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In the context of GP comment ("sit until the industry moves on") I think Dropbox has one potential problem -- that people would start realizing that their data is their data and paying more attention to the privacy aspect of the "storing in the cloud" services. They sure are convenient, but the loss of tight control of one's private data is an issue.

It all goes in cycles, and if something happens that prompts companies and individuals to lock down their files, then Dropbox and alike will go from "universal file access" service to a trivial file sharing app. Still useful, but not as grand.

That's a good point. I'd add that such cycles tend to happen within geographical boundaries (e.g.: this year, something happens in France that makes people in Europe lock down; the next year it's the US, etc) and so it's unlikely that Dropbox would grind to a complete halt, seeing as they've become increasingly international.

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