I’m not sure I agree - look at the crypto crime that happens as hackers breach databases and are able to link crypto holdings with human identities to target them.
Public trades will make people targets and that will create weird incentives.
I’m still calibrating my expectations on the accuracy of Polymarket.
For example, I’m guessing more liquidity in a market means a signal is more predictive. But how much volume is enough to make a signal reliable? What’s the scale? Is $100k unreliable and $100m really good?
Are there other factors that impact a signal’s predictive strength?
What we don’t want, and what we should enforce, is participants in prediction markets influencing the events they’re betting on (like the recent basketball betting scandal).
That's always been a just-so story invented to justify insider trading. If weather predictors always bet on a weather prediction market, why would anyone else? They'd be guaranteed to lose money.
There does exist some purpose for corp-speak: it is a shared language for people in disparate parts of a large organization to communicate with. It is a tool, mostly for managers.
Managers use it with peers because their job is coordination and communication.
Managers shouldn’t talk to their reports in corp-speak, but think of it like a shared protocol for all messages in the corporate message bus.
Agreed, I think it also acts as a hiring filter to scan for candidates that have been exposed to this kind of language and can speak it fluently. The bigger the cooperation, the more widespread that is though, don't see it as often in mid sized companies. Was looking into a director role at a large org and there were lots of very new words thrown at me very quickly.
Public trades will make people targets and that will create weird incentives.
https://apnews.com/article/crypto-bitcoin-kidnapping-wrench-...
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