That was my first thought too - USD world reserve - but other countries had similar prosperity and child booms so can’t be that. At least not primarily
John D. Rockefeller Ⅲ sez: "We have all heard[citation needed] about a population problem in the developing nations of Asia, Africa, and Latin America, where death rates have dropped rapidly and populations have exploded. Only recently have we recognized that the United States may have population problems of its own. There are differing views. Some say[who?] that it is a problem of crisis proportions — that the growth of population is responsible for pollution of our air and water, depletion of our natural resources, and a broad array of social ills.[SUBTLE]"
You're talking about the widely known concept called the "demographic transition" and it has slowed, not accelerated, the death of the single-income household in the West because it's more affordable to support smaller families and to start families later in life.
It really feels like the US is a failed state at this point, but it just hasn’t had full impact yet. Not really sure how all this destruction (in only half a year!) can be reversed in any meaningful timeframe in the future.
As Sarah Chayes said about the "failed state" of Afghanistan:
> Afghanistan is often described as a “failed state,” but, in light of the outright thievery on display, Chayes began to reassess the problem. This wasn’t a situation in which the Afghan government was earnestly trying, but failing, to serve its people. The government was actually succeeding, albeit at “another objective altogether”—the enrichment of its own members.
Was it here or in the reviewed book about corruption where it's mentioned, how corruption endangers security, because guess what the civilians who are mad about the blatant corruption will do when they see an insurgent plant a roadside bomb targeting the corrupt government?
As Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis said (and Timothy McVeigh quoted):
> In a government of laws, existence of the government will be imperiled if it fails to observe the law scrupulously. Our government is the potent, the omnipresent teacher. For good or for ill, it teaches the whole people by its example. Crime is contagious. If the government becomes a lawbreaker, it breeds contempt for law; it invites every man to become a law unto himself; it invites anarchy. To declare that in the administration of the criminal law the end justifies the means -- to declare that the government may commit crimes in order to secure the conviction of a private criminal -- would bring terrible retribution.
> The government was actually succeeding, albeit at “another objective altogether”—the enrichment of its own members.
Indeed. And as soon as the flow of foreign money propping the whole thing up was cut off, they vanished like melting snow across the border.
Corruption endangers security in all sorts of ways. This came up at the start of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, when it became apparent that maintenance money (and in some cases entire pieces of equipment) had been diverted, resulting in operational failure. The US Navy had a corruption scandal a while ago too ("Fat Leonard").
> to declare that the government may commit crimes in order to secure the conviction of a private criminal
Not even conviction, just straight up execution. The lesson of the BLM backlash was that, no, really the US public demanded that the police had the right to execute citizens in the street without accountability.
I’m not trying to challenge how you feel, but I’ll note that in my social groups people don’t feel this way, life is good, and they also feel confident that they’re well informed.
So I’m open to the possibility that lot of these types of feeling, in both directions depending on the political era, is more dictated by environment and media consumption choices and their versions of doom and gloom than reality
Feeling well informed is not the same thing as being informed. Just because it's possible to live in the USA and follow some news without knowing how badly the democratic order is being eroded doesn't mean that all is actually well.
Do your friends know about the absolute immunity the Supreme Court invented for the president? Do they know about the illegal deportations that are accelerating? Do they know about the presidential order that aims to deport legal citizens of the USA (the end of birthright citizenship)? Do they know about the gutting of virtually all social programs?
If they don't, then they're ill informed, regardless of their feelings on the matter. If they do and still think all is well, then they are just as much a part of the problem as the ones doing this all.
Just to spell it out it will become necessary in the future to prove that your parents were citizens, so make sure you save your birth certificates and other documents for any children you may have. They won’t automatically be citizens just because they were born here. And they may get rounded up and deported before they can find those documents or have a trial to establish their citizenship.
Plenty of people feel that way when they're in Dubai or Qatar. Lovely place, just don't look at the army of migrant workers with no rights who keep it all running.
Sadly, I expect it has to founder on the rocks before things will turn for the better. I'm channelling Great Depression —> FDR here. Hopefully a world war is not required.
We've already come close to Trump causing a war [0]. However, there is one aspect of the man (that's on display here) that gives me hope. He is a moron who can't take advice, and who appoints other morons (to make him look good?).
If it was Stalin, or Hitler, or Erdoğan or god help us Xi, the USA would be in real trouble. All of them are very competent leaders, who could take their countries in the direction they desired for a decade(s). Trump, well you just have to look at his popularity ratings, or the economy shrinking 0.5% in his first quarter. He could have poured money on the economy and had everyone getting high and merry on debt, while he took in billions in bribes via is cryptocurrencies. But nooooo, no one has a clue why he is perusing his economic policies, probably because there aren't much in the way of clues to be had.
It could have been so much worse. As it is, it looks like most countries have his measure and are working around him. I don't know what made me cringe more: Netanyahu showing Trump his letter of recommendation for the Nobel Peace price, or Trump lapping it up. Before that is was the European leaders showering gifts on him. It was disgusting. And it worked. Such is the art of politics, I guess. If you are dealing with pigs, it must appear to the pig that you enjoy rolling in their shit just as much as they do. All leaders except Putin that is. Putin played him for such a fool that even Trump picked up on it.
It is. Some of it is being accessed illegally (ICE has been given full access to the IRS, which is a violation of the fifth amendment, local LE sharing it in contravention with state laws), and some of it is being accessed legally (local LE sharing it in compliance with state laws).
The criminals are, sadly, running the circus, and they are acting like they'll never lose power.
The pendulum always swings. Always. History is littered with the corpses of seemingly unstoppable movements that were invincible until they suddenly were not.
When will the pendulum swing away from repression and autocracy in Russia?
Anyone waiting for that swing has been waiting for hundreds of years, as it's gone through one flavour of despotism to another. Since Peter the Great in the 18th century, the country's had, what... Two years of freedom?
My point wasn't that justice and freedom is inevitable, but that political movements are a finite thing with a lifespan. The Soviet Union is a perfect example of what I'm talking about. Sucks that Russia wasn't able take advantage of that collapse to improve their country for the long term, but the Soviets were perceived to be invincible until suddenly they were not. Same will happen with Putin's Russia, same will happen with MAGA.
Also littered with actual corpses killed by the people trying or being successful in stopping the pendulum from swinging away from them. Its pretty clear that this administration is gearing up to do just that, and going by what the people behind it are saying (federalist society, project 2025, Yarvin and their billionaire funders) they're not afraid of bloodshed either.
The only implication that your information was ever safe in America was marketing. Programmers should have been able to read the privacy-destroying tea leaves a decade ago.
Discounting Chinese labs entirely for agi seems like a misstep though. I find it hard to believe there won’t be at least a couple contenders
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