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Yeah, the relative probability of scenarios may be wrong. Maybe even some of them are totally bogus. This doesn't undermine the main point of the article though.

I think the main point is that there's quite a lot of eggs in that basket and we should see this as a problem. Any single organization can think they have contingency plans for a big cloud region going permanently down. The problem is that when all of them try to execute their plans at once it won't work.




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