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The mortality estimates we have now are mostly based on numbers coming out of China, which are just not reliable.

We should have better estimates in a couple of months, once more numbers come out of countries outside of China.

Also, mortality rates are impacted not just by the disease itself but things such as how overwhelmed the health care system is, what measures are used to treat the disease, how many people actually get treated, population-specific or location-specific factors, etc.

All of these factors could vary widely from place to place and cause different mortality rates, even if the virus infecting everyone is the same.




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