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As a rule of thumb, every 10 votes a submission has is worth about 1,000 pageviews on the linked-to site. There are a bunch of mediating variables though.

I'm not quite sure where or when that rule of thumb applies... I've had articles that gathered 200 votes, and they certainly didn't gather 20k page views....

Seems to hold for articles with less than 50 votes. Once you're already #1 on HN for more than a few hours there isn't really much extra traffic from staying there longer.

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