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I think that has been the conclusion for a while. I went poking around for old stories, and the best I could find was a thread from 2016: “AV is my single biggest impediment to shipping a secure browser,” https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13079569

And a follow-up, "Avoid Non-Microsoft Antivirus Software", https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=13489100

I believe there have been academic studies on the non-effectiveness of antivirus software, but I can't find them. (If others can, I'd like to read them.) I find the argument that antivirus software increases attack surface compelling because it's third-party software that tries to get into everything. This is not the '90s anymore; all of the big players care about security. I think that the engineers at Microsoft, Google, Apple and Firefox are more qualified to secure their own software than outside vendors are.

Well, in the 90' things weren't nearly as bad, since hardly anyone even had an Internet connection...

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