Both are motivated by the perception that ABM technology may render ICBMs ineffective.
ICBM's are unneeded since the 80ies. That's why they don't have them.
The biggest advantage of a Skyfall missile over a Granit is obvious; range. If a Skyfall missile works as they plan, there'd be no need to sneak an Oscar anywhere close to the target, or even use a submarine at all. Furthermore it could strike inland targets beyond the range of a Granit fired from an Oscar sitting in coastal waters. An Oscar would need to sneak it's way up the Mississippi River if it wanted a chance of hitting a target in Nebraska with Granit missiles, which leads into:
ICBMs. With respect to ICBMs you're mistaken. Russia does have a variety of ICBMs and SLBMs still in service with plans for more. They have enough already to easily overwhelm America's extant ABM systems, which are primarily a defense against smaller nuclear threats (e.g. North Korea.) Poseidon and Skyfall are hedges against the possibility that ballistic missiles are rendered truly obsolete by ABM systems, but that scenario hasn't [yet] become reality.
Disasters would be magnified exponentially.
Then the ICBM made the strategic bomber obsolete, and there was no incentive to sink any more money into nuclear-powered aircraft. Concern for safety had little to do with it, especially if you compare it to other occurrences at the time . Now we can build autonomous vehicles that don't care about radiation and can make use of all that power, and that's exactly what Russia is doing.
How much literature has disappeared from history because certain languages or vernaculars fell out of use?
Hell, why do we even bother teaching classical English if it's just going to change, right? We should just let kids learn from their parents and media - no use being a prescriptivist!
And yes, I do believe that some languages and dialects are vastly more expressive and unambiguous than others, but I don't expect the average person to understand that. Ultimately we're all free to speak as we wish but don't shame me for trying to preserve the necessary consistency that makes language useful.
> How much literature has disappeared from history because certain languages or vernaculars fell out of use?
The answer is not very much, comparatively. Most of the known losses of old works has been due to destruction, not communal loss of ability to decipher. Here's a summary of objects with unknown scripts:
(Just a joke, it was actually exponentially longer ago)
Sometimes that means correct people using a word incorrectly, because that might educate them about something they didn't know.
Sometimes though that means educating people about how languages evolve and that the ship has sailed for some expressions.
Incidentally, some models of civil airplanes (some 747s for instance) contain depleted uranium trimming weights, which can be hazardous if burned in a plane wreck. This is far from a plane reactor accident though, and use of these weights has been discontinued for years (I'm unsure if any are still flying.)
Yeah, I know, it's just... There are already existing words for that. Words that were in use before "exponentially" became the cool word of the week. I guess I should just accept it, that "exponentially" is going to mean the same thing as "truly", "very" and "really". At some point some newscaster is going to describe a patient's outlook as "it's not looking exponentially good". Although maybe the word has too many syllables. One can hope.
does the sentence "Disasters would be magnified increasing rapidly by a large amount" make sense though? With a little word shuffling you can get something that at least comes out as coherent, but can you make it convey an idea more complex or more clearly than "disasters would be a lot worse"?
Nuanced word selection can add clarity that would be difficult to achieve with more basic vocabulary, but too often people use wordgasms to confuddle the person they are trying to communicate with and make an otherwise vacuous statement appear more legitimate.
At one point I'd found someone's doctoral thesis on the subject, but now it's not quickly popping up in searches on Project Pluto or SLAM.
>Military expert Anton Lavrov in the Izvestia article suggested that the design of the Burevestnik uses a ramjet engine, which, unlike the more traditional propulsion systems for nuclear weapons, will have radioactive exhaust throughout its entire operation.
That statement implies that all ramjets produce radioactive exhaust, which is false.
The authors are surprisingly respectful of Putin's methods, especially in the early days. And in the debate over "Is Putin or rational or not" they seem to clearly answer "Yes, he is rational." Especially regarding Crimea, they point out that Putin clearly explained that if the West interfered in the Ukraine, then Russia would have to consider that intervention an offensive action, and make a response, so when the West sided with "pro Western" forces in the Ukraine in 2013/2014, Putin felt that he had clearly warned the West that he was going to respond.
It is useful and interesting to understand some of his motivation.
Having said all that, there is a lot that is disappointing about his inability to pull modern Russia past any of the major failings of the USSR, in particular the lack of transparency. More than ever, Russia relies on oil exports, despite his stated intention to re-industrialize Russia, Putin has not managed to rebuild the economy to the Great Power status that the country held during the middle of the 20th Century. Instead of real progress, what we see is the irritation of a power that knows it has fallen down.
Translation - very low levels of airborne radioactive isotopes have been detected in the last couple of weeks (Co-60, Ru-103, Cs-134, Cs-137, Zr-95, Nb-95) but they are not high quantities enough to affect normal radiation levels. They do not originate from Finland. The isotopes are the same as used on nuclear power plants and small quantities can be from normal reactor use or maintenance.
You can see realtime radiation levels here - https://www.stuk.fi/web/en/topics/environmental-radiation/ra...
