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I would have thought that while the effect was due to Reddit (and others) being down, it was more a case of existing users refreshing for fresh content, rather than potential new users coming to register.

Is there really that much crossover? I need to spend some time seeking HN-esque subreddits perhaps.

I agree. I'd be interested to see both:

1) The increase in uniques (pageviews don't really count)

2) How many of those uniques are new. That is, what percentage of those IPs visiting today have not visited in the past month.

/r/programming is good, but often redundant with what's on HN. However, I do enjoy /r/technology and hanging around /r/learnprogramming.

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