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For the most complicated apps you are right, but most applications are not that complicated and web technology solves problems that Java has not even recognized as problems. Things like advanced accessibility, semantics, device independence (SVG, CSS Media Queries) true open standards ++. You can do much more with a web browser today than "browsing the web" and browsers has done amazing development the last 5 years and will continue with amazing development the next 5 years as well.

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