An example of the sort of thing I'm looking for: https://arxiv.org/pdf/1103.4853.pdf (see Figure 1)
Is constructing a device capable of sustaining a chain reaction all that difficult though? We did it in the 40's with a big pile of uranium and some graphite. Could an external thermal neutron source allow you to reduce the size even further? I don't think it will be long before some idiot on youtube creates one in his backyard. There are already communities of folks playing with fusors, which can produce neutrons capable of activating nearby materials.
We've all heard of the radioactive boy scout, and he figured out what he did without youtube and ebay.
They consistently try to destroy everything possible.
Last week a major oil spill, radiation leak now. Previous radiation leak was in 2017 and everyone remembers Tsjernobyl, I hope.
Killing people abroad ( Germany, London)
Invading Ukraine, for saving their naval army
Threatening Europe with fly overs
Meddling with elections and spreading misinformation.
In the mean time, they think they found an ally in China. While Russia is getting pennies on the dollar, losing engineers to China and getting almost zero "promised investments" of China. Lol
They already lost to democratic Europe during the USSR. I'm just waiting till history repeats again somehow
USA is only a little better (making up WMD to go to war with Iraq, meddling with elections and democratic process in other countries, spying on allies, etc).
Then we have China which is probably yet another category of international bully.
Sadly this is quite expected for global super powers...
Then we have our own leaders bullying us into believing masks are for 'wimps', which almost appears like they're trying to weaken Americans (literally make them sick and die) so Russia or China can just walk in and make us fascist and give them a good place in the new hierarchy.
Doesn't hurt that most of American's act like whiny brats and children who just learned the word No, and they do not like it.
Russia could be a great country if they were more democratic, open to criticism, were safer to both foreign and domestic investors and entrepreneurs, etc. They've got tons of resources, tons of opportunities, but I strongly believe their tradition of oppressive regimes (since the Mongols, really) is holding them back.
There are a lot of criticisms to level at Russia/USSR over the past century, but IMO their space program has been instrumental in driving the world forward and they should get credit for that forever. I say that as an American who loves the moon landings, the Space Shuttle, Hubble, Mars rovers, SpaceX, etc.
I would also put the end of the Cold War as an amazing accomplishment by the USSR/Russia. I know it's usually framed as a victory for the U.S., but the reality is that, as a society, they spontaneously delivered a peaceful transition from one system of government to another. It was a revolution, and if you compare it to the previous big revolution in Russia, the lack of violence was striking and heartening. It was an incredible moment of hope for the entire world.
Sadly, they have regressed in the area of governance since then. But then again, so has the U.S.
For all that's wrong with Russia, their space program is still excellent.
They tried everything Musk did in the past and failed. Mostly because they don't have the money to fund it anymore.
Also, they severely upped the price of engines in the last 10 years ( > 350% ), so it was bound to happen sooner or later.
I dont think Russians wanted to make Electric cars, reusable rockets or a Vacuum-tube.
And then it's that:
What Musk is doing is absolutely great, but that doesn't change the fact that for the long time, the US depended on Soyuz.
The US ( or any other country) doesn't give that problem.
But you forgot the main thing. All the things I've said is true and it was in direct response to the op his claims.
So you are right. But he suddenly had claims left/right and I responded to them all.
No but they give quite a lot of other problems that really are a problem for your health...Monsanto.
They can extract cheap oil and try to sell their military equipment.
We'll see how that pans out in the future, while Europe is slowly moving to green energy.
It's just nuts that they are throwing away the opportunity to correctly invest oil/gas money, before it's over.
It's generally unsafe to assume counter-intuitive moves are irrational.
Their submarines and missiles are beyond our tech in the US in some aspects (hypersonic missles, Supercavitation torpedos).
I view them like the 3rd opponent in a starcraft 1v1v1 that got smashed early. They can't win the match, but they can decide the winner.
In fact the original argument for the super-cavitating torpedo was one based on the premise of killing a submarine that already fired on you that you hadn't detected until it fired on you.
Russia has some showy tech (as you mentioned) but they lack in areas the US was ahead of them in decades ago.
In terms of technology there are other countries with more sophisticated defence capabilties where I am from is one (the UK) is one, much of the technology the Russians export is things they did under the USSR (which definitely was #2 in terms of military tech at that point).
When you get down to it though modern war is force projection and logistics and there no one touches the Americans.
The Russians seem to have projected pretty effectively in Crimea and Syria. They’re not back to their peak but they’re trending up.
The US Navy and marines are the 2nd largest Air Force in the world, the first been the US airforce.
Russia is clearly a regional power but it is not a superpower except in nuclear weapons but it would cease to exist shortly after using those.
I’ve no dog in the fight, I’m British but the US military is vast, it’s so mind bogglingly big that it’s just taken for granted at this point.
In tonnage of combatants the US navy is larger than the next 8 combined, 6 of who are allies.
It’s crazy how over gunned they are tbh and they spend less as a share of GDP than the Russians do.
Their focus on aerospace just got nullified by SpaceX.
