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Progress depends on the fool and the greater fool. The only way to be right always is to not take a position at all. Progress depends on people believing that the world can change for the better in unimaginable ways. Taking a position on unimaginable progress can appear foolish for pretty long periods of time and can ultimately also turn out to be foolish in retrospect. To be a pioneer you have to run the risk of being foolish.



It really doesn't. It only requires the creation of value. Hype is optional.


Hype gets created automatically when someone credibly takes on a problem that most think cannot be done. The only way to sidestep is to do what Andrew Wiles did with the Fermat last theorem - but that might not be a valid strategy for a problem that requires more than a small team.




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