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I believe there will be L3 available in the next decade. A consumer-owned car which can take over driver-responsibility in limited settings. What Teslas autopilot promises although it currently is L2.

The interesting question is which company is bold enough to do it first and if it will survive the law suits afterwards. Tesla is the most likely.

L4/5 will realize in limited scenarios (senior communities, hub-to-hub trucks) but not as taxis in dense cities. In other words Waymo will still use safety drivers in ten years or close down.

(80% confidence in my statements)

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