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Read that again: you couldn't even trust people with good intentions because economy isn't something you can control or predict.

You can't even trust people with good intentions AND knowledge (why do economists miss their predictions SO much?)

And especially you can't trust people when they're not risking their own money. They're just not going to put the same effort, even subconsciously, because... well, it's not their money.




Translation: it is not popular knowledge which variables in the economy are stiff variables (where changing the variable effects a large change in the economy as a whole) and which ones are sloppy (changing them doesn't affect anything else, really).

Some people might know; certainly, some few people have managed to do better than chance at investing, or at macroeconomic policy. However, it is not popular knowledge.




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