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  >  Most of programming will be done socially [...] via
  > small changes [...] from hundreds of people
This seems a little extreme. I'd venture that right now 'most of programming' is private code, or small side projects/toy code (i.e. single-developer projects).



I'd think that the total SLOC in side/single-developer projects is miniscule compared to the total SLOC in social projects (e.g. Linux, GCC, Emacs, etc.), and even smaller compared to the SLOC in private/corporate code-bases.


I was specifically talking about opensource projects like Linux or Rails: Where most of commits nowadays are small bug fixes.

Of course, I'd never leave Emacs for Github when creating software from scratch or doing anything big.




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