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There is also third group: people who don't have the money (think students). But as I said they would not kickstart 100$ and therefore will not enter the community in numbers until later in cycle.

Actually there are a large number of groups within the piracy label. That's part of the problem because too many want to ignore that fact and pigeonhole all those groups into the same "lost sales" bucket. That's why such people usually have problems with addressing piracy and how to properly prevent it, or at least soften its impact.

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