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Machine learning for sports betting: optimize for accuracy or calibration? (arxiv.org)
3 points by PaulHoule on March 13, 2023 | hide | past | favorite | 1 comment



Calibration of course. I think people neglect calibration as something essential if you are going to take actions based on ML predictions as opposed to just compete on some leaderboard. (One of the ways Kagglism holds us back.)




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