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Although Sam would have lost this bet, I respect that he had the courage to make a forecast with a specific number and a specific future date.

Too many pundits make grand but imprecise predictions like "AI will become dominant in the next decade". The book 'Superforcasting' tackles this problem in detail: https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Science-Prediction-P...




If I recall correctly, the bet was accepted.

EDIT: Ah, I found documentation:

"Michael de la Maza, a Boston-based investor and TechStars mentor, has taken my recent bet on valuations."

https://twitter.com/sama/status/582292425449730049


Thanks for using Twitter to remind Mr. Altman of the bet.




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