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they may beat Google in that market, but I doubt they'll impact Google's current behemoths(Search/Adwords)

My bet is that it will be at least an order of magnitude more than google since a combination of mobile + apps + search/Adwords will have:

1. more information about you (location, etc.),

2. relevant & time based local ad inventory (e.g.: 3 pm you are in a mall near an ice-cream store and hence a free 2nd scoop coupon advertised to your phone)

3. much higher click through rates since it's more actionable and more importantly, useful i.e. ads that even hackers click on

4. In some cases might result in much higher CPM's, and a huge increase in ad volumes even for lower CPM's

So, companies like Loopt are better positioned to take on Google than say Cuil, but hey, what do I really know.

The one piece of the puzzle not solved is how everyone's going to afford this wireless. I'm making decent money, spending 80 dollars on two cell phones worth of coverage, and I'm still wincing about the idea of 30 bucks for a data plan. (Or, more appropriately, 60 dollars a month for two!) It's all well and good this idea about smartphones, but the prices are going to have to come way down before we speak of ubiquitous network computing.

It can't even replace my internet bill because of the cost of multiple people on the plan! Where is the new competitor going to come from in a market this is so difficult to break into due to price and monopoly concerns? Without that competitor, where are the drops in prices coming from?

Prices will come down, they are just propped up by monopoly right now.

This is a monopoly like market by definition. We have companies competing for a finite amount of customers (or customers' attention).

If you had five equally popular search engines, they wouldn't really compete prices down anyway. The number of searches (supply) would still be the same & advertisers (demand) would still be the same.

The only reason MSN & Yahoo (not to mention real obscure engines) still earn less per click is a sort of market imperfection: It's complicated & time consuming learning another system & running parallel campaigns. For an extra 5-10%, it isn't worth it for small campaigns.

Monopoly or not, they are not manipulating the market. It manipulates itself.

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