Their oil/gas is neglecting the accelerated shift from Europe to green energy.
So yeah, they still have military which was way bigger in the past and didn't got them anywhere.
The Ukraine story is not over and I don't think you have any idea why it was done.
It's because their fleet would be rendered useless is they can't control Ukraine and the black sea. And they don't control Ukraine yet :)
They did however already suffer pretty big losses because of it.
What use does a fleet have, if it can't go out of the harbor. That would be a very weak position to start with in any game ;)
I wouldn't forget what happened in Japan, when Russia wanted to show their "superior" naval strength.
There's no use-case for it in the modern world, except the threat of using it.
Not that any of this matters if our threat model includes an enemy who doesn't care if they get annihilated in the reprisal.
Disclaimer: I don't know about any of these things and they are just guesses.
The problem is that some countries ( eg. China) are not playing by the same rules and limiting exposure to downsides of global trade ( by protectionism) that they still do stupid things ( eg. The problems between China and India currently).
Both countries are not already in a war, because they are trading and it would hurt both economies. It's even mentioned in a recent article of the current conflict.
I'll give you another POV and that is that the UN is pretty new ( 20 years) and the biggest positive change in the last century. There are problems ofc, but that doesn't undermine my statement.
The second biggest change was the fall of the USSR for more democracy. And Russia is still struggling with this after 30 years.
The UN was established in 1945...you know after that 2. World-war.
>And Russia is still struggling with this after 30 years
Yes, because Russia never had any democracy, its not easy to establish that fast, and 30 Years is a really short time.
PS. According to current observations. Russia is far from "a democracy".
A lot of the countries that seperated from USSR in 1990 ( even Hungary), are doing a much better job.
After all, Russia's GDP is similar to only 3 European countries ( I think France, Belgium and Netherlands together is bigger, you can check it in Wolfram Alpha ).
They should just spend it on trade instead. So their population would get wealthier.
Edit: over estimated Russia's GDP. It's even smaller then France alone. Also Germany and Italy are easily bigger
Last time I checked Russia had a smaller GDP than Italy. Hell of a geopolitical presence for such a small economy.
It's even less then I expected. Weird.
Perhaps Wolfram Alpha had different numbers
Edit: checked. No it isn't, perhaps I was checking military expenditure then since that was what I was comparing a while ago.
Conclusion that I had was that Europe is outspending Russia easily in military.
For the amount that Russia spends on its military, it is able to project exponentially more force globally - it is #2 in the world, period. Meanwhile the the New York Times described the F-35 as "America's Dysfunctional Trillion-Dollar Fighter-Jet Program". Trillions spent on a jet with questionable fighting capabilities. American military leaders themselves don't trust the plane.
Is it, though? NATO has 18 aircraft carriers, of those 12 are American, 2 of them are British, and two are Italian. Russia has 1 that is sitting in dry dock for servicing since 2017 and was even further damaged when the dry dock sank.
That's because Russia never had interest in aircraft carriers, it's just not their military motto, you need Carrier's to attack a Country outside of your reach, witch Russia knew would never be successfully happen against NATO-States, that's why even in the Cold war Russia was always focused on defense.
Economic capability is fundamental to your ability to field and maintain a military.
In these days, Europe easily outspends Russia and it's army IS bigger.
The F-35 is also better than the Su-57 and Russia has no 5th generation fighter :)
Besides that, Russias naval fleet is stuck behind Ukraine. I don't think they like that :)
Well that's some Marketing blabla, same as that Generation blabla..AND Russia says that the Su-57 is 5th Gen ;)
Oh and the US is not sure if the F35 is really a 5th gen jet (because lack of supercruise) but the F-22 is one.
Russia can project its military in adjacent regions, for limited times. It has no blue water navy, its air force is at least one generation behind. Its army has crappy logistics (meaning staying power).
The only areas where it competes at all is in missiles, and even that area is debatable. Its vaunted S-300 and S-400 air defence systems are routinely ignored by the Israelis during airstrikes, as are its shorter range systems.
It has no budget to invest in R&D, and when it comes up with even a remotely interesting system, can only try to buy a few units.
The F-35 is superior to any Russian aircraft flying, including the SU-57. The F-22, a 30 year old design, is still far better than anything the Russians have, or will have in squadron numbers before 2030.
The Armada vehicle line is still a joke, and will probably never be produced in numbers due to budget constraints.
"With relatively few sites reporting the radiation increase, identifying its origins is challenging. The RIVM added media reports that it believes Russia is the source are likely based on mistranslations of its Dutch statement, and that "no specific country of origin can be pointed out at this moment."
yet you took the trouble to collect in your post almost every single bad thing you heard about Russia, half of them outright lies, the rest being half-truths, and dump them all here.
A retreat from arms control creates a dangerous nuclear reality:
- other possible sources in the area have a history of cooperation, so process of elimination is rather suggestive.
- Russia has leaked and not come clean before, so history is also rather suggestive.
But who knows! It has already been a very weird year, anyone want to bet it can't get weirder?
Russia or the USSR?