Hacker News new | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submit login

Yes, but the age is a 10x factor, os CFR would be much different in Nigeria (average age is about 19) and Italy (average age 45). We have two good petri dishes:

USS Theodore Roosevelt - 600 cases out of 4800. 5 sick, one dead (41 years old). which means hospitalisation is at 0.83% and CFR is 0.016% (1% dead or in hospital). Not idea what is the average age, probably around 30-35.

Diamond Princess: 700 of 3711. CFR 1.1%, average age around 50.

What worries me the most though is potential mutations and death rates when you are infected with Covid-19 and flu at the same time (or other pathogens).

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-usa-mi...

https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-00885-w?utm_sourc...





You can't measure CFR or IFR this quickly in an isolated environment like the Roosevelt due to mortality lag.

Also, the CFR for Diamond Princess is now up to 1.83%.


> which means hospitalisation is at 0.83% and CFR is 0.016% (1% dead or in hospital).

0.16%, not 0.016%.




Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: