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About 2 years ago the most probable scenario was 1.5° Kelvin until 2100. Now we're at 2.5° Kelvin.

If this is right, there's nothing we can do at all, as long as CO² is the sole factor. If it's not right, we should do what we can to improve our models and - most importantly - search for all possible factors influencing the climate.

The worst imaginable situation would be we're focusing just on CO² and then, just before extinction, realize the problem wasn't primarily CO² but methane, or atmospheric dust, or decreased albedo due to unknown effect, or whatever else.

Edit: as obvious as I hope this is, but nevertheless: we MUST do anything we can to reduce CO²! But we should definitely not forget to investigate other possible causes for the raise in temperature.

Edit2: Corrections




Do you have any sources for this? I'm pretty sure 1.5°K was never a probable scenario, merely the internationally accepted one by the Paris Agreement for acceptable damage control.

If anything, we're still spot on the target corridor that Shell (secretly) plotted 40 years ago: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/climate-consensus-97...


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special_Report_on_Global_Warmi...

2018, OK, but this was in the press until at least 2020 here in germany. Could provide links, if desired.




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