Tariffs are the least of your problems for non hardware startups. The biggest funding impact is from a more conservative (small “c” conservative) stock market that isn’t hungry for IPOs of unprofitable companies and a global regulatory environment that makes acquisitions harder. The acquisitions that do happen will be at much lower valuations.
That means exits are going to be harder and VCs don’t see a light at the end of the tunnel.
As far as stock market performance, now is the time to buy when prices are lower. Trump won’t be in office forever and Democrats and sane Republican politicians - all of them except Trump - hate tariffs.
As a person, he won't be, but there isn't gonna be "standard" elections in 2028, and its likely going to be someone in his camp. I wouldn't bet on economic strength of US going forward.
Desantis (unfortunately the governor of my state) and others have proven that you can’t have Trumpism without Trump. His supporters only come out for him.
Trump won both times based on his ability to bypass traditional media and he was not beholden to the RNC nor corporate donors or traditional Republican big donors like the Koch brothers.
That being said, I am looking to start diversifying into some global index funds until I can figure out which region has any prospects.
My wife and I are also planning to establish legal permanent residence in Costa Rica while still keeping our US home closer to retirement. It’s a three year process to become a permanent resident. We are staying in San Jose next year for a few weeks to check out some of the neighborhoods.
But the requirements are relatively easy - either as a digital nomad while working or in retirement you just have to prove you have at least $1000 a month coming in.
Its not about who is in charge, its about the willingness of current administration to literally circumvent legal process, because nobody is going to stop them.
The next republican candidate can be very unpopular, but if they don't win, they will just declare some bullshit about rigged results, and put in the fake slate of electors like they tried to do in 2020, except this time, they will have almost no obstacles in doing so, and if it doesn't work, they will keep the results forever in limbo while Trump or Vance still has power.
Many people still don't understand this fact - US is finished as a country.
That goes back to there is no Trunpism without Trump. No one is going to storm the capital for Vance. No one else can get away with doing what Trump does.
I have no faith in the US as a country anymore. I agree with you. That’s why I am preparing to have a dual residence somewhere - right now the best place looks like Costa Rica
Are we sure Vance hates Tariffs? It seems Trump has surrounded himself with people that think like him. There’s no “adults in the room” like the first administration.
That means exits are going to be harder and VCs don’t see a light at the end of the tunnel.
As far as stock market performance, now is the time to buy when prices are lower. Trump won’t be in office forever and Democrats and sane Republican politicians - all of them except Trump - hate tariffs.