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You'll never run out of edge cases if you have to explicitly program the logic. At some point you have to let the machine learning decide it. Maybe there is room for a hybrid approach, but I think anything relying on programmers having thought of every situation ahead of time is doomed to fail.

I believe relying on machine learning is doomed to fail because I don't think it can feasibly offer the robust safety guarantees required.

I honestly don't expect go-anywhere L5 in the next decade at least, and I definitely expect an engineered approach to hit L4 first.

You're wrong about the requirements. It doesn't have to be perfect, just better than us, and that's easily doable for computers that don't get tired, distracted, or drunk.

I'm not sure how long it will take, but I'm sure we'll get there.

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