Working in manufacturing, I cannot stress how messed up the supply chains are. I've spoken with a number of friends at various manufacturing companies, everything is a disrupted mess right now, and it won't be remotely normal for at least another year. Freight rates are crazy, shipping across the ocean is multiple times more than it typically has been, and ports in Asia are periodically shut down because of COVID outbreaks.
My wife works in logistics and today she remarked "I fully expect there will be things I need at the store that will be missing, which I totally understand because of how messed up everything is, but I get excited if they have everything."
Getting your product into a container, the trailer to the port, and the container onto a ship is plagued with issues. The process used to be straightforward, and bookings were pretty firm.
Now things change on a daily basis, adding to an already frustrating situation.
Almost all of these goods move on dry bulk carriers (specially Panamaxes) which are analogous to oil tankers but for non liquids (basically a big floating shoebox with a motor at back).
I want to echo, this article was incredibly informative. That being said, I had no idea there was such a massive imbalance in seafood production which I assume also relates to consumption.
Maybe this is the solution to American "elite overproduction": less "I'm going to be a brand consultant in Manhattan" after one-too-many Sex and the City episodes, and more -- I'm picturing a Rosie the Riveter poster, except now she's holding a giant salmon (Excuse me, I'll be in my bunk).
Maybe we can even get the Pope on board, like in the good old days of Filet O' Fish on Fridays?
I have a whole cultural program now laid out in my head. Musicals, Lin-Manuel Miranda, the works. All in support of our brave new aquacultural future.
I mean, it'd be more useful than all the coffee shops and dog groomers.
Our motto will be a taunt to our challengers:
YOU CAN'T TUNA FISH
BUT YES WE CAN
-- Night Shift
China is in a bad way. The Chinese people will suffer, and things might get dicey for the government. The CCP may feel obliged to lean hard on its newfound domestic surveillance infrastructure, thus far concentrated mainly on Xinjiang province. Initiating a foreign war might be perceived as necessary to distract the population.
If it's protein, and not calories, that are going to be an issue in PRC, I suspect the people in PRC will be ordered by their government to consume chicken instead of pork. one chicken per week per man is plenty to supplant a rice- or wheat-based diet, along with some vegetables. Chicken production can also be scaled rapidly, albeit if done quickly there will probably be outbreaks of avian flu.
Whilst I've seen plenty of emotive videos over the years showing chickens' capacity for socialisation, empathy and intelligence, I as equally find it hard to have too much sympathy for them in their function as food for humans, given most of them barely make it two months into the world.
I say this as someone who, whilst loving her utterly after her birth, had occasional abstract thoughts about how entirely unconscious and parasitic my daughter was for a few months. It got me thinking. Whilst I now find my heart softened utterly by so much more than I did, my heart also hardened when thinking about sentient chickens as food.
Out of grim interest, I just checked how long it takes for Mealworm to mature. Chickens take less time to grow..
Calories are generally cheap. Protein is dear. When the ocean ecosystem collapses under the strain of acidification by dissolved CO2, efforts to control access to protein will trigger wars.
Meat is non-essential, nutritionally, given beans and B-12, but materially reducing access to it is politically destabilizing.
PRC is a totalitarian state that has starved its own population in the name of progress in living memory.
I suspect they would be fine with doing this again.
Imagine if all that had happened over a year or two. The BLM protests would probably look quaint by comparison.
Just, a lot less of them than would have been fed to the animal it replaces.
Clicking "Show Replies" a few tweets down seems to have a 50/50 chance of actually getting me to the end of the thread. On a desktop browser, not logged in, there are a handful of real sentences per screenful. There's a plethora of user interface elements you have to ignore to find the content, with repeated user icons, both a name and an @, dates and times (when it's all practically posted at the same time), retweets, quotes, likes, free-form continuation indicators counting 1/ 2/ 3/, and so on. Twitter will randomly offer seemingly unrelated tweets interspersed throughout.