The sequence seems to always looks the same:
1. Big social network needs to change privacy settings and TOS in order to make money: users start to leave.
2. Big social network is under increased pressured to make money and introduces paid accounts (or more advertising): most of the users leave.
3. Big social network is no longer cool (because everyone's left and it's full of ads) and can no longer innovate (because there is no more money).
4. Big social network dies
We've seen this play out before: Digg, MySpace, Geocities.
I'm willing to bet this will play out with the current crop of consumer networks: Facebook, Twitter, Reddit.
The sequence seems to always looks the same:
1. Big social network needs to change privacy settings and TOS in order to make money: users start to leave.
2. Big social network is under increased pressured to make money and introduces paid accounts (or more advertising): most of the users leave.
3. Big social network is no longer cool (because everyone's left and it's full of ads) and can no longer innovate (because there is no more money).
4. Big social network dies
We've seen this play out before: Digg, MySpace, Geocities.
I'm willing to bet this will play out with the current crop of consumer networks: Facebook, Twitter, Reddit.