Whoever did it, I can understand the motivation for a supporter of independent Ukraine to do it, because it cuts off a source of funds to Russia.
What I don’t understand is why (as some news reports / sources suggest) Russia would do it. What would they gain? If they want to cut off gas and use that as leverage, far better to shut off the gas and their end and leave the pipeline so that they can resume deliveries if the gas pressure gambit works. Blowing up the pipeline shuts off any potential of ever exporting their gas, which generates currency.
> can understand the motivation for a supporter of independent Ukraine to do it, because it cuts off a source of funds to Russia
No gas was going through those pipes. This impacted Russian funding to no degree.
> don’t understand is why (as some news reports / sources suggest) Russia would do it. What would they gain?
I'm honestly having trouble finding a great argument for anyone doing this. It could be a non-state actor. But Russia's benefit is multifold. It communicates a threat, e.g. willingness to damage Norwegian pipelines without getting caught. It distracts NATO and allied military assets, always a plus when at war. And it sows mayhem in the energy markets, which means prices go up. (Which happened.)
The fact that NS1 was temporarily shut down in July before the September explosion doesn’t mean it wasn’t a near and long term source of funds.
Also, if Russia wants to threaten Norway’s Europipe surely they can telegraph this in more effective ways than blowing up their own valuable gas pipes.
It also allows Russia to spin a narrative of the West as terrorists (which they have done), claim themselves as victims (which they have done), and maybe galvanize the people domestically that they are trying to mobilize.
Not that Putin has ever done a false flag to bolster his own popularity in Russia... oh... wait...
Putin may have an interest in destroying the pipelines himself
Inside Russia, there's probably some sentiment to end the war, dispose/blame everything on Putin, and resume the gas trade. If Putin removes that option, his opponents will have little to gain from getting rid of him as they'll inherit a mess with no way to rebuild.
I have felt that it was definitely the US... I mean President Biden literally said on Feb 7, 2022 that "We will bring an end to it [Nord Stream 2] if Russia invades Ukraine" - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4O8rGRLf8
It seems wild to me that this isn't brought up more. Russia could totally have done it, but I mean blowing up a pipeline that took a long fucking time to build, at your cost, seems pretty irrational unless to just be a show of force against the EU.
The US is generally too smart, and powerful enough, to not get its/our hands dirty. We need plausible deniability at least.
Even when we commit the most severe war crimes (Iraq), nobody can do anything anyways -- but we don't want to give up that soft power when we can so easily get other folks to do our bidding.
If all else fails, we send in the CIA.
Israel does a lot for us, but in this case they were probably too close to Russia.
Who else could have enough sophistication to make it happen? UK would be a good choice, and they made a strategic decision long ago to stick with the US no matter what -- e.g. Iraq.
I find it hard to believe the UK would be stupid enough to do it directly, as opposed to some hired third party, at least, but you never know. They were already out of the EU, so maybe this was a parting gift to the Continent for all the Brexit-induced suffering.
If the UK did do it, it would be more likely a parting gift for the fact that Putin sent military personnel into the UK to assassinate [1] a naturalized Briton living there, not caring about others that might have been involved, and using poison that would definitely be traced back to Russia as a final "fuck you".
I doubt the UK did anything, personally. But Russia is seriously on the UK's shit-list, so if they did, it'd be understandable.
i don't think that's very plausible -- because it would represent a massive escalation, would put whoever did it in serious legal jeopardy, and would severely hurt UK/EU relations -- and probably a bunch more reasons.
it's such a massive disaster that it could really only be done with tacit US approval, but probably a lot more than that.
given the EU's capitulation to US leadership/domination, whoever did it is probably safe.
still, i think of all the suffering that may be caused by the act...
the US has proven over decades that we'll do anything -- including the unthinkable -- to maintain our global dominance. now, Russia has just demonstrated their own willingness to go way too far -- with the invasion of Ukraine and all the crimes after. has yet another country taken a step towards Crazytown and proven that they too are willing to go way too far?
was it? i recall Russia saying it was 'the West' or some other party that would most benefit from it.
maybe someone else said it was the US?
I know the US and UK media are hellbent on saying Russia blew up their own pipeline. ok.
people tend to use throwaways for headlines that don't conform to US/West narratives, unfortunately. but i figured this article had AP approval, so would not be as easy to dismiss.
US Media's Intellectual No-Fly-Zone on US Culpability in Nord Stream Attack (fair.org)
14 points by throwaway_ns 21 days ago | hide | past | favorite | 6 comments
They failed to provide assistance to Ukrainian population
They failed to provide help to their own citizens due to rising price of energy and inflation
And worse, their secret service and intelligence team failed at hiding their mission and they suffer from massive leaks from their own employees
They are now trying to save the face by trying to slow down their escalation, since the nuclear threat propaganda flopped hard
This generation of western leaders are no match with their predecessors (wich were already no match with their own predecessors), this current batch should be replaced asap, specially considering that China, Pakistan and Brazil are next, and that doesn't look good at all
What I don’t understand is why (as some news reports / sources suggest) Russia would do it. What would they gain? If they want to cut off gas and use that as leverage, far better to shut off the gas and their end and leave the pipeline so that they can resume deliveries if the gas pressure gambit works. Blowing up the pipeline shuts off any potential of ever exporting their gas, which generates currency.