first term and did gave them an actual objective.

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